That would be wrong.You are all forgetting their some commercial payloads which will never fly on Space X. For example the many, many launches generated by Amazon Kuiper, first operational flight of which is later this year on Atlas 551. None of them will ever be given to Space X.
Amazon's Project Kuiper secures 3 launches with SpaceX
Additional capacity will supplement existing launch contracts to support Project Kuiper’s satellite deployment schedule.
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