Scott Kenny
ACCESS: USAP
- Joined
- 15 May 2023
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Dang, that's from 20 years ago!
Dang, that's from 20 years ago!
Nope, wrong again.A. Apollo Telescope Mount began its development from LM hardware.
B. Obviously. As does SR-1 and Nancy Grace Roman. Your point?
C. Some work, some fail. As with everything. You need to be more specific - what exactly do these missions have to do with my claim, what do they have in common, and which claim? That is not a refutation. Please look up the meaning of the word and explain your points more clearly.
Irrelevant since it is not braking.Have a look at the transit times and allowable masses modelled for outer planet missions, such as Tianwen-4's Uranus component - launch from Earth - proposed - 2029, Uranus flyby (no stopping), 2045.
It doesn't really reduce the time since it has to spiral out of early orbit.JIMO was cancelled because of its massive cost but considering Webb's insane overruns, all of that new technology loaded into one big spacecraft would doubtless have also come in at multiples of its already unfeasibly high cost estimates. Since NASA has studied nuclear-electric crewed missions to Mars and they've apparently pulled back from nuclear-thermal as a policy (DRACO was cancelled), then SR-1 would do a good job in developing the technology. That wouldn't be nothing.
I started with providing facts that disproved some your statementsYou can do better than that, in terms of both content and tone.
If you did, I'd be grateful to be informed. After all, I am only speculating.
The problem is that planetary scientists are just hostile to any funding of engineering projects for tomorrow when they'd rather have its funds for the also-ran craft of today.I'm still waiting for someone to propose a nuclear-ramjet atmospheric probe for the outer planets.
Unsubstantiated statement. Show your proof.The problem is that planetary scientists are just hostile to any funding of engineering projects for tomorrow when they'd rather have its funds for the also-ran craft of today.
wrong guess again.Scott, my guess is that--had Falcon Heavy been a MSFC build-- you could rest assured they would have wanted to raid it's budget and flown it (instead) on a D-IV on an even more leisurely path.
DARPA pulled its funding.We have Congress and DARPA actually eager to fund nuclear propulsion--and folks who should be happy with that would rather poor-mouth it.
You can do better than that, in terms of both content and tone.
If you did, I'd be grateful to be informed. After all, I am only speculating.
Thanks.The same applies to almost everything else you wrote in that post--the planetary science community has not stated a requirement for these things. This is a technology demonstration mission, but it will demonstrate technologies that the planetary science community has not indicated they require.
so it is a bit of a stretch to argue that SR-1 is directly applicable to a lunar application.
Similarly, the multiple helicopters on Mars won't do much science, but they could support a human landing. A key issue for technology demonstration missions is how likely is the technology to be used by the intended user? There should be a more direct requirement and path to use.
Examples of these ".kindly old, grounded...ignored...men"I can't help but wonder if space advocates, space authors, etc....kindly old, grounded...ignored...men who quietly pushed for exploration-
But it is. Is any other space tug not a complete spacecraft?I wouldn't say that the Gateway propulsion module is a complete spacecraft as it was always intended to operate as part of a system.
Vasimir is unproven and not part of the discussion.I've seen a mission plan in which a Vasimir-propelled spacecraft
But it is. Is any other space tug not a complete spacecraft?
Missing the point. Vasimir is indeed unproven but my point was that a low-thrust high-ISP spacecraft spiraling out from Earth can be met in high orbit by a crewed spacecraft using high-thrust chemical propulsion. Whether it's plasma or ion driven is irrelevant.Vasimir is unproven and not part of the discussion.
Yes, that's a key question. However, Isaacman has two major issues: avoiding the humiliation and discord with international partners over cancelling Gateway outright and squeezing a major demonstrator mission out of a declining budget. It's more political than technical and the less optimal technical solution is the only politically viable one. 'Should' is not 'can.'
Doesn't change the fact that Franksats have a poor success rateA tug by itself is like one telephone.
Really, this is veering into pedantry.
yes is, because ion is still too slow. Vasimir was suppose to speed things up,Missing the point. Vasimir is indeed unproven but my point was that a low-thrust high-ISP spacecraft spiraling out from Earth can be met in high orbit by a crewed spacecraft using high-thrust chemical propulsion. Whether it's plasma or ion driven is irrelevant.
This or bust?yes is, because ion is still too slow. Vasimir was suppose to speed things up,
That makes no sense. Maneuvering is not a big deal.I would like to see larger probes... multiple small cameras such that the craft doesn't have to maneuver any more than it has to.
And with what mass?Stern was as nervous as a long tailed cat in a room full of rocking chairs around the Pluto flyby.
That probe was tiny. If you have cameras like porcupine quills, that dish stays pointed Earthwards.
I think you are misunderstanding the Skyfall mission. There are two things that motivate it:
1-Isaacman believes that nuclear electric propulsion is the space propulsion system of the future and he wants to develop it.
2-JPL does not have any work, and the helicopters and reentry vehicle will give JPL a project when otherwise it is a wasteland for them.
I am really dubious of #1 (even though I am supportive of developing fission power for lunar/Mars surface use). #2 can be accomplished without NEP. And arguably there are better projects that could be used to keep JPL afloat.
