USAF/USN 6th Gen Fighters - F/A-XX, F-X, NGAD, PCA, ASFS News & Analysis [2008- 2025]

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quellish said:
The Navy needs a naval NGAD. What it will ask for, and get, is a “ hyper Hornet” with a few UAVs it doesn’t know what to do with that will eat more specious below deck space.

If the Navy had a clue it would be pushing separate, cheaper “carriers” for unmanned systems.
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The USN has lots of requirements. Super long range anti aircraft might just not be the top of the stack
 
quellish said:
The Navy needs a naval NGAD. What it will ask for, and get, is a “ hyper Hornet” with a few UAVs it doesn’t know what to do with that will eat more specious below deck space.
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Tomcat was originally spec'd to have ground attack capabilities, wasn't it? They just weren't funded till late.


quellish said:
If the Navy had a clue it would be pushing separate, cheaper “carriers” for unmanned systems.
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Maybe for small unmanned systems, but anything roughly the size of a modern plane requires a supercarrier.
 
I had originally thought that both the F/A-XX and NGAD were supposed to be one and the same quellish? Now it seems that they are going with different ideas as to what each service needs in terms of specifications.
 
FighterJock said:
I had originally thought that both the F/A-XX and NGAD were supposed to be one and the same quellish? Now it seems that they are going with different ideas as to what each service needs in terms of specifications.
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They were never the same. The hope was that they could share technology. But the FA-XX will have weight, size, and stall speed requirements that NGAD will not. Plus the USN probably does not need the same level of range, since it’s airfields move.
 
Forgetting also the fact the F/A-XX will also have to be structurally stronger than the Air Force NGAD due to the fact of carrier landings.
 
quellish said:
The Navy needs a naval NGAD. What it will ask for, and get, is a “ hyper Hornet” with a few UAVs it doesn’t know what to do with that will eat more specious below deck space.

If the Navy had a clue it would be pushing separate, cheaper “carriers” for unmanned systems.
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They could base it off the LHA hull. Problem is, they go down that road, the politicians will be saying, "we don't need these big fancy CVNs anymore because these new drone carriers are "transformational, asymmetric game-changers".
 
FighterJock said:
I had originally thought that both the F/A-XX and NGAD were supposed to be one and the same quellish? Now it seems that they are going with different ideas as to what each service needs in terms of specifications.
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No, they were always going to be different airframes, probably just sharing engines and electronics.

USN has MTOW limits (and landing weight limits) that don't apply to the USAF, and doesn't need as much range as the USAF, either.
 
Desertfox said:
The T-7A program is doing reasonably well. Feels like most of Boeing's problems are with the commercial (and commercial derived) side.
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breakingdefense.com

Boeing adds $1B in new charges for Air Force One replacement, T-7 Red Hawk programs - Breaking Defense

"Air Force One, I'm just going to call a very unique moment, a very unique negotiation, a very unique set of risks that Boeing probably shouldn't have taken," Boeing CEO Dave Calhoun said. "But we are where we are, and we're going to deliver great airplanes. And we're going to recognize the...
breakingdefense.com breakingdefense.com

breakingdefense.com

Boeing backs T-7 amid stinging GAO report that cites 'tenuous' strain with Air Force - Breaking Defense

A Boeing official tells Breaking Defense that the company is making strides on issues around the training jet's ejection seat.
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Meh...

Yes, they finally delivered a plane. But the software...
 
FighterJock said:
I think that is the way the USAF is going Josh_TN, having just the manned variant of the NGAD as the air controller with twin seats controlling the far more numerous CCA UCAVs into battle and keeping far away from the fight.
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I can't imagine NGAD not being the tip-of-spear, neutralizing enemy air-to-air capacity in critical areas, granted with stealth cca's to extend their 'capabilities.' Unless the thinking has changed I'd expect NGAD to be making space for B-21's.
 
Josh_TN said:
... I think it possible we might even see CCAs with the same mission and price point being build by different contractors.
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Well, they want 1000 of them. It would probably be prudent to have a number of manufacturers.

I hope they can follow-up with the missile production. They've got to cut the cost of munitions.
 
Josh_TN said:
Australia might be an in between the second chain and outlying US states. But certainly range is a major consideration, more so than FA-XX. If the USN was Guam level distant from the PRC coast, I suspect they would be happy. Thier airfield moves.
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Don't forget the new bases in the Philippines...

