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Just a reminder with enough time and Money likely all nations could build a 6 Gen fighter...
Ahh yes. The Uganda air force.Just a reminder with enough time and Money likely all nations could build a 6 Gen fighter...
I'd quibble only with this last item, which reflects a very specific requirement for countries focused on the Pacific theatre (as well as the UK for very obvious reasons related to patrolling the GIUK gap).6. Expanded range
In my opinion this is the most important point you made.I've listened to all the audits of Dassault/Safran/Thales at the french parliament/senate and they all affirm that France CAN do it alone.
I wouldn’t say France is lagging behind, even if Turkey and South Korea are making impressive strides and their efforts have to be applauded !
I find that statement pretty astonishing, to be honest. Are we really saying that France’s entire aviation industry is somehow lagging behind Turkey and South Korea ? That seems like quite an overreach...I believe this could be it's very own debate. Contrary to what one may think reading my comments here I genuinely value and believe in the French MIC (I'm an avid observer of their naval efforts, which repeatedly turn out to be rather impressive and unique). But over recent decades the French aviation industry hasn't shown something that would make me confident in their capabilities to outpace Turkey and South Korea which got a headstart in the same segment. Their greatest asset is obviously the ability to develop indigenous engines, which is an impressive capability and sets them apart from many players in the global military aviation scene. So while I wouldn't say France is lagging behind, I also don't see much evidence to suggest that France on it's own is comfortably ahead of such nations.
Of course, KAAN and KF-21 are noteworthy and they deserve credit for the progress made.The Rafale is, all things considered, yesterday's news while KAAN and KF-21 are promising recent developments with considerable effort behind them. Not only to deliver the aircraft in question but efforts are made to involve international partners and finding customers.
Their industry in general is more mature and experienced, but unless it keeps getting refined by developing new major technologies and products, they will actually fall behind by a bit even with a head start.@H_K let's just say that until Dassault rolls out a demonstrator or prototype for a manned stealth aircraft, one shouldn't overestimate their capabilities or believe they're firmly ahead of countries that did such a thing already.
Next people will claim Dassault and their 80s design are ahead of CAC and SAC...
National requirements are likely to vary a lot depending on contextWe ought to ask ourselves what those core trends are:
- High power generation
- High thrust or variable thrust engines
- Built in ability to function as a processing and command node for CCAs
- Wide band gap / high capability AESA + EO/IR sensors.
- Broadband, all aspect VLO.
- Expanded range
As much as you guys hate these terms - "open sourced", common interface / APIs, plug and play subsystems + subsystems software. Nobody writes monolithic software anymore and the more modular and independent your software is these days, the more flexibility and resilience you will have.The other less visible aspect with all these programmes is the software to make it all work. More functionality generally means more software and more complexity. I'm unclear whether any of these programmes is doing to be able to successfully deliver this quanity of software in a reasonable time, and keep it updated.
6th Gen fighter requirements (my take)Currently "6th gen" characteristics are pretty unclear, apart from maybe better sensors
National requirements are likely to vary a lot depending on context
Currently "6th gen" characteristics are pretty unclear, apart from maybe better sensors
Sure. Thats if you ignore the leaps and bounds these areas of technologies have come since the latest 5th gens were first developed and only look at surface level stuff.Sorry but for me, these enumerations are merely the natural progressions of a 5thGen. fighter.
In my mind, I would even characterize a tailless-design as a +5thGen. feature.
You realize that all CCAs are capable of being 100% AI piloted right? The pilot isnt controlling how the planes fly and with AI being integrated to BMS, CCAs can already just take the mission autonomously, plan out and execute tactical maneuvers already.But if you are talking about an unmanned, high-end fighter aircraft with an AI-Pilot for 99% of the time (with dedicated satellites etc.) or a mesosphere fighter…
How IA is implemented is also a sensitive issue for the policy makers, particularly with something that could carry a nuke :Sure. Thats if you ignore the leaps and bounds these areas of technologies have come since the latest 5th gens were first developed and only look at surface level stuff.
