What is that??

Edit:
Looks like what Lockheed was testing at the Helendale RCS facility at night.
I haven't gotten a chance to listen to the podcast yet but ... did they say that the white model was a Lockheed design and not the Boeing one? Every time I see new model/planform with tails (let alone a v tail or god forbid vertical tails) and canards for NGAD I'm a little more disturbed.

I blame all the marketing for a dorito shaped lambda wing. Just give me my dorito lambda. Now I can't fix my headcanon.

Edit: the other model looks like delta flying wing. Almost reminds you of the FB-22 but with interesting wingtips.

There's actually a 3rd one sitting on his desk also with a v-tail but the planform isn't clear.
 
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Yes, that the one I was also mentioning. It indeed looks like 5GAT.

I would say that the pointy thing on the wall is a... Target.
 
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So he actually says in the podcast that in the source selection process, there was a joint air force and navy aspect to it, and that the navy made their selection first, then the air force, then came Kendall deferring NGAD to the next administration.

I guess the results have been determined already even for FA-XX too and there's at least some level of commonality between the two?


edit: crossed out because this is wrong info/ understanding
debunked below
 
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Note the second model on the table. Some 5GATs? And something pointy on the wall.
Anyway I wouldn't hold my breath for any 'revelations'.
The desk model has engines and inlets spaced apart akin to f-14 or su-57. any structural guy here knows if that's cost effective if the driving goal is to make it cheap?
 
So he actually says in the podcast that in the source selection process, there was a joint air force and navy aspect to it, and that the navy made their selection first, then the air force, then came Kendall deferring NGAD to the next administration.

I guess the results have been determined already even for FA-XX too and there's at least some level of commonality between the two?

What he said was:

Speaker2: So the YF 23, YF 22 fly off in the, uh, in the 90s wasn't really a fly off. Um, those were two prototypes that were kind of risk buy down for, uh, the ATF, the advanced, uh, you know, tactical fighter that was going to replace, uh, the fourth gen. Um, so, you know, there are some technology development, uh, service acquisition executive. Those have those have been flying, uh, you know, we've kind of we've, uh, the Air Force has said it has called those prototypes now, but that was really just kind of a step in the in the direction, uh, but we, uh, over the last couple of years, we were doing source selection for what would be the next generation air dominance. So there were, uh, there were at least two different vendors that were, uh, kind of, uh, you know, had, uh, contributions to that. And it was a joint Air Force and Navy, uh, aspect of that, uh, the Navy announced their selection first. Uh, we announced a late December. Uh, Secretary Kendall, the previous secretary of the Air Force, uh, was close to making a decision, but then he put it on hold to allow the Trump administration coming in to make a decision about whether or not to go forward with the next generation air dominance.

(again, I had the above transcribed at my own expense).

What he was (probably) talking about was the demonstrator (X-plane) program. That was a joint DARPA- Air Force - Navy program with two different vendors. The Navy demonstrator (Boeing) flew first.
 
Pardon me, had a LOT to catch up on...

I wonder if those canards can actually be very stealthy ?
The bigger the canards, the smaller the deflection needed (preserving edge alignment better) and the more effective their RAM/RAS is.


What do we know about the characteristics of this drone, the mass, the engine, the weight of the combat load?
Well, combat load that has been talked about for most of the "spear carrier" CCAs was 2x AMRAAMs. That's 700lbs or so. I might give it 1000lbs if there's a plan to stick 4x SDBs on them.

I will note that I expect combat load to significantly increase once the CCAs are less "spear carrier" and more "squires"/"men at arms"



I think people sometimes forget the fact that the China could use similar tactics to use against the US's naval blockade except the fact that they have more resources at their disposal due to SCS being in their backyard.
Except the USN has been developing A2AD since the 1970s with Aegis. And said A2AD was designed against 200+ incoming missiles as the expected threat. Soviet multi-regimental attacks.


Nothing, but with aspirational goal of 185 core airrframes, that may not go very far
F-47 is only planned for ~200 airframes, 1:1 replacement of F-22s (though I hope the F-22s get pushed down to the Reserves/Air Guard replacing F-15Cs instead of retired outright).

FAXX production is planned for more like 300 airframes, possibly more. That's two squadrons of 12x birds each, on 12x Carrier Air Wings.