I don't see the USN staying out of a fight. There are a number of southern Japanese islands East of Taiwan and the Philippines where Marines may haunt the PLN.
 
NeilChapman said:
Well, they want 1000 of them. It would probably be prudent to have a number of manufacturers.

I hope they can follow-up with the missile production. They've got to cut the cost of munitions.
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Making orders of 10,000/yr instead of 1k/yr will help that.
 
If I´m not mistaking, the AF wants to award an EMD-contract next year for a very, very expensive air-dominance 'platform' that comes with a lot of whistles & bells, and as I have read/understood during the past months, one that will already incorporate as much as possible all of the desired technologies & subsystems at the time the EMD-contract decision has to be made, to avoid (another) prolonged and more complicated development later on. I would assume the AF is taking a similar path with the NGAD-platform as with the B-21; to be able to move from developmental aircraft to production-aircraft as swiftly as possible.
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I'm inclined to believe something is going on that is different than in the past. Vago Mauradian and JJ Gertler has mentioned 2028 as when NGAD will either be operational or flying. Air and Space Magazine has used 2030, not the 2030s. The only information we have to go off of is what officials or journalists with sources have unveiled.

Roper's comments were followed by others:
Lieutenant General Clinton Hinote, the AF’s Deputy Chief of Staff for Strategy, Integration and Requirements, has mentioned that he has taken legislators to view the “aircraft" and they have been impressed. Lieutenant General Richard Moore, Deputy Chief of Staff for Plans and Programs more recently has noted that “NGAD is not a powerpoint aircraft. It is real and has flown.” At the very least, I don't think it would be unreasonable to assume that the demonstrators are full scale demonstrators that at least resemble the production aircraft to some degree.

The AF has spent a lot of money in the Technology Maturation and Risk Reduction phase. What has that got them? At least three "demonstrators?" Similar to the YF-22/YF-23 and the X-35/X-32? Or something more mature in development?

With the engine program, the AF has expressed a desire to carry the Pratt and GE to prototyping before an award. The AF could be following the same path with the airframe, and possibly the mission systems for that matter. John Sneden from GE expects testing in 2024-25 and a down select in 2026. Funding for NGAP begins to decline after FY24 and ends after FY27, pointing to production?

If there is a high degree of maturation in the designs I could see that a contractor could roll out the first test article by 2028. The engine should be ready by then. But it would be much more difficult for NGAD to become operational by 2028. How long would testing take before production aircraft were rolled out? 2 years? More?

If the AF can pull this off then they are clearly far a head of the other services in vision and execution.
 
Colonial-Marine said:
I'll grant you that the F-35C is a very capable aircraft in many respects, but it is a strike fighter, and I'd emphasis the strike part of that term. It gives up some performance to have greater range.

I'm envisioning something with a similar degree of stealth as the F-35 or F-22 that can go Mach 2+ if needed and can supercruise with a payload of long-range air-to-air missiles. A modern successor to the F-14 in many respects. Naturally it can be given some air-to-surface capability, but this should be secondary to its role of countering offensive efforts of the enemy's land or carrier-based aircraft.


Indeed, the ability of the carriers to stand-off from most threats is hugely important and is one of the reasons a longer range was desired from F/A-XX. But I don't see how this decision helps that goal.
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NATF returns!
 
Several billion dollars clearly is not enough for production, probably even low rate, for a platform that already has a price tag of “hundreds of millions”. CCA on the other hand seems to have a much more truncated development using largely off the shelf technology (the physical aircraft, not the AI agents and interface). The unmanned portion tge USAF is already predicting for 2028. But for the manned aircraft, I do not see how there is any significant production activity this decade.
 
Josh_TN said:
Several billion dollars clearly is not enough for production, probably even low rate, for a platform that already has a price tag of “hundreds of millions”. CCA on the other hand seems to have a much more truncated development using largely off the shelf technology (the physical aircraft, not the AI agents and interface). The unmanned portion tge USAF is already predicting for 2028. But for the manned aircraft, I do not see how there is any significant production activity this decade.
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Agreed, I'd be surprised if the NGAD contract is signed before 2030.

The CCAs can be flying sooner, we have F15D, -E, and -EX available to play quarterback.
 
Scott Kenny said:
Pretty much. And with an expected size/weight close to that of an F-111B(!), I should add.
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The F-14 wasn’t much smaller than the F-111N. NATF would’ve been an amazing plane. Maybe now we’ll finally get it.
As for drones and CCA, doesn’t make my heart go pitter-patter.
 
