Indeed....but the area it covers as a result of its slow speed is not huge. Great for loitering over a choke point, but only really useful as an adjunct for a manned MPA like Poseidon.
I may have underestimated the endurance. If the advertised numbers with the radar pod in place are 30+, now we're talking a 15" hour patrol.


Could make it very useful as a carrier borne ASW platform though....
Especially with the Mojave-derived STOL wing.
 
$1.5bn... :rolleyes: Using triple costs for MQ-9s and I still can't reach $1.5bn unless I price an F-35 at $800m.
 

About the UK's recently retired 10 strong fleet...one had only been purchased in the last 4 years to replace a lost one...if the daft buggers have scrapped that one instead of selling on....the others may well have reached End of Life, and had sensors etc stripped....but even then you'd think they would have had some value in just preserving and sticking in a hangar as emergency reserves...they do use the same GA-ASI control system after all...

View: https://x.com/GarethJennings3/status/2062888999992033748
 
Thanks CastleBravo, the STOL MQ-9B would be a huge advantage over the Crowsnest Merlins offering longer range in detecting threats.
 

MQ-9 Getting Airborne Early Warning Radar Is A Huge Deal​

https://www.twz.com/air/mq-9-getting-airborne-early-warning-radar-is-a-huge-deal
Turning the MQ-9 into a radar-toting airborne early warning (AEW) platform for detecting and tracking aircraft, drones, and missiles. A Reaper in this exact configuration just flew for the first time recently.
1781875787747.png
The MQ-9 sortie in question was the product of a partnership between General Atomics and Saab, with Saab, already a leader in AEW systems, providing the podded radar system named LoyalEye. This initial test flight took place on May 19th, and a full demonstration of the pairing’s capabilities is planned for next year.
 
https://www.washingtonpost.com/nati...-its-reaper-drones-iran-war-depletes-arsenal/

U.S. military has lost roughly 25% of its Reaper drones as Iran war depletes arsenal - WP

The U.S. military has lost at least 45 MQ-9 Reaper drones during the war with Iran, or roughly 25 percent of its fleet, according to three U.S. officials familiar with the matter.
The Reaper is used to conduct surveillance and targeted strikes, and it can cost between $30 million to $50 million depending on the type of sensors and weapons it carries, according to the Air Force. The potential taxpayer cost of recent losses is over $1.3 billion for that weapon system alone.

I wonder how Israeli statistics look like.
 
Much of the cost is the associated systems on the aircraft. The platform cost the same as an H-60. No matter how you cut it, they are not cheap at a loss rate that is statistically worse than the loss rate for bombers in WW2. 25% of the fleet in five months. If we put survivability equipment on the UAS those numbers might go down, but then they would cost as much as an Apache. Tactics might help as well. Plodding along at a constant altitude, or better yet, in a circle at a constant altitude makes you target practice for the air defense. One has to wonder how many missiles got shot per kill. I am pretty sure no one knows because there is no warning systems. The videos only show you the missile that got it.

UAS are a very useful tool, not an invincible panacea of air warfare. Wait till quantum driven AI tells you UAS fleet to "roll 180, pull 90, accept no further commands." A pilot might ask for clarification first.

https://www.defenseone.com/policy/2...ay: Aug 14, 2026&utm_term=newsletter_d1_today
 
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Worse than the loss rate for bombers during WW2? Let's see the stats on that and how you're calculating them.

Total aircraft losses during Epic Fury were 42 (Reapers, fixed wing and rotary wing) and 10,200 sorties were flown. That's a loss rate of ~4/1,000 sorties. Meanwhile RAF bomber loss rate during WWII was 2.5/100 sorties but >3/100 in 1940.

https://www.militarytimes.com/news/...craft-lost-or-damaged-in-operation-epic-fury/
https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases...ushes-iranian-threat-as-ceasefire-takes-hold/
https://www.airandspaceforces.com/article/1008daylight/
 
Much of the cost is the associated systems on the aircraft. The platform cost the same as an H-60. No matter how you cut it, they are not cheap
Doesn't help that Reapers use a really expensive TPE-331 for power. 600k just for an engine, because it's human-rated.
 
I think the fact that the engine is human rated is accessory. The prime selection factor was certainly reliability with flight lasting up to 24hr. No way your casual attritable UCAS power unit could do that today. (at least for more than a couple of flight).
 
I think the fact that the engine is human rated is accessory. The prime selection factor was certainly reliability with flight lasting up to 24hr. No way your casual attritable UCAS power unit could do that today. (at least for more than a couple of flight).
It's still way overbuilt.

Let's use the example of the J85. It was originally designed as the engine for the ADM-20 Quail. So it used simple stainless steel in the compressor till the -21 version made for the F-5E/Fs. Those got high end titanium compressors with a larger inlet and an extra compressor stage at the front.
 
Doesn't help that Reapers use a really expensive TPE-331 for power. 600k just for an engine, because it's human-rated.

