CSBA "Third Offset" paper

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Flooding the zone: Future aviation capability tightens kill chain at Project Convergence

The Army has demonstrated next-level teaming of air assets in a multidomain environment against near-peer adversaries in Arizona desert.
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Marine F-35s Share Targeting Data With Army: Project Convergence - Breaking Defense

The Army’s future-warfare exercise overcame a host of technical glitches to link systems ranging from NRO and NGA spy satellites to Marine Corps fighter jets.
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bobbymike said:
warontherocks.com

Kill ’Em All? Denial Strategies, Defense Planning, and Deterrence Failure - War on the Rocks

Should the United States be ready to destroy hundreds of Chinese vessels or thousands of Russian armored vehicles in just a few days during a conflict?
warontherocks.com
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Achieving these goals should also keep rivals on guard and in check. According to former Undersecretary of Defense for Policy Michèle Flournoy:

If the U.S. military had the capability to credibly threaten to sink all of China’s military vessels, submarines, and merchant ships in the South China Sea within 72 hours, Chinese leaders might think twice before, say, launching a blockade or invasion of Taiwan; they would have to wonder whether it was worth putting their entire fleet at risk.
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Not only would this enhance conventional deterrence by denial, insofar as China would be unable to conduct a brute force assault or count on militarized economic coercion, but the ability to wipe out expensive and prestigious assets such as modern submarines and surface combatants could have the added bonus of contributing to conventional deterrence by punishment.

Project Convergence may realize a geniune Revolution in Military Affairs and Net Centric Warfare, but what if one runs out of missiles and PGMs, technologies such as the ERCA and SLRC artillery are the only fallbacks
 
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Army Robots Hunt Tanks In Project Convergence - Breaking Defense

The pair of unmanned scout vehicles had enough AI smarts aboard to navigate cross-country, identify “enemy” forces, and open fire – but a human still decides whether to shoot.
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Still think they should make an autonomous CKEM carrier
 
Only three Wedgetails?
This isn't a third offset, its just capability trimming.
Integration across allies seems odd, its not like we've haven't had 70 years of NATO to show us the path. Talk of an EU Army sent us scurrying away.
I increasingly wonder if cyber warfare really does sit within the military sphere, could it better be done by a separate organisation?
 
bobbymike said:
British “Third Offset???”

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Britain unveils new operating concept for a ‘fundamental transformation in the military’

The chief of the Defence Staff says key changes backed by the concept include improved integration of effort across government and with allies, equipment modernization, and constant competition with adversaries below the threshold of war.
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“Our authoritarian rivals see the strategic context as a continuous struggle in which nonmilitary and military instruments are used unconstrained by any distinction between peace and war. These regimes believe that they are already engaged in an intense form of conflict that is predominantly political rather than kinetic,” he said. “Their way of warfare is strategic, it is synchronized and systematic, and our response must be too.”

Carter said. “Some industrial-age capabilities will increasingly have to meet their sunset to create the space for capabilities needed for sunrise. The trick is how you find a path through the night. We know this will require us to embrace combinations of information-centric technologies. But predicting these combinations will be challenging."

strong but necessary
 
breakingdefense.com

VCSAF Wilson Presses Service's Long-Range Strike Role - Breaking Defense

"All of the services are pursuing new long-range strike capabilities today, kind of like little kids chasing a soccer ball, and someone needs to ask which investments will maximize our nation’s long-range strike warfighting potential," said Mitchell Institute's Mark Gunzinger.
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Battle Force 2045 is Esper's baby, and he's just been fired. The plan has not been presented to Congress yet because the SecDef was waiting for the White House to endorse it, which seems unlikely now.
 
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