You realize that all CCAs are capable of being 100% AI piloted right? The pilot isnt controlling how the planes fly and with AI being integrated to BMS, CCAs can already just take the mission autonomously, plan out and execute tactical maneuvers already.
The only reason you dont want that is because AI tends to have limited contextual ability that lends itself to making stupid mistakes and also because you want to have human oversight no matter how good your AI is. These two things are never going away. That means the chance of there being a fully autonomous system that spends its entire service life being fully autonomous is basically zero - both now and in the future until we not only get general AI (which wont happen) and it matures enough to become trusted (which also wont happen).
From COMPTES RENDUS DE LA COMMISSION DES AFFAIRES ETRANGERES, DE LA DEFENSE ET DES FORCES ARMEES, Fr Sénat.... there is the third level of AI, which we are going to introduce into civil and military cockpits. It is much more sensitive and we are developing it internally with our engineers, although we do occasionally use start-ups and external capabilities. The amount of data coming into a cockpit is becoming unmanageable for a single pilot; we have put filters in place, so we will need to have ‘cockpit crew members’, i.e. AI that can assist the pilot. In the military field, the aim is to help the pilot accomplish their mission, particularly if there is a combat drone, bearing in mind that in the algorithm we are designing, humans are involved in every stage of the decision-making process, whether on the ground or in the Rafale aircraft. we will have to demonstrate to our leaders that it is indeed humans who make the decisions, and not AI capable of making decisions on its own, which would worry our fellow citizens.
You have not grasped what system of systems warfare is let alone what 6th gen (or really next gen from 5th gen) platform really means. You are still stuck comparing air frame to air frame when that's far from what 6th gen fighters embody.Difference between 3rd and 4th generation aircraft were the fly-by-wire controls.
For the 5th Gen., there was the introduction of the computer powered sensor fusion + stealth.
Excuse me if I’m expecting a bigger change/leap to call something next generational.
If this were the case, MQ-9 Reaper would, by your definition, be next gen. And we've been through this in other threads too - that's not happening. Not now and not into the future. There will always be manned fighters and manned platforms alongside unmanned ones.Omitting the human inside the fighter would be one of these kind of big changes. (possible or not, that is a story for another thread)
That's how every system I worked on from 1985 worked.As much as you guys hate these terms - "open sourced", common interface / APIs, plug and play subsystems + subsystems software. Nobody writes monolithic software anymore and the more modular and independent your software is these days, the more flexibility and resilience you will have.
Your central control software will have interfaces/sockets for sensors and weapon systems completely agnostic of software and hardware. It just needs a common set of parameters that any hardware + software plugging into the system needs to provide to the central control software.
Surprising comment considering you apparently write code.That's how every system I worked on from 1985 worked.
Yes, software practises have moved on, but the picture you're drawing of earlier systems is inaccurate. Systems talked to each other via databus, as long as they could send and receive data in the correct format, the aircraft didn't care what hardware or software they were running. In fact in the 777 PFCS we were compiling precisely the same software onto three different processors, it made zero difference.Surprising comment considering you apparently write code.
The same applied to comms and sensors. You could never change one thing and not make changes to something else in the actual aircraft's software.
I will acknowledge that modularity as a concept isn't new and if you say so, then I'll take your word for it, but what I will not agree with you on is what you said - that everything I listed was already being done in 1985 because that's just not true.Yes, software practises have moved on, but the picture you're drawing of earlier systems is inaccurate.
Which OFP? You keep talking like there's only one of them.There was no way to add a weapon / sensor to an aircraft without touching the OFP
Mission computers, armament stores, sensor formats, modes, cueing etc plus the weapon's own OFPs. In your 777 example, all of those new features you could add did not involve tacking on hardware and software that wasn't made for the plane originally did it?Which OFP? You keep talking like there's only one of them.
And that's not at all the same as what we were talking about. If FCAS/SCAF slaps a tablet into it's cockpit at first introduction, something's gone very very wrong.And it is in fact possible to add weapons or sensors without modifying existing software/hardware, it's been done using tablets as the interface/controller.
