No - that happened back in 2018
No - that happened back in 2018
Where?No - that happened back in 2018
Where?
This is going to be hugely controversial and is highly likely to get deleted by mods immediately, but the US never should've given F-35s to Israel without any supervision. Here's my reasoning:
3) Just the US political backing alone would suffice to dissuade even China from being threatening to Israel (Had both Israel and Iran weren't paranoid and didn't pursue maximalist expansionism at the expense of all the human rights there is).
Because they are the only democracy in the ME a beacon of freedom to the world.This is going to be hugely controversial and is highly likely to get deleted by mods immediately, but the US never should've given F-35s to Israel without any supervision. Here's my reasoning:
1) They have the best equipped Air Force in a region where almost all of the possible threats to Israel either have a mediocre, almost non-existing air power or an incompitent Air Force with little to no combat experience, no logistics and no local defence industry. Even without any F-35s, the IAF can decisively win and make Iran bleed badly as they're regularly showing us as of late.
2) Whereas Iran aspires to be a nuclear power (though actually uses the mere threat of it as a political tool); Israel actually is a nuclear power with various means of delivering the warheads in long distances. Allowing them to be nuclear doesn't make sense from America's position when they are strictly against Japan and Korea going nuclear.
3) Just the US political backing alone would suffice to dissuade even China from being threatening to Israel (Had both Israel and Iran weren't paranoid and didn't pursue maximalist expansionism at the expense of all the human rights there is).
All they give to the US in return is nothing but making America suffer and look bad; accelerating the establishment of a multipolar world order which is against American interests. That whole "Bastion of American influence in the Middle East" stuff ended 33 years ago.
I'm open to a discussion if any of you can give me a credible reason why America was right to give them the current holy grail of air power.
Technically they are not the only Democracy in the Middle East. There are multiple democracies there of varying degreesBecause they are the only democracy in the ME a beacon of freedom to the world.
They are also our ally and deserve as much military overmatch as we can provide them.
The f35 reinforce Israel’s ability to hit Iranian targets. It’s an explicit message to Iran.Both of you are not seeing the whole picture that I am presenting.
All of this is simply too much for a country that is the size of New Jersey with the population of 8 million Jews. (don't play the "bu..bu..but...the genocide" card, all of this power is too much for not only Israel but for any country)
- I already wrote that they could take out any other Air Force in the region without the F-35. (Including Iran, Egpyt and Gulf countries)
- I already wrote that they have nuclear weapons with options of delivering them to far away distances (including Western Europe and India)
- Obviously theAmerican military support is not only limited to F-35s, but the meaning behind my sentences is that this particular conventional strike option enables Israel to be even more daring and take more risks; causing huge turmoil
The real purpose of their F-35s is not to hunt Persian-backed actors but to make it easier for Israel to shape the region to their will with their overwhelming military advantage without causing a nuclear war. This is pretty observable with the Abraham Accords and how Israel's neighbours have been reacting to their actions ever since they've received the first jets. the Emiratis have even went out of their way to get the jets before the US arrogantly overplayed its hand.
All that combat experience of going from A to B and dropping JDAMs at B that Israel has done and the feedback that they've given is minuscule compared to US Military's experience with the jet around the world, be it in the Middle East, in the Baltics intercepting Russian jets or flying around South and East China Sea in complex (potential-) combat environments. It's not like tIsraeli industrial involvement in the jets development is large enough to mean something anyway (by that I mean their footprint in the jets that are flying around today, not just the "Adirs").
Technically they are not the only Democracy in the Middle East. There are multiple democracies there of varying degrees
That said, let's focus on the platform not on geopolitics.
If it was all about gaining intel on modern Russian systems; why block the sale of F-35s to Turkey, an important NATO ally, at the last minute then? Why also kick their industrial participation out if all of this bullshittery that America has caused wasn't political, just technical according to the position the US has taken regarding this issue? They could've even had this same kind of experience in a controlled manner in a NATO country; they could've participated in multinational exercises (which is something Turkey already offers) against the S-400 in a controlled environment if it really meant a lot for them. Moreover, it isn't just Israel that gives feedback to America, there's a whole list of F-35 operators that also gain experience in a set of diverse environments that send feedback to Lockheed.The biggest advantage of the F-35 in that theater is the LO and organic EW capability complementing their existing EW capability against the Iranian, Russian, and Syrian IADS apparatus. It almost certainly enables TTPs that were not viable without it and strengthens the implied threat that Israel can hold well-protected targets at risk deep in Iran. That in and of itself is a geopolitical incentive that materially aligns with US interests and current policy.
