I think people undervalue the Manpad threat. The US will generally not fly if there is a credible Manpad threat. It's very hard to be alerted. MAWS gear is typically not that great, so someone needs to get an eye on it. And the pilot has to quickly integrate what he knows from MAWS or someone else into a plan of action.

Saudis had an F-15 get hit a few weeks ago. Same story.

DIRCM mitigates this somewhat now but they are fairly expensive and large systems in most cases so it's not an ideal solution for lighter (compared to a C-17 or KC-135 or what have you) tactical aircraft like the Su-25 or F-15.
Su-25SM3 is supposed to get partial Vitebsk complex integration. Passive stuff like MAWS integrated, active stuff like DIRCM turrets is possible to be carried in form of pod. Imho not great setup, but as it is. Plus in any case downed Su-25 was of older kind.
 
If the reports are accurate it would appear that almost all of the known fixed-wing losses are Su-25. I can't help but to wonder what this says about the overall concept (of the A-10 too) and if this might lead to upgrades for the remaining aircraft or their withdrawal (except possibly for use in COIN operations).

The known proposed successor designs seem to have less armour and be geared towards operating at higher altitudes (note that Russians show a tendency towards some armouring of strike aircraft generally).
 
They aren't doing that bad either apparently, considering the density of ad bubbles. Especially Ukrainian ones, as odds are heavily against them.
I.e. they're suffering losses, but that's a major conflict of the type no one has seen for quite a while.
 
I think a lot of the replacements for these and other similar types will be of the drone variety myself, they already have a useful utility as a class of aircraft.
 
This kinda bring me into a question on those Su-25's which does not make it back.. I wonder what system that took them out. Must have been bigger than manpads. e.g Buk.
 
It’s not a guarantee that even a hardened airframe like the Su-25 will always survive a MANPADS hit, as warhead fragmentation patterns aren’t 100% consistent. It does improve the odds, however.
 
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Just a still image relating to the video in post #46 - That's quite some damage!
 

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I have suddenly come across this footage of possibly the first recorded Ejection in an active combat zone. And wanted to find out as much information as possible on the particular subject.
What we know :
The Aircraft was a SU-25 Frogfoot known as Red 9 based on the footage. There are only two of these aircraft bearing this marking. Su-25SM RF-91965 and Su-25SM3 RF-93025. And based on the footage it was also an SM3 upgrade. Not much is known about the incident specifically but my thoughts are most likely a MANPADS system.

If anyone can find any information on this incident. Please feel free to post it here.





View: https://youtu.be/qkT7Q5EHOAc
 
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View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2egPbv7JU9g
View: https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1584127900663496705
A bit surprised to see him stationary where he landed, although it looked like he hit hard, not much time for a proper PLF. Must be on his side of the line or hurt, because I would release, grab the kit and get some cover…
 
Ukraine weapons tracker has since confirmed that it was not brought down over Ukraine
but was a flying accident within Russia
Thanks @helmutkohl, in that case makes total sense to stay where you can be found quickly.
same.. when I first saw the video.. I was wondering why he didn't seem to panic or rush away from the crash site.
now it makes sense, he was still within Belgorod.
 
same.. when I first saw the video.. I was wondering why he didn't seem to panic or rush away from the crash site.
now it makes sense, he was still within Belgorod.
@helmutkohl it’s not panic, not pedantic here just been trained. It’s a fight or flight thing that aircrew train against. The fight/flight/freeze psychology happens in the first 2 sec, that’s why we memorize bold faces that we write verbatim every week, pass weekly knowledge quizzes, brief EP’s every time we fly, and do lots of other training. We train desired responses so if the peanut butter hits the fan we do the right thing. I’m alive today because of this and wholeheartedly endorse it.

This video and our posts drives home why situational awareness matters.
 
Ukraine weapons tracker has since confirmed that it was not brought down over Ukraine
but was a flying accident within Russia

The single frame that shows the aircraft with some clarity shows that the vertical stabilizer was sliced off cleanly. This supports the story that the plane hit a power line.
su25.jpg
 
The single frame that shows the aircraft with some clarity shows that the vertical stabilizer was sliced off cleanly. This supports the story that the plane hit a power line.
View attachment 686183
I always had a feeling power lines were sort of flimsy and an impact of an object weighing a few tens of kilos would be enough to snap them. Guess not.
 