Point of that is designing a plane for geography in stasis isn't exactly smart, when battlespace is movable. And while battlespace is movable, american allies in the region aren't.
You gotta design based on where the available air bases are, or you gotta build new air bases. Take your pick.


It would not surprise me. Having two hot production lines could be useful and these aircraft will not need maintenance in the traditional sense.
They're still going to need maintenance after each flight. Yes, they're probably going to fly a lot less than manned planes, but they're still going to spend some time flying.



Coming back to the F-47 proper, do we know anything about the helmet yet? Or has there been radio silence on that bit? I wouldn't be surprised if it's fundamentally just an evolution of the one used in the F-35.
Haven't heard anything, but I'd expect it to be an evolution of the F-35 helmet. Newer components, mostly. Still the same custom-fitted inner helmet with attachment points to the standard outer shell that holds all the electronic bits, because that's a really solid design concept.



Hope it's got a hell of a long error bar on the plus side of that.



If you are wanting the F-47 to be flying in 3 years, I would envision a “modified F119” to be a bone stock F119, possibly with a new augmentor / nozzle to match whatever the aft end concept is for the F-47. And a revised FADEC design to communicate on whatever flight control buss the F-47 will use instead of the 1553 bus used on the F-22.
All I'd expect on the physical-changes side would be a new nozzle on the back end for the F-47.

As to the data bus, is there any reason to not use the old 1553 bus? I mean, cars still used the ODB2 serial port to talk to the scan tools. Though admittedly they're using the CAN bus architecture aside from that port.



The question is whether the F119 would be a good fit size wise to replicate the XA102/103. Will those engines be closer in size to a F100/110 than a F119? They will want an engine that is essentially exactly the same size or smaller to prevent unnecessary airframe changes..
No, you want an engine same size or larger.

It's a lot easier to put an engine that has smaller airflow needs into a big bay than to try to stick a bigger engine into an airframe designed for a smaller one. Witness the Spey Phantom issues versus the Tomcat's ease of sticking TF30s into a nacelle designed for F401, and then sticking F110s into that same nacelle.



I'm not well versed in terms of engine tech but what are the reasons for not going with higher thrust engines? Even two of the AETP engines for the F-35 would get you a combined 80k lbs of thrust which would be nice kinematically especially if we are looking at a slightly larger fighter right?
Most of the time, you want to aim for a Thrust to Weight ratio of ~1:1 at about 33-40% of max range, or at about your combat radius. The exception being scramble interceptors, and most planes designed for that mission today just go for a reduced fuel load to get the climb rate needed.

You don't need 80-90klbs thrust for a fighter that has an MTOW of 80-90klbs, you need that much thrust for a fighter that has an MTOW of ~105-125klbs (and thirsty engines at the upper end).

I mean, the F-22 has an MTOW of 84klbs, but only has about 70klbs of max AB thrust. (Note that the typical air-to-air mission loadout has the F-22 taking off at about 65klbs, 6x AMRAAM + 2x AIM-9X is about 2500lbs, plus 18klbs of fuel, on an empty weight of ~43,500lbs)



Also how wouldn't more powerful engines imply better power generation?
It's based on what generators are installed, and how much torque can be pulled through the accessory gearbox.

Also, pulling too much power through the gearbox will reduce engine RPM and reduce how quickly the engine can change RPM. For an easy example, go for a drive in your car and compare how well it accelerates with the air conditioning on versus off.



Makes me wonder why there are so few twin engine aircraft with a vertical engine arrangement.
The maintenance really, really sucks. Sucks so bad that it's basically only been done on what was supposed to be a research prototype that was forced into combat service, the EE Lightning.



So he actually says in the podcast that in the source selection process, there was a joint air force and navy aspect to it, and that the navy made their selection first, then the air force, then came Kendall deferring NGAD to the next administration.

I guess the results have been determined already even for FA-XX too and there's at least some level of commonality between the two?
I'd expect radars, DAS, probably cockpit displays, EOTS/IRST, and defensive systems to be common between F-47 NGAD and FAXX. Oh, and maybe actuators.

All the stuff that is at least TRL7. USN is explicitly not using a 3-stream engine on the first batch of FAXX while supposedly the USAF is.
 