Even if you integrate another engine that cost half as much and some how still meets all the same performance metrics (this by itself will not be cheap and likely cost many multiple millions), you’d be saving 300k per aircraft, this is a literal rounding error on an aircraft that cost $30M. There isn’t enough engine on an MQ-9 for you to find enough savings to move the needle on reducing the cost of a cheaper MQ-9 by swapping engines.

If I had to guess the primary cost drivers on building an MQ-9 are likely the carbon fiber and sensor/camera ball, and other avionics like datalinks. You need the sensors and avionics for it to do its mission and you need the carbon to meet your long endurance performance requirements.

People that design successful aircrafts aren’t idiots. If the aircraft is successful it means the designers and engineers found just about the most optimal solution to a set of design requirements there is at the time it was designed. If you go in a redesign it, you might be able to improve upon it on the margins, but the cost of the aircraft isn’t going to magically go from $30M/plane to $10M/plane without either a radical change in requirements or a radically new technology that wasn’t available before (like going from piston to turbines). Meaning if the US DoW really want a much cheaper MQ-9, then something from either performance or mission systems will have to be dailed back. You’d count your lucky stars if you can find a 10% reduction in cost ($3M/plane) without changing mission requirements nor performance metrics.
 
Even if you integrate another engine that cost half as much and some how still meets all the same performance metrics (this by itself will not be cheap and likely cost many multiple millions), you’d be saving 300k per aircraft, this is a literal rounding error on an aircraft that cost $30M. There isn’t enough engine on an MQ-9 for you to find enough savings to move the needle on reducing the cost of a cheaper MQ-9 by swapping engines.
Have Reapers really shot up to 30mil each?

Not 30mil for the system (4 airframes, ground control station, satellite uplink)?
 
People that design successful aircrafts aren’t idiots. If the aircraft is successful it means the designers and engineers found just about the most optimal solution to a set of design requirements there is at the time it was designed. If you go in a redesign it, you might be able to improve upon it on the margins, but the cost of the aircraft isn’t going to magically go from $30M/plane to $10M/plane without either a radical change in requirements or a radically new technology that wasn’t available before (like going from piston to turbines). Meaning if the US DoW really want a much cheaper MQ-9, then something from either performance or mission systems will have to be dailed back. You’d count your lucky stars if you can find a 10% reduction in cost ($3M/plane) without changing mission requirements nor performance metrics.
All of this ultimately comes down to the Reaper being an unoptimized system that was developed for a very different time and battlefield. By today's standard, it's performance and cost cannot be reasonably reconciled, as there are systems, in some cases a multitude of systems working together that offer comparable performance while being cheaper to purchase and maintain.

You also forget a the fact that the Reaper is a product designed, developed and sold by a private company. It is sold at a significant higher price than it realistically costs to construct, because it's main purpose above all else is to generate profit through sales. Weapons systems developed by private contractors are commodities first and foremost, accomplishing set out performance goals comes after that. Military contractors are businesses, at least in the US and most of Europe.

Which means in total that these days a system or network of systems that can conduct the same mission sets as the Reaper could be developed and achieve a significantly lower unit cost as well. The Reaper itself simply was never meant to be particularly cheap, it wasn't optimized for it and isn't marketed as a budget conscious solution either.
 
The cost is also driven by Honeywell financial considerations...
I mean, yes, they do need to make a profit on the things and it is defined as a % of the total costs.

But a human-rated aircraft engine has a hell of a lot of paperwork attached to it, and it's the paperwork that costs.
 
I think you are misguided by the rating certificate label. If you put an engine in an unmanned vehicle, whatever the first intended application of that engine is, it will be the vehicle that would eventually dictate the legal path to flight worthy approval.
Regarding cost of engineering and manufacturing, Reaper had the opportunity to chose an engine with dual application, reducing the cost on overall. It is even probable that certain accessories have been modified to remove any unnecessary or overbuilt items and tune down it to the mission.

I will direct you to the wiki page to see all aircraft that have or use that engine:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Honeywell_TPE331

The 331 offers a lot of power in a minimal footprint. It's also a quite engine, a huge difference regarding other power unit found in UAV.
 
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I mean, yes, they do need to make a profit on the things and it is defined as a % of the total costs.

But a human-rated aircraft engine has a hell of a lot of paperwork attached to it, and it's the paperwork that costs.
Let's just say that Honeywell is special in this area...
 
I think you are misguided by the rating certificate label. If you put an engine in an unmanned vehicle, whethever the first intended application of that engine is, it will be the vehicle that would eventually dictate the legal path to flight worthy approval.
Regarding cost of engineering and manufacturing, Reaper had the opportunity to chose an engine with dual application, reducing the cost on overall. It is even probable that certain accessories have been modified to remove any unnecessary or overbuilt items and tune down it to the mission.
No.

That is NOT how engine costs work if the core design was for passenger aircraft.

Doesn't matter that this particular serial number is going into a drone. It was built for a certified manned-aircraft use, and costs accordingly.


Let's just say that Honeywell is special in this area...
A PT6A is even more...
 

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