The single frame that shows the aircraft with some clarity shows that the vertical stabilizer was sliced off cleanly. This supports the story that the plane hit a power line.
View attachment 686183
I always had a feeling power lines were sort of flimsy and an impact of an object weighing a few tens of kilos would be enough to snap them. Guess not.
You'd think that a ground attack plane in the same class as the A-10 would be pretty substantially armored. But maybe SU-25 armor is the same stuff Russian body armor and helmets are made from...
 
The single frame that shows the aircraft with some clarity shows that the vertical stabilizer was sliced off cleanly. This supports the story that the plane hit a power line.
View attachment 686183
I always had a feeling power lines were sort of flimsy and an impact of an object weighing a few tens of kilos would be enough to snap them. Guess not.
You'd think that a ground attack plane in the same class as the A-10 would be pretty substantially armored. But maybe SU-25 armor is the same stuff Russian body armor and helmets are made from...

Su-25 is just copying A-10's past glories: https://www.torch.aetc.af.mil/News/...underbolt-ii-to-crash-into-power-line-cables/

The Missouri National Guard strikes again. It's something of a meme that crashing expensive military hardware and MONG are an inseparable duo, I guess it must be the Everclear in the water. Of course, it helps that A-10 has two stabilizers, which is the only reason this was able to make it back to base because the right stabilizer was missing.

Sadly, its engine placement has resulted in battle losses to Iglas, something the Su-25 just kinda shrugs off, since its internal engine placement allowed installation of a titanium armored bulkhead after the Afghanistan War, of which we have video evidence for. A-10 thinks air is armor, so while I guess Rooks are designed to compensate for practical battlefield threats, the A-10s are designed for pilot incompetence threats.

The single frame that shows the aircraft with some clarity shows that the vertical stabilizer was sliced off cleanly. This supports the story that the plane hit a power line.
View attachment 686183
I always had a feeling power lines were sort of flimsy and an impact of an object weighing a few tens of kilos would be enough to snap them. Guess not.

It depends on the power line really, but high tension, high voltage cables are generally speaking lethal and will cleave through aircraft structure pretty easily, especially at 200 knots. They're giant steel cables covered in insulation so they're not exactly "flimsy" unless you mean a household power line or something.

Practically speaking, it's a similar low altitude threat to a barrage balloon.
 
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my question is. what was the reason he was flying so low? he was clearly under 500m off the ground. which, it's common for this aircraft to do that on strike runs. But this was within Russia. No opposition. So just Pilot Error? (stupidity?)
 
my question is. what was the reason he was flying so low? he was clearly under 500m off the ground. which, it's common for this aircraft to do that on strike runs. But this was within Russia. No opposition. So just Pilot Error? (stupidity?)
You're in a ground attack platform designed to fly low. It's *fun* to fly low. It's the natural thing to do.
 
my question is. what was the reason he was flying so low? he was clearly under 500m off the ground. which, it's common for this aircraft to do that on strike runs. But this was within Russia. No opposition. So just Pilot Error? (stupidity?)
You're in a ground attack platform designed to fly low. It's *fun* to fly low. It's the natural thing to do.
understandable. i would probably have done the same thing. but the pilot should have been more aware of the surrounding objects. and i believe this video just solidifies the fact that air warfare/accidents happen in the blink of an eye. no margin for error. It's kind of scary to think.
 
my question is. what was the reason he was flying so low? he was clearly under 500m off the ground. which, it's common for this aircraft to do that on strike runs. But this was within Russia. No opposition. So just Pilot Error? (stupidity?)

How do you expect a pilot to train to fly at low altitude without training to fight at low altitude?

my question is. what was the reason he was flying so low? he was clearly under 500m off the ground. which, it's common for this aircraft to do that on strike runs. But this was within Russia. No opposition. So just Pilot Error? (stupidity?)
You're in a ground attack platform designed to fly low. It's *fun* to fly low. It's the natural thing to do.
understandable. i would probably have done the same thing. but the pilot should have been more aware of the surrounding objects.

Well sort of. It would matter on a combat mission I suppose.

However this is quite often impossible to ask on fairly routine flights, which is why America has a thing called the Sonoran desert, which is devoid of low altitude obstacles and Russia uses parts of Siberia for similar purposes. I believe the UK has a flight training range where Strike Eagles can routinely be found, and my neighborhood where I live is often a turnaround point and nav marker for Apache and Blackhawk platoons. None of these places have especially high obstacles above about 20 meters, certainly not high tension power cables like the kind that straddle pylons about 30-50 meters in height, which is right in the fuzzy border realm of nap-of-the-earth where attack helicopters and ground attack aircraft like to zip around.