The Navy demonstrator (Boeing) flew first.
To clarify - does this mean Boeing's X-plane was a representative of Boeing's entry into the F/A-XX program and then the AF also liked what they saw in Boeing's navy proposal and that's how Boeing ended up winning the NGAD contract?
 
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No, you want an engine same size or larger.

It's a lot easier to put an engine that has smaller airflow needs into a big bay than to try to stick a bigger engine into an airframe designed for a smaller one. Witness the Spey Phantom issues versus the Tomcat's ease of sticking TF30s into a nacelle designed for F401, and then sticking F110s into that same nacelle.
?? Are you sure you said what you meant to... why would you want an engine larger? I already said to find an engine the same size or smaller so you don't have to modify the bay/airframe...
 
?? Are you sure you said what you meant to... why would you want an engine larger? I already said to find an engine the same size or smaller so you don't have to modify the bay/airframe...
Because if the A102/A103 end up physically larger than whatever engine you used for EMD or F-47A production, then you have to redesign a lot of stuff to make it fit. Again, see how much had to change on the Spey-powered F-4K/Ms versus their J79-powered F-4J counterparts.

While if you use an engine that is physically larger than that the A102/A103 ends up it's a lot simpler to make the smaller duct and maybe tweak the inlets. Again, Tomcat engine nacelles were designed around the F401, got TF30s installed "temporarily", and finally got F110s installed at the end.

I might actually go for something as wild as F101s in the EMD planes, so that you could have up to a 52" diameter engine in the bays without trouble.
 
To clarify - does this mean Boeing's X-plane was a representative of Boeing's entry into the F/A-XX program and then the AF also liked what they saw in Boeing's navy proposal and that's how Boeing ended up winning the NGAD contract?

They were X-planes. They were not intended to be representative of any potential designs for any successor program. The Air Force demonstrator demonstrated Air Force things, the Navy demonstrator demonstrated that it did not have to wait years for magic engines
 
Because if the A102/A103 end up physically larger than whatever engine you used for EMD or F-47A production, then you have to redesign a lot of stuff to make it fit. Again, see how much had to change on the Spey-powered F-4K/Ms versus their J79-powered F-4J counterparts.

While if you use an engine that is physically larger than that the A102/A103 ends up it's a lot simpler to make the smaller duct and maybe tweak the inlets. Again, Tomcat engine nacelles were designed around the F401, got TF30s installed "temporarily", and finally got F110s installed at the end.

I might actually go for something as wild as F101s in the EMD planes, so that you could have up to a 52" diameter engine in the bays without trouble.
That seems a very inefficient way to design a stealth airframe, especially one that is seeking Stealth++. The USAF would have a very good idea, or directly specced, the size they want the XA102/103 to be in the same way the XA100/101 were designed to be no larger than the F135. They would have intake size and airflow volume that has already been passed to Boeing to design to. If you put a bigger engine in then you not only risk over designing the airframe, so bigger holes and intakes than you need therefore increasing weight, but you also introduce the need to redesign large portions of the airframe.
 
That seems a very inefficient way to design a stealth airframe, especially one that is seeking Stealth++. The USAF would have a very good idea, or directly specced, the size they want the XA102/103 to be in the same way the XA100/101 were designed to be no larger than the F135. They would have intake size and airflow volume that has already been passed to Boeing to design to. If you put a bigger engine in then you not only risk over designing the airframe, so bigger holes and intakes than you need therefore increasing weight, but you also introduce the need to redesign large portions of the airframe.
There's very little redesign required to fit a smaller diameter engine into a bay designed for a large diameter. Inlet duct and the interface between nozzle and airframe.
 
There's very little redesign required to fit a smaller diameter engine into a bay designed for a large diameter. Inlet duct and the interface between nozzle and airframe.
But you introduce wasted space. The internals of stealth aircraft are already crammed full of stuff. Leaving space seems a waste and less than optimal solution, not does it address larger intakes and ducts than required.
 
But you introduce wasted space. The internals of stealth aircraft are already crammed full of stuff. Leaving space seems a waste and less than optimal solution, not does it address larger intakes and ducts than required.
You'd want more space, to cram in stuff in the future. Fair deal to me.
 
