Pardon me, binged the thread.
Wright might realise after messing up the Sapphire, that Americanisation for Americanising sake isn't a good idea and talking more with AS is better.
Snowball's chance in hell of that happening.
You could wind up with both. The initial concept of the A-6 was for an all weather CAS aircraft*, a Skyraider replacement (based on Korean experience where weather and night limited the A-1s use), rather than a long range strike aircraft. Although the Buccaneer did fine as a CAS aircraft for South Africa, so there may be too much overlap in performance for both to be produced. Both aircraft wound up in roughly the same niche, but coming from different directions, the A-6 from CAS to strike and the Buc the other way around. With a bit more niche optimization there could be a role for both, in which case the A-6 (with a gun) would replace the A-4 (on the large carriers), and the A-7 would never happen, while the Buccaneer would take the role the A-6 had in naval and land attack once it gets TFR and other relevant avionics.
I was leaning towards Buccs for the Essex-class
and A-6s for the bigger carriers.
Buccs would definitely be license-built after the first ~50 or so, see the B-57. Licensee would not be Grumman
in this case**, and not Douglas, either since too much of the USN air fleet was Douglas made. Possibly Vought, though this would do interesting things with the A-7 production later on.
** In the event of no A-6 contest, I'd nominate Grumman for the licensee to build Buccaneers. "Grumman Iron Works" and the Buccs being milled from solid...
More wishful thinking about the knock on effects of the USN buying the Buccaneer.
- The RF-8 Crusader remained in service with the USN until the 1980s and the F-8 Crusader remained in service with the NRF for as long.
- According to Norman Polmar in "World Combat Aircraft Directory" 1,261 Crusaders were produced 1954-65 of which 448 were remanufactured 1965-70.
- In this "Version of History" the remanufactured Crusaders may have received Spey engines and I think they would have if the USA buying the Buccaneer led to the USA buying the Spey-Phantom.
- France would have bought new 42 Crusaders with Spey engines if the USN had fitted Speys to the 448 remanufactured Crusaders.
- Could the F-14A Tomcat have a pair of Speys instead of a pair of TF30s? However, as far as I know that's something that could have been done in the "Real World" but wasn't.
- Might the S-2 Vikings have had Speys instead of TF34s in the interests of standardisation? However, that's something else that could have done in the "Real World" but wasn't.
Speysaders would be likely, IMO. Though they'd be rebuilds not new builds.
Tomcats with Speys/TF41s?
I'm not sure that'd actually be an improvement over the TF30-P-412/414. 10,800lbs dry/20,800 wet thrust for the TF30, the Spey 202 is making 12,100lbs dry/20,500 wet. Only significant improvement would be the compressor stall issue, and I'm not enough of an engine nerd to know if compressor stalls were also a Spey issue.
S-
3 Vikings (S-2s were the radial-engined Tracker) with Speys? No way. TF41 "Spey" is 3500lbs (don't have easy access to a weight for non-afterburning Spey except for TF41), while TF34 is only 1500lbs. So the Vikings would be down 4000lbs of load but would have about 10,000lbs more thrust
and burn about twice as much fuel. IMO the much greater fuel consumption is the killer for an MPA.
The USN doesn't seem to view commonality as a universal benefit, though. If there's an issue with the Spey engine (say), then the entire carrier air wing is grounded. A mix of types and engines removes that single point of failure.
The USN didn't consider commonality an advantage until the Super Hornets and F-35s.
The TF41 was an Air Force engine, with the Navy preferring the TF30. The TF30 also had the advantage of being recycled from the F-111B project - the Tomcat was all about reusing systems developed for the F-111B.
That said, the TF41 so greatly improved the A-7
that the USN bought their own version of the airframe (basically the USAF-spec A-7D but with USN radios).
But I don't think that the TF41 would be an improvement
in the Tomcat unless the Spey 202 was less vulnerable to compressor stalls.
One thing struck me about
this post by H_K over on the Centaur class carrier thread: the Buccaneer was incredibly compact compared to the A-6 - folded, it's actually slightly smaller than an F-8.
When the USN experimented with the all-Grumman air wing in the 1980s, it wound up replacing two squadrons of A-7s with one of A-6s. With Buccaneers replacing both, it would probably be possible to do two squadrons of fighters and three of all-weather strike aircraft, replicating what had been done with F-8s and A-4s on the smaller ESSEX class.
That wouldn't be enough to get the USN to buy Buccaneers. But it's an interesting prospect all the same.
Acknowledging that it wasn't an experiment, but being able to pack 3 squadrons of attack planes instead of 2 on the big carriers is a selling point.
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Obviously, the biggest advantage of this would be getting the A-6 electronics into the Buccaneer. If those can't be made to fit and the A-7s were still introduced (likely, since they were developed to replace A-4s), the A-7 D/E avionics would fit in the Buccaneer.