Hitting things is just something that happens and the good news is that the pilot evacuated his aircraft safely.

Perhaps he was showing off like OBB implies, but it would hardly be the first guy to do so, and at least this time he didn't hit a cable car or something. Hitting a power line is annoying but mostly forgivable by transferring to a staff or perhaps ancillary support position instead of a combat pilot position.
 
. Hitting a power line is annoying but mostly forgivable by transferring to a staff or perhaps ancillary support position instead of a combat pilot position.

Well, you just provided another valid reason why a Russian pilot might choose to fly really low. Prang a plane, get withdrawn from combat service. Darn.
 
. Hitting a power line is annoying but mostly forgivable by transferring to a staff or perhaps ancillary support position instead of a combat pilot position.

Well, you just provided another valid reason why a Russian pilot might choose to fly really low. Prang a plane, get withdrawn from combat service. Darn.

You can say the same about any pilots in the US military from 1965-1972 lol. Ukraine isn't a very intense theater for aviators though. Russia has lost about as many planes as America did in Desert Storm in a similar amount of time, for instance. There's only two assault aviation regiments, both from the 4th Air Army in theater, although this guy might be from either of them given the location.

Anyway he can probably look forward to not having a career, nor much of a pension due to lack of career ascending prospects, and perhaps being liable for losing his plane by having his paycheck garnished. At least he keeps a job, provided it wasn't criminal negligence and merely an accidental loss. If he actually lost control or something, instead of just flying into a power line by accident, he might even still be qualified for flying, but you usually don't hit power lines accidentally unless your eyes are failing you. If he's liable for hijinks like pylon-storming , then he should be cashiered and put in prison for a long time.

That would all be the most moral outcomes, but it's likely he will simply continue his career for a few more years, be drummed out, and never get hired by an airline over this. That's the more typical outcome, which is unfortunate, because even after an accidental mishap a pilot can provide useful labor in a middle manager role, either in the armed forces or at a airline, without necessarily needing to lose out on his pension.
 
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Do I need to explain in greater detail why exactly the now-deleted videos showing the quality of modern Russian armor are in fact utterly relevant to the discussion?

Mass of armor is not as important as *quality* of armor, especially for a vehicle like an aircraft that needs to watch its weight. You wouldn't think that this would be a controversial point to make, but here we are.
 
Except Su-25 has actual video and photographic evidence of surviving Igla strikes, which are things that kill A-10:

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All damaged by light shoulder fired missiles varying from Redeye to Blowpipe to Stinger. No one talks about MG A.V. Rutskoi's Su-25 loss to a Blowpipe over Afghanistan, much like no one dares question his moustache.

Unfortunately, because America has yet to fight Vietnam with its current military arsenal, so we're unlikely to see a war where two dozen A-10s are shot down by MANPADS to compare tabulated losses.

However, in the past 30 years the US has lost 7 A-10s in combat, of which 4 were lost to MANPADS-class warheads (Strela-2s, Strela-10, and Igla) in the 3-6 kg range, for a loss rate of ~57% to lightweight missiles. The rest were lost to unknown SAMs or Rolands.

Comparatively, Su-25's loss rate in Afghanistan suggests ~33% losses to MANPADS statistically, which is 23 confirmed lost aircraft with 21 confirmed shot down and 2 probable (CFIT or double counts), and 7 losses to MANPADS of those disclosed. Remainder of losses were due to Mujahideen attacks on airbases, not unlike Camp Bastion, F-16s, and random flak guns or whatever. Whether A-10 would iron that sad loss rate out with more losses is unknown of course, but there's plenty of reason to suspect it wouldn't due to the lack of armoring of the engine nacelles...

So Su-25 is either better protected against MANPADS or Soviet MANPADS are substantially more lethal against aircraft. Regardless, you'd clearly want to be in a Su-25 rather than an A-10 if you're destined to take a hit from a man portable missile. This is probably a good thing because Su-25 attracts more MANPADS and general ground fire than A-10 anyway.