Doesn't change the fact that Franksats have a poor success rate
yes is, because ion is still too slow. Vasimir was suppose to speed things up,
So I suspect that Elon is going to set up a trust or foundation of some kind to continue funding the Mars stuff after he passes.Look, SR-1 is clearly far from ideal even as a demonstrator and it certainly isn't a prototype, but the physical components actually exist and can be used. In an ideal world, a crewed Mars transport would have a clear design and development path mapped out with guaranteed funding over the full stretch. We all know how likely that is - especially under this administration.
So I suspect that Elon is going to set up a trust or foundation of some kind to continue funding the Mars stuff after he passes.
In the 19th century, there was a great fear of being buried alive (and of body snatchers like Burke and Hare digging up bodies for dissection by medical students). One solution was to have a bell hung on the grave marker with a string leading to the coffin for those who might be prematurely buried to ring. Maybe there could be an inverse of this.Is there a way to set any kind of forum alarm to alert me if and when a human astronaut mission to Mars actually happens, nuclear powered or not...
LV growth is to the point you don't have to shave every little ounce. LV shrouds aren't the prisons they once were.And with what mass?
A. that still doesn't work, still requires pointing. And it is waste of mass
Same goes for Franksats.Unfunded proposals have a zero success rate.
Not relevant. The only component that exists is the spacecraft bus. It like saying we have the ability to navigate and steer and the rest of the vehicle (car, truck, plane, ship, etc) is not a issue but did I happen to say it is nuclear powered.Look, SR-1 is clearly far from ideal even as a demonstrator and it certainly isn't a prototype, but major physical components actually exist and can be used. In an ideal world,
Can't give money to specific government agencies. Any money received by a US government agency goes to the general Treasury fund. Before Challenger, when the Shuttle was flying commercial spacecraft and charging for the ride, the money did not go to NASA, it went to the Treasury.Or Elon/Trump could drop a lot of his personal funds into a trust or endowment to NASA to make sure things are paid for until delivery, with or without Congressional support.
Wrong. They will always want more propellant vs more cameras. Allows for more pointing and maneuvering.LV growth is to the point you don't have to shave every little ounce. LV shrouds aren't the prisons they once were.
Space designers don't see thatI can easily see each camera mounted to its own cube sat so that when a flyby is done, the main probe is like a Pez dispenser...and beams CubeSat data back.
They already been doing that for decades and that is why optics are now fixed to the structure. Galileo was 36 years ago.A good rule of thumb is "if it can't move, it can't break." Compare Cassini's dish to Galileo...Lucy to Voyager, etc. Outer planet probes will always be expensive anyway, so make the bloody things where they would survive Omaha Beach.
And in the long run, it might be better to treat PPE as a sunk cost and go on without it.
Endowments.Can't give money to specific government agencies. Any money received by a US government agency goes to the general Treasury fund. Before Challenger, when the Shuttle was flying commercial spacecraft and charging for the ride, the money did not go to NASA, it went to the Treasury.
No, Eendowments are for NGOs, non profits and universities and not for government agencies. They can't use the money as I stated.Endowments.
The money can literally only be spent for the purpose the endowment is established for.
Who funds the research grants? Endowments.No, Eendowments are for NGOs, non profits and universities and not for government agencies. They can't use the money as I stated.
Name one endowment that goes to a government agency.
Same goes for Franksats.
But a meaningless point regardless. It doesn't justify wasting money on bad concepts.
Not relevant. The only component that exists is the spacecraft bus. It like saying we have the ability to navigate and steer and the rest of the vehicle (car, truck, plane, ship, etc) is not a issue but did I happen to say it is nuclear powered.
Every comsat and spacecraft manufacturer had off the shelf designs for buses. And many have active production lines for them.
And in the long run, it might be better to treat PPE as a sunk cost and go on without it.
US government agencies don't get research grants, they get funded by Congressionally approved appropriations from the US Treasury.Who funds the research grants? Endowments.
Yep all.Er, no. Complete failures, all of them, no data generated? Every single one of them? Are you serious? Many were flawed, but not complete failures for all.
Airbus' ESM for Artemis seems to have worked pretty well despite being based on the earlier ATV. So that's an obvious misrepresentation. I'd even say disingenuous.
Nope. That is not a "Frankensat". The buses are built to order with payload unique modifications and the payload is built specifically for the bus.So OTHER Frankensats?
My background is spacecraft launch operations and 18 of the 81 were planetary missions.My background's in architecture, academic and professional. I've schlepped through enough professional politics (in both realms), design offices, AND building sites, to see where ideals have to give way to reality - physical, political, legal, and economic, not to mention the ever-changing and irreconcilable whims of clients. 'So tired of dealing with amateurs' someone said. Really? There's more to getting things done than devising ideal solutions for reports that end up being filed and forgotten.
Sunk cost fallacy. It isn't "ready" to use. It just exists. Modifying is going to cost more. Cheaper to start over.Actual physical hardware, costing an estimated five billion dollars or more and ready to be used, should be thrown away in preference for some hypothetical successor that is not even in a a strategic plan, let alone a preliminary study?
Depends on costs of modifications.Sunk cost fallacy. It isn't "ready" to use. It just exists. Modifying is going to cost more. Cheaper to start over.