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Can't AI already bought them allAnd look at where computer processors are now Scott Kenny, imagine the F-47 and the F/A-XX with the new Intel or AMD processors.
Can't AI already bought them allAnd look at where computer processors are now Scott Kenny, imagine the F-47 and the F/A-XX with the new Intel or AMD processors.
I don't think the F-15 was ever a good fit for Indonesia, as you say expensive but also Indonesia doesn't really have a requirement for a big strike fighter.F-15EX is expensive. That's understandable. The F-16 should be a good option then. IIRC they explored it before opting for the F-15.
They do have an interest in big strike fighter, it's just that F-15ex is kinda expensive.I don't think the F-15 was ever a good fit for Indonesia, as you say expensive but also Indonesia doesn't really have a requirement for a big strike fighter.
I doubt they will go F-16 and with obvious interest in KF-21, Kaan and even J-10C could see any of those complimenting the Rafales on order.
Indonesia still needs an air superiority/interceptor aircraft. Something that covers a lot of ground, fast. Rafales and KF-21 won’t cut it. The Flankers are too old. The Rafale is a excellent multi-role, but it doesn't have the top end speed for land launched maritime engagements. While it does have supercruise, it tops out right under 1.8M. Both the F-15 and Flanker can hit more than 2.3M. So if the F-15EX is out, I suspect, the Su-35 will have one more shot to enter the southern hemisphere.I don't think the F-15 was ever a good fit for Indonesia, as you say expensive but also Indonesia doesn't really have a requirement for a big strike fighter.
Not exactly an expert on the subject matter, but visually EPAWS (and IVEWS too) appear to be rather moderate in scale(not tech).Regarding the EX, remember that without EPAWS, it´s not exactly the right offer if you project your force structure long term (the logical alternative will be with Israeli systems but I am not sure if it fits the narrative today).
Is that really a requirement though? How often has that been demonstrated by the Indonesian Air Force and what is the actual value and military need that requires a massive investment in an airframe that might operationally be able to fly perhaps .4 of a Mach faster.Indonesia still needs an air superiority/interceptor aircraft. Something that covers a lot of ground, fast. Rafales and KF-21 won’t cut it. The Flankers are too old. The Rafale is a excellent multi-role, but it doesn't have the top end speed for land launched maritime engagements. While it does have supercruise, it tops out right under 1.8M.
The F-15EX is certainly not flying that fast with any meaningful payload, not over M2 and likely closer to M1.6, and I expect the Flanker series are similarly limited in operational service.Both the F-15 and Flanker can hit more than 2.3M. So if the F-15EX is out, I suspect, the Su-35 will have one more shot to enter the southern hemisphere.
Do they? Their orders today are for Rafale, their LOI are for Kaan and KF-21, they have expressed interest in J-10C. The Su-35 deal never went anywhere, the F-15EX deal aged out. Evidence is they might talk a big game but what they actually buy is different.They do have an interest in big strike fighter, it's just that F-15ex is kinda expensive.
A three bag Rafale will likely have a similar combat range to either the F-15EX or an Su-35. It may not have the same payload at that distance but again Indonesia doesn't have a requirement to drop bunker buster weapons 1000nm away. Indonesia also isn't short on airfields a fighter can operate from.Indonesia needs fighters in the light-medium class for numbers and in the heavy class for range. The Indonesian territory spans across island chains of significant extension. So a fighter with long legs is desireable and the only two fighters are essentially the F-15 and Su-27 in their respective incarnations and probably the Su-57.
Su-35se didn't never went anywhere, rather it was CAATSAed.Do they? Their orders today are for Rafale, their LOI are for Kaan and KF-21, they have expressed interest in J-10C. The Su-35 deal never went anywhere, the F-15EX deal aged out. Evidence is they might talk a big game but what they actually buy is different.
Dropping bunker busters isn't the problem with big bags, for this Rafale is perfectly fine.A three bag Rafale will likely have a similar combat range to either the F-15EX or an Su-35. It may not have the same payload at that distance but again Indonesia doesn't have a requirement to drop bunker buster weapons 1000nm away. Indonesia also isn't short on airfields a fighter can operate from.