I suppose the US Navy should never have cancled NATF but they had no choice after all the problems with the A-12 Avenger, you are right Bruno Anthony in saying that we may as well get the NATF or a form of it in the F/A-XX which will be a good thing in the long run.
 
Bruno Anthony said:
The F-14 wasn’t much smaller than the F-111N.
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Overall dimensions? No, not all that much smaller, only 6ft shorter and actually 5ft wider with the wings fully swept.

The F-111B is just some 18,000lbs higher gross weight and 14,000lbs higher MTOW. Oddly, only 2000lbs heavier empty.

I'm saying that I expect the FAXX to be on the order of 85,000lbs MTOW, basically the maximum the catapults can throw.
 
Scott Kenny said:
Overall dimensions? No, not all that much smaller, only 6ft shorter and actually 5ft wider with the wings fully swept.

The F-111B is just some 18,000lbs higher gross weight and 14,000lbs higher MTOW. Oddly, only 2000lbs heavier empty.

I'm saying that I expect the FAXX to be on the order of 85,000lbs MTOW, basically the maximum the catapults can throw.
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The 7000 lbs greater fuel capacity of the F-111B might have something to do with that and the MAX takeoff weights according to the Specific Aircraft Characteristics are just 3000lbs apart. Specific mission profiles differed of course. But the F-14 is robust too.

NATF was also going to be heavier than ATF but hey the missions were different too.


 
Scott Kenny said:
Overall dimensions? No, not all that much smaller, only 6ft shorter and actually 5ft wider with the wings fully swept.

The F-111B is just some 18,000lbs higher gross weight and 14,000lbs higher MTOW. Oddly, only 2000lbs heavier empty.

I'm saying that I expect the FAXX to be on the order of 85,000lbs MTOW, basically the maximum the catapults can throw.
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Some NATF stuff

Post in thread 'NATF: planned Navy versions of the F-22 and F-23'
https://www.secretprojects.co.uk/th...ersions-of-the-f-22-and-f-23.2730/post-159435

Post in thread 'NATF: planned Navy versions of the F-22 and F-23'
https://www.secretprojects.co.uk/th...ersions-of-the-f-22-and-f-23.2730/post-159436
 
Wouldn't that could also be the case that the same contractor was selected by both services and USAF got the lead in that effort?
 
I wonder what missions the USN envisions for CCAs. I would think it likely these end up being very small platforms with limited payloads. This might prevent them from having any significant strike capability.
 
Josh_TN said:
I wonder what missions the USN envisions for CCAs. I would think it likely these end up being very small platforms with limited payloads. This might prevent them from having any significant strike capability.
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Right now, the primaries seem to be extra AAMs and EW/recon assets.

What has been surprising me has been the lack of air-to-ground missions.
 
Scott Kenny said:
Right now, the primaries seem to be extra AAMs and EW/recon assets.

What has been surprising me has been the lack of air-to-ground missions.
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"Its last hour, it's either a target or a weapon."
It sounds like they may take the ones close to the end of their service life and turn them into jumbo cruise missiles.
 
Scott Kenny said:
Right now, the primaries seem to be extra AAMs and EW/recon assets.

What has been surprising me has been the lack of air-to-ground missions.
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Air to ground, or air to ship, would require a UAV with a heavy payload. Where as A2A and ECM/ISR are less weight.
 
When's the last time Boeing was anywhere near on time or on budget (or even meets quality reqs.)?
 
Forest Green said:
https://twitter.com/x/status/1782376719027974259
View: https://x.com/AirPowerNEW1/status/1782376719027974259
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Interesting. For ATF, LockMart went with the less-radical design as well while Northrop went radical. For JSF, LockMart went with a less radical design (despite the lift fan) while Boeing went pretty radical. And we both know how those two contests went.

For the USAF to be wanting to go radical this time is surprising.

That said, Politics are likely to play into this contest, hard. Giving the USAF NGAD contract to Boeing while LockMart is busy with F35 would not surprise me.

The more interesting question is who is going to win the FAXX contract, but that is several years out now.



sferrin said:
When's the last time Boeing was anywhere near on time or on budget (or even meets quality reqs.)?
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Don't confuse Boeing Military with Boeing Commercial.
 
Boeing military has certainly stumbled as well on a couple projects - KC-46 and Orca spring to mind. But LM is hardly knocking it out of the park with its F-35 fiasco.
 
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