Naturally there are cases where A-10 survived MANPADS, but these are fewer than Su-25, no one publishes engagement statistics (who knows what planes are shot at by, a 23mm cannon shell can look like a 14.5mm and a 30mm cannon can look like a Igla, etc.), and A-10 has barely seen combat action enough compared to Su-25, so it's all with a bit of salt. A hefty handful if you will. For an even more wild story there's supposedly a Su-25K that survived a MIM-23 hit, which is something A-10 would never be able to do, though.

tl;dr Yes I know it was a joking comment, but I find "sovtek stinky us tech good" to be about as trite as "4 shermans 1 tigger" tbh. It's so embedded in American popular consciousness that it's easily taken as serious at face value, and that sorta irks me rather than amuses me at this point, but I'm probably a tad jaded on that front. A-10 has hit power lines before, and it's not particularly different in outcome, except it has two stabilizers vice one. Which is the only reason the MONG Hog made it back to base in the first place. If the Su-25 had lost half its stabilizer it would still be flying.

Besides that, Rook has a more than proven, and arguably better, track record of surviving light man portable missiles than A-10.

Perhaps the most survivable and reasonably powerful ground attack hog would be something that combines A-10's H-tail with YA-9's engine placement (i.e. full isolation of nacelles), Su-25's internal armor system and beefy engines, and an electro-optronic nose with a ADEN 25 twin gun setup or a GAU-12/U in the belly.

Regardless, Su-25 isn't perfect, but it is much closer to the platonic ideal of an atomic age shturmovik than A-10. I suspect many of the combat losses of A-10 to relatively middling threats like Igla/Strela are due to asymmetric thrust developing from the widely spaced nacelles, where even if they survive the missile strike, there isn't enough stabilizer left to trim out the thrust. Centralized thrust solves this for the most part.
 
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1666708478479.png


 
Do I need to explain in greater detail why exactly the now-deleted videos showing the quality of modern Russian armor are in fact utterly relevant to the discussion?

Did they, though? I'm not an expert on the subject, but bullet or shrapnel impact (which is what the armour is supposed to resist) seems different enough from bending the plate over your knee that I question the pertinence of that "test". In a synthetic polymer fiber vest, the protective material, removed from the context of the armour, could be deformed by flicking it with your finger... hell, it deforms under its own weight!
 
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One time I hit a SAPI plate with a hammer and it broke.

Worthless American junk. Clearly would never stop a bullet.


View attachment 686251



The fact that it is in a museum for something as banal as surviving an Igla, something four of its cousins didn't, is rather telling...

How many Su-25 gate guardians proudly display their battle damage from Blowpipes or Redeyes? None, because it's not something worth talking about. Eating a man portable missile is a casual Tuesday for a Rook driver.

Why does an A-10 deserve a museum for a damaged nacelle? How many A-10s display their battle damage from machine guns or AKMs? Probably none. Is that why this one is in a museum? Because it's so rare for them to come back from missile hits? Perhaps because their widely dispersed and highly offset from centerline nacelles combined with the close proximity of the vertical stabilizer makes corrective actions difficult? Because it was a highly challenging flight for the pilot to maintain control with an engine destroyed and being lucky enough to retain his starboard stabilizer to give sufficient corrective yaw to maintain control? Possibly.

What the pilot did in an aircraft which is inferior to protection against man portable missiles and engine-out situations is impressive, but it doesn't have to be, and it arguably shouldn't be. A-10 is just bad to fly if you lose an engine and worse if you lose an engine and a stabilizer. Su-25 can fly with two damaged nacelles because its engines are buried in the fuselage and protected by a titanium armor bulkhead. If one engine dies, the other is fine, and the stabilizer is above them and unlikely to be hurt.

That's the implication at least. Whether it's intended or not is an open question, but at least we have more evidence of Su-25s surviving Iglas and whatnot, and actual video evidence to back it up, whereas A-10 has several magazine articles and a museum display.
 
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Do I need to explain in greater detail why exactly the now-deleted videos showing the quality of modern Russian armor are in fact utterly relevant to the discussion?

Did they, though? I'm not an expert on the subject, but bullet or shrapnel impact (which is what the armour is supposed to resist) seems different enough from bending the plate over your knee that I question the pertinence of that "test".
Attend your next nearest gun show. There should be at least one vendor of body armor; they will have steel plates as well as kevlar. You will note that the steel plates are *far* thicker than was shown. What was shown was simple sheet metal, on the order of one mm thick: it'd be unlikely to stop a .22, never mind a normal military round.

The helmet that was shown being pounded inverted was likely a plastic airsoft helmet, as the one feller was complaining about. And there are numerous videos of captured Russian tanks covered in reactive armor filled not with explosives but with rubber or cardboard.

Corners have been cut on a *massive* scale. If this has happened with the body armor for the soldiers and the protection for ground vehicles, why should we assume it *hasn't* happened for aircraft?
 

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