In Indonesia's case they wouldn't be sending fighters out to hunt for random aircraft flying in their EEZ, it is cueing to the target. Their EEZ from a threat perspective is actually rather small as they have nothing to fear from Australia and PNG.The much smaller and lighter 3 bag Rafale will certainly perform worse than a larger and heavier fighter and one with a much more powerful radar at that.
I suspect it was more than just CAATSA but even then the order would have been for eleven jets that would have likely replaced the existing Flanker fleet. Indonesia never fully invested in the flanker fleet wit minimal weapons fit and only ever permanently stationed at Hasanuddin.Su-35se didn't never went anywhere, rather it was CAATSAed.
Indonesia is a flanker operator in the first place.
Patrolling with three EFTs is fine, F-15E/EX/ etc will always fly with two EFT and CFT everywhere it goes (bar the ANG until CFTs are ordered...).Dropping bunker busters isn't the problem with big bags, for this Rafale is perfectly fine.
Problem is a2a patrolling.
No reason to. That was stated directly, and frankly it appears(1) they're(2) trying(3) to outwait and get them.I suspect it was more than just CAATSA
With 3 subsonic tanks you're subsonic, and won't reliably catch a civilian airliner with broken transponder - even if it's relatively close.Patrolling with three EFTs is fine, F-15E/EX/ etc will always fly with two EFT and CFT everywhere it goes (bar the ANG until CFTs are ordered...).
I personally don't buy the CAATSA being the main issue. It may have played a small role but financial issues are the much bigger issue and likely main cause. Through that same period Indonesia also hadn't made their KF-21 payments.No reason to. That was stated directly, and frankly it appears(1) they're(2) trying(3) to outwait and get them.
People have to decide, do you want patrol or interception. They are different missions with different profiles.With 3 subsonic tanks you're subsonic, and won't reliably catch a civilian airliner with broken transponder - even if it's relatively close.
Drop them - and chances are, you won't return at least to where you intended.
Take supersonic tanks - and you aren't all that long ranged anymore.
And Indonesia has plenty of airbases and runways in the areas they need them. Rafale, and KF-21/Kaan and less so J-10, will have more than sufficient range to operate where Indonesia requires them.Indonesia is a >5000km country in latitudal spread. Just to compare - it's distance from Finnish border to Pacific ocean. I.e. more or less Flanker requirement. Indonesia is a huge country.
Again what is the requirement. Loiter and supersonic interception are different missions.Rafale is absolutely an ideal medium fighter for Indonesia, due to Frenchcolonialoutremer and long range strike requirements. It absolutely packs one hell of range. But they still like and need a proper loiterer.
The east is Australia and PNG, really nothing to worry about, and tactical fighter jets are all but useless enforcing West Papua.good discussion on the range requirements..
as mentioned earlier, Indonesia is more likely to operate a defensive doctrine and I think a loaded Rafale flying from various bases could enforce Indonesia's maritime claims.. however when looking at the number of air bases through out the country.. it seems like there's not that much on the eastern half.
however when looking at the number of air bases through out the country.. it seems like there's not that much on the eastern half.
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And yet unbelievably other countries which have larger areas to patrol survive just fine without stupidly long ranged fighters. Fortunately like other countries with large land and EEZ they have sufficient airbases scattered across the country to allow them sufficient coverage. Given the size of Indonesia the F-15 or other suitably large aircraft doesn't provide some massively longer ranged patrol range or significantly greater coverage.I see the "remind everyone just how fecking huge Indonesia is" has already happened.
And while the proposed new fighter bases do help the problem a bit, they still need a really stupidly long-ranged fighter. Flanker, F15-with-CFTs, MiG-31, F-47, GCAP, J-36 maybe?
Flanker, while not exactly cheap, is rather on the affordable side.I personally don't buy the CAATSA being the main issue. It may have played a small role but financial issues are the much bigger issue and likely main cause. Through that same period Indonesia also hadn't made their KF-21 payments.
I'd think they would ideally want both, and dash from loiter for a good measure.Again what is the requirement. Loiter and supersonic interception are different missions.
They don't have plenty of airbases; scale of the map is quite huge; you'll need to thinly spread higher number of aircraft (which isn't and won't be high) across the entire country.And Indonesia has plenty of airbases and runways in the areas they need them. Rafale, and KF-21/Kaan and less so J-10, will have more than sufficient range to operate where Indonesia requires them.