It's possible there is some modification of existing hardware/software in these cases, it's also possible there's precisely none. It will be simpler if you can piggyback on the 1553 and 1760 databuses, but it isn't essential, and it will be far simpler for testing purposes/implementation speed if you stay out of the existing hardware/software.
As I said previously - when technology allows you to develop a much much better solution that is applicable to a wide variety of platforms, why would I still choose the less efficient, less optimal solution?Just because something can be done one way doesn't mean it can only be done one way, and just because something is built to be used in one specific way doesn't mean you can't subvert that for other purposes
In your 777 example, all of those new features you could add did not involve tacking on hardware and software that wasn't made for the plane originally did it?
That's a rather misleading quotation, what I said was "Systems talked to each other via databus, as long as they could send and receive data in the correct format, the aircraft didn't care what hardware or software they were running." It's like adding a new PC or printer to your home network, as long as it's ethernet compatible the network doesn't care. If you mean not requiring software changes in adding new functionality, then was a different point entirely relating to the use of tablets to bypass the existing weapons management system. You seem to be squishing together two separate points: 1) that 80s/90s era OFPs were much more modular than you were presenting, and 2) that it's possible to piggyback new systems into aircraft without opting for full integration, as seen in tablet solutions.You said yourself "as long as you can send and receive data in the correct format" then you didn't require any software changes.
You were saying things couldn't be done without open systems, I provided a few examples where they were.And that's not at all the same as what we were talking about.
I thought the Turkish and Ukrainian examples were pretty clear about reasons you might do it, such as not having access into the existing software/hardware.As I said previously - when technology allows you to develop a much much better solution that is applicable to a wide variety of platforms, why would I still choose the less efficient, less optimal solution?
Also adapting things for what it wasn't intended for sounds like shitty software practices by modern standards.
No. I said:You were saying things couldn't be done without open systems, I provided a few examples where they were.
I'll let RAND do the talking for me. Directly from this report:Nobody writes monolithic software anymore and the more modular and independent your software is these days, the more flexibility and resilience you will have
[On federated avionics systems]
Early OFPs had software for each embedded subsystem with sequential logic and Boolean
decision trees...For EW, mission data were hardwired
into the OFP software. This resulted in the addition of conditional logic for special cases with
each update (new capability or mission requirement), creating monolithic software that is
difficult to maintain and does not lend itself to redesign into logical components
[On Integrated Modular Mission Systems]
For legacy platforms with federated avionics architecture, many of the OFPs (in
the OFP suite for various subsystems) have monolithic software with no specific core design.197
New capabilities and enhancements result in additional layers of conditional software code and
updates to interfaces between subsystems. Due to this lack of decoupling of deployable code, an
OFP software deployment for even a single subsystem generally requires end-to-end platform
testing for safety certification, DT&E, and OT&E.
And yet:[On OMS]
The concepts of open avionics and OSA have been around for over two decades. SOA and OSA have been applied to embedded weapon systems and avionics software design and implementation for several years...
Even in legacy platforms with federated architecture, SOA has been implemented in subsystem OFPs—for example, the OFP for the fire control computer of
the Block 30 F-16 aircraft...
OMS has been around as a concept for a long time and certain things have adopted OMS but it sounds like that's far far away from being the normWhile the number of systems implementing some form of portable modules is growing, weapon system software is very far from being platform agnostic, reusable, or extensible. Platforms with complex avionics software systems with varied supply chains of modules that are developed on different architectures and standards are still the norm. Many platforms still have system integration
issues with every release, as mentioned above.
It depends entirely upon what kind of data you want to extract from the added item and whether that data can or cannot be transferred via the current interface you have. Just because you think a few instances here and there allowed you to add stuff without changing anything doesn't mean that it's the norm.long as the right messages turn up
From the FAA air worthiness directive:ISTR the gust alleviation function on the 777 was either completely new post 777-300 entry into service, or substantially redesigned, to cater for increased 'tail wag' forces in the longer fuselage making passengers air sick (after my time on the project, so I'm going off second-hand reports).
