the existing aircraft manufacturers will convert their existing models over to electric.
Long term - maybe.
But the global warming emergency is definitively very short term, although commercial aviation is not, by far, the main contributor (Industry first, then cars - distant third at best).
Justified or not, if kerosene has to go away and in a hurry, the one and only straightforward alternative without massive modifications to both airports and airliners, is ammonia.
Second best seems to be methanol - it has carbon inside but it is tolerable because, unlike ammonia, it can be produced out of crops.
It is very much a matter of
- pure hydrogen (H2) is pure energy but a giant PITA to store
- so add either some C (carbon) or N (nitrogen)
- nitrogen with hydrogen NH3 - ammonia
- carbon with hydrogen - CH3OH - methanol
- it helps the storage
- unfortunately it ruins the energy contains
- and carbon is not exactly desirable...
- so that kind of leave ammonia, the nitrogen solution to hydrogen storage
Ammonia present manufacturing is, just like hydrogen, a global warming ticking bomb. That's why going nuclear would be better, and that's why I linked all these "Energy depots" papers.
What I would like to know, is, which kind of nuclear fission reactors would be the best for ammonia ? I kind of like MSR, but HTGR seems to be "hotter" to split the hydrogen out of water ?