But, even if nothing else, it's valuable to the US in that we get to see the platform flown against some of the Russian made SAM systems we are most interested in. It is a good way to validate, test, and assess tactics and capabilities in real world use at the risk of somebody else's money and hardware.
I've received replies from 3 different people till now and all of your inability to come up with a single credible reason why America is right to support Israel to the very end and right to give away F-35s without any supervision whatsoever really strengthens my point here
Credibility and you not liking the replies are two very different things.If it was all about gaining intel on modern Russian systems; why block the sale of F-35s to Turkey, an important NATO ally, at the last minute then? Why also kick their industrial participation out if all of this bullshittery that America has caused wasn't political, just technical according to the position the US has taken regarding this issue? They could've even had this same kind of experience in a controlled manner in a NATO country; they could've participated in multinational exercises (which is something Turkey already offers) against the S-400 in a controlled environment if it really meant a lot for them. Moreover, it isn't just Israel that gives feedback to America, there's a whole list of F-35 operators that also gain experience in a set of diverse environments that send feedback to Lockheed.
---I've received replies from 3 different people till now and all of your inability to come up with a single credible reason why America is right to support Israel to the very end and right to give away F-35s without any supervision whatsoever really strengthens my point here.----
This is my last post on this topic that I've started; so cheers to all![]()
Good to see Meteor integration work happening!
Turkey has reportedly made significant progress in talks with the United States on the details of plans to decommission Russian supplied S-400 long range air defence systems, which is intended to facilitate the NATO member’s resumption of acquisitions of F-35 fifth generation fighters and possibly its full reentry into the F-35 program as a Tier 3 partner. Turkey was formally evicted from the F-35 program in July 2019, after receiving its first components from its S-400 system earlier that month, with Washington having used access to the F-35 to impose pressure on Ankara to abide by NATO’s wider policy of denying arms revenues to the Russian defence sector.
Think it was maybe eight or ten?Well it looks like the US and Turkey have reached a deal to decommission its' SA-21 Growler batteries in return for getting back into the JSF programme:
Turkey Nears Deal to Decommission S-400 Air Defences and Return to F-35 Fighter Program - Reports
So it looks like Turkey maybe getting its F-35s starting next year. Before Turkey got the boot from the programme in July, 2019 how many F-35s had been built for it?
Lockheed Martin the builder of the F-35, is to invest $350 million over five years for such capacity.
“As a team, we have to hold industry accountable, and we have to change the future for the F-35 program,” Air Force Lt. Gen. Michael Schmidt, the F-35 program executive officer, said here on Tuesday during the Air and Space Forces Association’s annual Air, Space and Cyber conference. “Part of the reason we got in the situation we got into is because we haven’t invested in our lab capacity, to making the F-35 enterprise state-of-the-art.”
www.defensedaily.com
You call this combat?
Israel used it against Syria (not necessarily over Syria).Where?
I suspect the people targeted would...You call this combat?
The only outlet this story comes from is a Greek newspaper...I suspect they don't have any contacts within the Turkish Government....I'd file this in I believe it when I see it...Well it looks like the US and Turkey have reached a deal to decommission its' SA-21 Growler batteries in return for getting back into the JSF programme:
Turkey Nears Deal to Decommission S-400 Air Defences and Return to F-35 Fighter Program - Reports
So it looks like Turkey maybe getting its F-35s starting next year. Before Turkey got the boot from the programme in July, 2019 how many F-35s had been built for it?
The funny thing is we also first heard about the procurement of 40 new F-16s+modernization kits and the complementary missile deal from them while Turkish journalists hadn't heard anything about that. The Greeks are getting these news from their cliques within the American government, hence the accuracy.The only outlet this story comes from is a Greek newspaper...I suspect they don't have any contacts within the Turkish Government....I'd file this in I believe it when I see it...
Turkish Armed Forces were planning to procure 100 As for TuAF and around 12-20 Bs for Navy's TCG Anadolu back in 2018 but that was a long time ago. TAI Kaan has materialised nicely (in line with changing requirements to compensate for F-35's deep-strike) since then, and the Navy's now officially designing a CV similar to the QE-class (they're still planning a sister ship to TCG Anadolu)even before you consider the Turkish aircraft orders coming back, they will be good for at least a 100 and maybe another 40 Bee on top of that.
What does this do to Turkish considerations of other fighters such as Eurofighters and will their LHAs finally see F-35Bs...