You'd want more space, to cram in stuff in the future. Fair deal to me.
Not really because the space is no longer available, it is taken up with larger intakes and ducting for a start. If you oversize all of that internally it is a significant redesign to get all that space back. Even if you do the locations are probably no longer optimal for the systems and items you may want to host there and rewiring internally to host new systems there is again a significant effort.

The intent of the original question that someone asked was to find an engine of similar or smaller size that would be used as an interim until the XA102/103 were ready. They will be the engines that fly in the aircraft for the majority of its operational life. Supersizing the intakes and ducting to accommodate an interim larger engine for an initial flight test program or perhaps the first couple of LRIP lots to get the jet into initial service is not optimal or good design.
 
Note the second model on the table.
Vertically stationed model reminds me of changing number of tail vehicle silhouette at STS logo. As well as one of earlier BFT Fury configuration. Still it's a very popular LO arrangement so may be everything. Everything that doesn't need to be sanitized before interview or vice versa to be specially shown.
 

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Makes me wonder why there are so few twin engine aircraft with a vertical engine arrangement.

Unless the engines are staggered to reduce frontal area, there's no real advantage but lots of disadvantages, such as maintenance and requiring flank weapons bays that are difficult to load.

And if they are staggered then it's a waste of internal volume to ducts, as in the EE Lightning - big airframe, mostly full of hot and cold air.

Lightning_Stacked_Flight_1961_0949.jpeg
 
Supersizing the intakes and ducting to accommodate an interim larger engine for an initial flight test program or perhaps the first couple of LRIP lots to get the jet into initial service is not optimal or good design.
And using an interim smaller engine is even worse design.
 
Re flying LRIP F-47s with F119s.

It may not be ideal but the hard math on NGAP means no preproduction XA102/103 for years.

I think it makes sense to validate the other parts of the aircraft, if your alternative is to fly nothing until NGAP delivers a handful of engines as the limiting factor.

It appears to have worked well enough for China on the J-20 program that the lead designer said they are doing the same thing with J-36.

It is ideal? Definitely not. Is it classic US program management at it’s most annoying (prioritize a VCE replacement for F135, fail to get the budget, and then have to fall back on designing a F119 VCE replacement, all of which was done largely in sequence, rather than parallel, compounding things - yes I know this simplifies and twists things but I’m making a blunt point)? Probably, but also OT for this thread.

A better discussion might be about what systems on F-47 might require the power and cooling of a third stream to fully or substantially realize their capability? All GaN TRMs being equal and nothing else being rate limiting, one idea for discussion might be about how like a doubling of PTMS capability might change the performance of the nose AESA (or forward facing if they went for distributed embedded array of arrays). Just throwing it out there.
 
FAXX production is planned for more like 300 airframes, possibly more. That's two squadrons of 12x birds each, on 12x Carrier Air Wings.
300 is awfully tight for two squadrons of 12 on 12 carrier air wings (=288).

At a minimum they also need one Fleet Replacement Squadron, possibly two (F/A-18E/F has East Coast and West Coast FRS, F-35 has a Joint FRS), which ISTR tend to run big on the number of birds. Plus detachments at the strike fighter VXs (VX-9 and VX-23). Plus anywhere else strike-fighters end up, such as Naval Aviation Warfighting Development Center (formerly Top Gun and Strike-U).

Add in aircraft undergoing refits and modifications and I don't see 300 getting them more than 18 aircraft per carrier.
 
Re flying LRIP F-47s with F119s.

It may not be ideal but the hard math on NGAP means no preproduction XA102/103 for years.

I think it makes sense to validate the other parts of the aircraft, if your alternative is to fly nothing until NGAP delivers a handful of engines as the limiting factor.

It appears to have worked well enough for China on the J-20 program that the lead designer said they are doing the same thing with J-36.

It is ideal? Definitely not. Is it classic US program management at it’s most annoying (prioritize a VCE replacement for F135, fail to get the budget, and then have to fall back on designing a F119 VCE replacement, all of which was done largely in sequence, rather than parallel, compounding things - yes I know this simplifies and twists things but I’m making a blunt point)? Probably, but also OT for this thread.

A better discussion might be about what systems on F-47 might require the power and cooling of a third stream to fully or substantially realize their capability? All GaN TRMs being equal and nothing else being rate limiting, one idea for discussion might be about how like a doubling of PTMS capability might change the performance of the nose AESA (or forward facing if they went for distributed embedded array of arrays). Just throwing it out there.