From the Avionics Handbook:The gust suppression function on the Boeing Model 777 airplanes is a non-essential feature of the essential flight control system.
Sounds like adding a sensor requires modification to control logic too, which is an OFP change.... the command for these functions are calculated in the PFCs and included as part of the normal rudder command to the main rudder actuators....The gust suppression system reduces airplane tag wag by sensing wind gusts via pressure transducers mounted on the vertical tail fin and applying a rudder command to oppose the movement ...
...even if only an OFP change for a subsystem that didn't require anything else, this is hardly the same as integrating and entirely new set of sensors (let alone sensors with sensing hardware that generates data in format your current avionics doesn't ingest).Another example (software only) would be the Enhanced Envelope Gunsight on the F-16, which was being written from scratch just as I joined Airborne Displays, as an in-service update for the existing F-16C/D Wide Angle HUD, so suddenly pilots had an extra option as they cycled through HUD modes.
And none of them applies when those reasons don't exist.I thought the Turkish and Ukrainian examples were pretty clear about reasons you might do it, such as not having access into the existing software/hardware.
Lol and? Our department is constantly commended for our software too and we also do hacky shit in some of our systems.Sounds like real-life to me. The statistical defect tracking/continual process improvement programme I developed by layering it on our existing problem reporting tool was a significant contributor to BAE Systems Rochester being awarded CMM Level 4, so if the Capability Maturity Model assessors from USAF Systems Command considered it an example of industry-wide best practise ....
You wouldn't say the F-16 was a 3rd generation fighter just because it had less range, weaponry and sensors as the F-15 or the F-14 did.
Agree, but with a few additions6th Gen fighter requirements (my take)
1) Avionics: F-35 Block IV or better (advanced AESA and electro-optical sensors, collaborative targeting etc)
2) Stealth: F-22 or better (ideally YF-23 level)
3) Kinematics: Eurofighter or F-22 like
4) Manned-unmanned teaming: able to quarterback unmanned offboard sensors, decoys, and effectors
5) Wild card: AI-driven onboard intelligence
(1) Industry state of the art(big data). F-35 is kinda slow with this one, yet it's often treated as some godly bar("5 millions lines of code" scare).Agree, but with a few additions
1) needs to be far better than F-35 Block IV
2) needs to include growth potential for new apertures and antennas which the 5th Gen don't have
3) also range and INTERNAL payload
4) plus more importantly, to exploit and fuse offboard sensor data from systems across all domains
I never claimed anything was 'the norm', the original point of dispute was your claim certain changes could not be done prior to open systems. I only needed to show one example to prove that's not the case.It depends entirely upon what kind of data you want to extract from the added item and whether that data can or cannot be transferred via the current interface you have. Just because you think a few instances here and there allowed you to add stuff without changing anything doesn't mean that it's the norm.
Where did I say no OFP change was required? I mentioned the tail sensors because I'm not sure if they were there prior to the gust protection system update or not. The whole point was about a software change adding a completely new requirement not anticipated at time of first design.Sounds like adding a sensor requires modification to control logic too, which is an OFP change
Don't think I said that and if I did anywhere, then I apologize because that's really not what I meant. Like I said - modularity isn't a new concept and you could definitely implemented at different levels before, but that's still not the same as having OMS or integrating stuff agnostic of platform like MOSA and UAI does.I never claimed anything was 'the norm', the original point of dispute was your claim certain changes could not be done prior to open systems. I only needed to show one example to prove that's not the case.
The French have a different understanding how they want to use their forces. They have an aircraft carrier and want to project power, the Germans not so much. If the French and German governments dont force the industry to work together, then this wont work.When I bring certain information together, an interesting overall picture comes together for me.
1. France currently has a big problem with his expenses. (Perhaps one of the reasons why FCAS is only supposed to be finished so late?)
2. Saudi Arabia is trying desperately (rightly so) to free itself from its US dependence with the help of its oil-billions by building a national defense industry.