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For days I knowingly didn't want to share this news in here but since it already got out, you can read my reasoning above.Well it looks like the US and Turkey have reached a deal to decommission its' SA-21 Growler batteries in return for getting back into the JSF programme:
Turkey Nears Deal to Decommission S-400 Air Defences and Return to F-35 Fighter Program - Reports
So it looks like Turkey maybe getting its F-35s starting next year. Before Turkey got the boot from the programme in July, 2019 how many F-35s had been built for it?
As such there is no need to burden the F-35 production with customers that will not fight there
TAI Kaan has materialised nicely (in line with changing requirements to compensate for F-35's deep-strike) since then
Not really that much sooner. F-35 production is pretty maxed now and that is before the US lift orders once Blk 4 is fully available. Turkey rejoining might actually allow a production uplift with new (or previous) manufactures coming online.But having Turkey back in the fold means more production orders hence lowering the unit cost of the F-35 AND more $$$$ for LM.
Yes, Turkey now has the Kaan in development but it will be years before it's available, the F-35 is currently in mass-production and hence available a lot sooner.
Actually, no. Those 6 already built, delivered and still TuAF-owned F-35s need to go under a deep maintenance, update and be used for extensive training again. And the production slots for the rest of the ordered planes were given to USAF so imo Turkey will have to wait at least until 2032-33 for new planes.Yes, Turkey now has the Kaan in development but it will be years before it's available, the F-35 is currently in mass-production and hence available a lot sooner.
If I were to make a guess and if they were really interested in getting back into the F-35 programme; we estimate that they'd ultimately procure a single squadron's worth of As and two squadrons of Bs.
But to compensate for the loss of F-35Bs; the Navy has already chosen Anka-3 for deep-strike and Kizilelma + Naval Hürjet for Loyal Wingman and Drone Controller roles respectively. Granted, this plan cannot fully replace the loss of F-335Bs and none of these aircraft have neither been navalised nor have reached the induction into the service stage yet but this is easier to achieve than to develop the TAI Kaan within schedule (which is admittedly something they've successfully managed to do till now).
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I'm a lot more pessimistic on Kaan than you are, I cannot see it delivering a capability that will rival the F-35 till at least the 2040s if ever.The funny thing is we also first heard about the procurement of 40 new F-16s+modernization kits and the complementary missile deal from them while Turkish journalists hadn't heard anything about that. The Greeks are getting these news from their cliques within the American government, hence the accuracy.
But we rarely hear these developments from Turkish circles.
This neither means they've reached a deal, nor that they're even considering such a thing. CAATSA is more important for Turkey than the F-35s and The Turkish side seems to be in no rush to get rid of the it without a favorouble deal. Mind you, although this hasn't been the case because the US has less to lose here than Turkey; S-400 is something Turkey has procured for self-defence and the meddlesome US ideally has no say in how Turkey gets to use it.
Turkish Armed Forces were planning to procure 100 As for TuAF and around 12-20 Bs for Navy's TCG Anadolu back in 2018 but that was a long time ago. TAI Kaan has materialised nicely (in line with changing requirements to compensate for F-35's deep-strike) since then, and the Navy's now officially designing a CV similar to the QE-class (they're still planning a sister ship to TCG Anadolu)
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See below:
https://www.secretprojects.co.uk/threads/turkeys-naval-projects-discussion.38379/post-704907
If I were to make a guess and if they were really interested in getting back into the F-35 programme; we estimate that they'd ultimately procure a single squadron's worth of As and two squadrons of Bs.
But to compensate for the loss of F-35Bs; the Navy has already chosen Anka-3 for deep-strike and Kizilelma + Naval Hürjet for Loyal Wingman and Drone Controller roles respectively. Granted, this plan cannot fully replace the loss of F-335Bs and none of these aircraft have neither been navalised nor have reached the induction into the service stage yet but this is easier to achieve than to develop the TAI Kaan within schedule (which is admittedly something they've successfully managed to do till now).
Hürjet![]()
Anka-3![]()
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Kizilelma
My friend, I've grown older with this programme, I see myself as an overall pessimistic person and have been watching it ever since it hatched but let me tell you this:I'm a lot more pessimistic on Kaan than you are, I cannot see it delivering a capability that will rival the F-35 till at least the 2040s if ever.
Hence I see the original requirement for the 100 A models seeing a revival and ideal replacements for the remaining F-4s and pre Blk 50 F-16s.
The F-16 fleet is going to be split between some 130 "F-16 Özgür" indigenous V-level mod. and 40 newly procured+79 modernized Vipers.pre Blk 50 F-16s.
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