I suspect that the cheapest option would be "F-16 with CFTs and 2 big fuel tanks plus belly tank" but that's also likely the bare minimum capability that will do the job.And yet unbelievably other countries which have larger areas to patrol survive just fine without stupidly long ranged fighters. Fortunately like other countries with large land and EEZ they have sufficient airbases scattered across the country to allow them sufficient coverage. Given the size of Indonesia the F-15 or other suitably large aircraft doesn't provide some massively longer ranged patrol range or significantly greater coverage.
For the F-15 example we can use this study from RAND to evaluate the range capability and cost effectiveness noting it does not factor in lethality. From page 59 it compares an F-15E to an F-16C in a DCA scenario with no tankers. While the study is old now I think it demonstrates the capability and cost effectiveness of running a smaller aircraft that can still operate a long range profile. In the case of the F-16C evaluated it would likely today be equivalent to the F-15E when removing the CL tank and replacing it with CFTs which provide more fuel and less drag. It would be interesting to see an F-15EX versus F-16V comparison using the same criteria.
I see the "remind everyone just how fecking huge Indonesia is" has already happened.
And while the proposed new fighter bases do help the problem a bit, they still need a really stupidly long-ranged fighter. Flanker, F15-with-CFTs, MiG-31, F-47, GCAP, J-36 maybe?
Of course, the problem with both J-20 and J-36 is that it means Indonesia is aligning with China. And I don't believe that is on the table.J-20 is likely good for them. It's built for long range patrolling IIRC.
Anyways, back to the F-15. Would the Emeratis' be willing to fund that huge wing?F-15EX could be better if it had the Emiratis' proposed -15U wing with the huge fuel load. USA would need to foot the bill though.
Would the Emeratis' be willing to fund that huge wing?
3500lbs is fine, if you're only wanting AAMs.F-15EX is so bloated that its fuel fraction isn’t even that impressive anymore (40,000lbs empty weight, incl. CFTs + 2 pilots).
If you load it up with max fuel (including 3x drop tanks) you get a TO weight of ~77,500lb and a fuel fraction of 0.458. With a weight limit of 81,000lb that leaves only ~3,500lbs available for weapons.
You can do better with a Rafale, which can achieve the same exact fuel fraction with 2x 2,000L tanks + 1x 1,250L supersonic tank. That’s less than full fuel and a TO weight of only ~19,500kg, leaving 5,000kg available for weapons. What that means is that if you add CFTs (2,300L) or bump up the Rafale’s centerline tank to 2,000L you can get a better fuel fraction than an F-15 *and* still carry a larger weapon load.
So very doubtful that Indonesia would prefer an F-15 over a Rafale if long range is the priority…
Unlike F-15(and 16), Rafale CFTs are still in realm of "maybe later".You can do better with a Rafale, which can achieve the same exact fuel fraction with 2x 2,000L tanks + 1x 1,250L supersonic tank. That’s less than full fuel and a TO weight of only ~19,500kg, leaving 5,000kg available for weapons. What that means is that if you add CFTs (2,300L) or bump up the Rafale’s centerline tank to 2,000L you can get a better fuel fraction than an F-15 *and* still carry a larger weapon load.
It didn't displace flankers in production (twin ones at that) and it uses a lot of internal volume on bays and ducts.J-20 is likely good for them. It's built for long range patrolling IIRC.
F-15EX is so bloated that its fuel fraction isn’t even that impressive anymore (40,000lbs empty weight, incl. CFTs + 2 pilots).
If you load it up with max fuel (including 3x drop tanks) you get a TO weight of ~77,500lb and a fuel fraction of 0.458. With a weight limit of 81,000lb that leaves only ~3,500lbs available for weapons.
You can do better with a Rafale, which can achieve the same exact fuel fraction with 2x 2,000L tanks + 1x 1,250L supersonic tank. That’s less than full fuel and a TO weight of only ~19,500kg, leaving 5,000kg available for weapons. What that means is that if you add CFTs (2,300L) or bump up the Rafale’s centerline tank to 2,000L you can get a better fuel fraction than an F-15 *and* still carry a larger weapon load.
So very doubtful that Indonesia would prefer an F-15 over a Rafale if long range is the priority…
Unfortunate but kinda expected. FFS I think F-35s are cheaper than EXs!Here we have the official reason for why the F-15EX was dropped by Indonesia: the price