3. The Saudis would like to buy into the GCAP consortium, but Japan has concerns (IMO, a good call)
4. Saudis have a problem with German armaments (keyword “German free”), which is why FCAS was never really an alternative.
5. France and Germany have different ideas about FCAS (always had, but suddenly more extreme)
Now we have a country that has a very good aircraft manufacturing history, that could very likely design a stealth fighter on its own, but that has real money problems.
Then we have a country that desperately wants to improve its image in the world, become more independent in defense and wants to produce instead of just buying. In addition, it is one of the richest countries ever.
Match in heaven?
P.s. I don't know how Spain fits in yet.
Agreed. I'm not trying to be political or controversial by any means, but isn't most of the skilled labor/ blue collar work taken up by foreign nationals from countries that aren't known for their high tech manufacturing?Tbh, if France was to seek defense industrial partners outside Europe, I see that happening with India rather than Saudi Arabia.
Indeed. The Rafale deal and general history of French aircraft, systems and weapons in service with the Indians should create a large basis of understanding each others needs and common ground. Also plenty of good will from either side.Tbh, if France was to seek defense industrial partners outside Europe, I see that happening with India rather than Saudi Arabia.
Indeed,The French have a different understanding how they want to use their forces. They have an aircraft carrier and want to project power, the Germans not so much.
The (late) Rafale export success give extra money to Dassault, Safran, Thales.Indeed. The Rafale deal and general history of French aircraft, systems and weapons in service with the Indians should create a large basis of understanding each others needs and common ground. Also plenty of good will from either side.
And I don't remember if I already mentioned it or just thought about it to myself, but just like the French, the Indians have carriers and are probably seeking to build larger and better ones in the future. Meaning they need jets for them. Both ordering the land and carrier based version of a jointly developed aircraft would be ultimately be huge win for France tbh. And the Indians would get the sweet tech transfer out of it they crave so much. Furthermore, it would provide India with the capability to deter not only Pakistan but also China in the air more effectively, rather than being completely out gunned like they're now. Similarly to how I view Sweden or even Turkey as a suitable partner for Germany and Spain, I believe India is a suitable partner for France in that regard.
Is there enough room for GCAP, GER-FCAS, FR-FCAS, F/A-XX, F-47, J-36 and J-50? I'd say so. Given that only the European offerings seem to even seriously consider exports.
I imagine many customers of French hardware would be interested, especially the ones who haven't or cannot pick up F-35s to bridge the gap. But which of these may have the stuff to be more than a mere customer? That's the big question.The Rafale export customers can also be sollicited to enter in a SCAF fr program.... (Greece, UAE, Egypt are proper targets).
Agree with most of this except highlighted. SA is about the 20 th largest economy (behind Turkey and Mexico) and its GDP/Capita is ranked about 39th or 40th, behind such countries as Guyana and Slovenia. The perception of great wealth is due to the fact that it's royal family owns a large part of its annual income and is free to spend it outrageously.When I bring certain information together, an interesting overall picture comes together for me.
1. France currently has a big problem with his expenses. (Perhaps one of the reasons why FCAS is only supposed to be finished so late?)
2. Saudi Arabia is trying desperately (rightly so) to free itself from its US dependence with the help of its oil-billions by building a national defense industry.
3. The Saudis would like to buy into the GCAP consortium, but Japan has concerns (IMO, a good call)
4. Saudis have a problem with German armaments (keyword “German free”), which is why FCAS was never really an alternative.
5. France and Germany have different ideas about FCAS (always had, but suddenly more extreme)
Edit 6. There has been a connection in the past between Dassault and Saudi Arabia over the Mirage 4000 project (Pointed out by Archibald)
Now we have a country that has a very good aircraft manufacturing history, that could very likely design a stealth fighter on its own, but that has real money problems.
Then we have a country that desperately wants to improve its image in the world, become more independent in defense and wants to produce instead of just buying. In addition, it is one of the richest countries ever.
Match made in heaven?