F119 would still allow for flight testing and avionics might be flown on surrogate platforms; that method has been pretty routinely used in other programs including the F-22 IIRC. Sub optimal but it would allow for testing and development.
 
And using an interim smaller engine is even worse design.
There seems to be a fundamental misunderstanding of aircraft design process. Growth margin isn’t simply about a larger engine bay. The aircraft specifications should be a fallout of mission requirements and subsequent systems engineering efforts to define them, and that gets flowed down to the thrust needed for the required characteristics. It’s not simply thrust or an engine size for the sake of it.

On a practical level, while there is merit in having the engine bay sized to accept a slightly larger motors for future growth potential, enlarging it to F101-size is asinine. You run into serious issues with inlet and engine compatibility, such as buzz conditions.
 
It is ideal? Definitely not. Is it classic US program management at it’s most annoying (prioritize a VCE replacement for F135, fail to get the budget, and then have to fall back on designing a F119 VCE replacement, all of which was done largely in sequence, rather than parallel, compounding things - yes I know this simplifies and twists things but I’m making a blunt point)? Probably, but also OT for this thread.

Nope.

The two ACE efforts were as much in parallel as they could have been and as programmatic realities allowed. NGAD had to be defined enough from a requirements stand point for its engine requirements to be fully baked in. Until those things are baked in you can't begin designing or risk reducing engines. When the AETD/P effort was initiated it was purposefully done around the F-35 engine because that requirement and need was well defined. This was specifically called out by senior DOD officials at the time. You knew what you needed to design to to integrate with the F-35 and what performance gains you would want out of that. NGAD was probably still in planning stage at that time. The AETP contracts left options on the table for program that when exercised would allow NGAP design when those requirements were sufficiently baked in. This happened in FY 2018 and then again in FY 2022 with follow on awards. Had F-35 ACE upgrade not been cancelled both it and NGAP would have been worked upon in parallel just as the teams were doing so in the years leading up to the F-35 ACE cancellation.
 
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Nope.

The two ACE efforts were as much in parallel as they could have been and as programmatic realities allowed. NGAD had to be defined enough from a requirements stand point for its engine requirements to be fully baked in. Until those things are baked in you can't begin designing or risk reducing engines. When the AETD/P effort was initiated it was purposefully done around the F-35 engine because that requirement and need was well defined. This was specifically called out by senior DOD officials at the time. You knew what you needed to design to to integrate with the F-35 and what performance gains you would want out of that. NGAD was probably still in planning stage at that time. The AETP contracts left options on the table for program that when exercised would allow NGAP design when those requirements were sufficiently baked in. This happened in FY 2018 and then again in FY 2022 with follow on awards. Had F-35 ACE upgrade not been cancelled both it and NGAP would have been worked upon in parallel just as the teams were doing so in the years leading up to the F-35 ACE cancellation.

Look I have a lot of respect for your knowledge and research here; it’s just here’s the fact of the matter - this plane will be ready to fly years before A102/103. The discussion was around if was silly or wise to fly F-47 with an interim engine. As to how we got here, I don’t think it’s a “feature” and certainly is unwelcome and unplanned. It has been my view for some time that F-35 was the first effort for an ACE for largely political reasons, and that focusing first on a 45k thrust engine caused unnecessary delays on a scaled down version for F-47/NGAD, simply due to prioritization of resources of a very small and specialized part of the industrial base that has a scarce, fixed ability to do only so much at any given time. Underlying this is a potentially ignorant assumption, I think it’s easier to design a new aircraft to accommodate whatever peculiarities an ACE could need rather than to stuff it into a F-35 (hello F-35B ACE odd man out!). I will go and find those DOD comments to get my facts straight.
 
5GAT for yall
STS's 5GAT #1 at the Tehachapi Airport, only allowed to do engine runs, no taxi testing. I was involved with 5GAT from the start. I was also actually in involved in the predecessor to 5GAT which was Fighter Size Target (FST) back in 2005 and pre-2005 was Air Superiority Target (AST). We finally got 5GAT funding in 2017 to begin development. Too bad the first aircraft was lost but #2 is in-process.
 

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