Sorry my friend, but i think there is enough evidence to conclude these are completely different planes:It's still the same concept shown since 2015, you can find a few more pictures looking for the Northrop keyword in this thread.
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Yes, except the "wing" is placed way, way, WAY back towards the aft, you could fit. It might be a perspective issue, but there doesn't seem to exist enough space that far back for a wing with a sizable area to fit in. (Eg, if you took out a big chunk of the wings from ESAV this is what the result looks like:As you can see, it's not "wingless" but it has a cranked-arrow wing.
The CGI model is just too big to fit into the camera angle in the shot shown in the advert you linked above, but in the second picture you posted of it, you can see hints of where (look at the extreme left of the image) the wing starts to change its sweep:
Uhm. . .the F-22 DOES supercruise at altitude.Ah! right thanks Josh-TN, so the NGAD will be super cruising at altitude unlike the F-22. I can see the point now.
That is very much correct. Even officially-used concept art, such as the one featured in the 2019-2020 Department of the Air Force Acquisition Biennial Report (Which I used for my profile picture) ultimately does not reflect what the NGAD truly will be.Alright, it seems to me you're interested in seeing more than there really is here.
Which is something I appreciate, because it shows you're passionate about the topic, even though that doesn't really help when trying to research stuff, because more patience is needed in a field where results are often only seen after years.
The aircraft you see depicted in all these images are placeholder artworks.
Remember all the artworks of the B-21 released prior to its unveiling? Do you think, in hindsight, that they are a complete match to the real aircraft we've seen?
Normally, these artworks are created by either external advertising companies or dedicated internal PR departments of the manufacturers.
And, usually, the people working on them are given a brief about what the customer wants to see represented, like, for example, a flying wing bomber or a cranked-arrow fighter.
The people deputed to creating said artwork are then given some references, examples, etc. in order to create concepts that will satisfy the client.
The artworks are, clearly, not made to look like the final vehicles. They might get close to it, but they will not achieve a 100% match of the real thing. And that's because the people that make the artworks do not have access to that kind of information.
Just look at the first picture you posted in the last post: is it really credible that the ailerons and elevons would stand out of the trailing edge of the wings, and have such big gaps among them, or would that be a no-no in stealth designs?
Let's look at the afterburners' dimensions with regards to the rest of the aircraft: don't we think that they are several orders of magnitude smaller than they should be to be realistic?
Everyone of those artworks and concept shown in them can be picked apart.
Also, the aircraft depicted in the images I linked to is not the same exact aircraft in every single instance for a simple reason: it was made by different people, with different software, at different points in time.
Although, this still gives a broad idea of what the people at Northrop Grumman "publically" believe that a 6th generation fighter will look like, i.e. a big chonker, with cranked-arrow planform, single seater and top mounted inlets.
Which, incidentally, is reminiscent of studies conducted in prior years that were unclassified or declassified.
How many of these things might make it to the final aircraft is something we won't be able to tell until the ball drops and the NGAD is unveiled.
But they are still just placeholder images, useful only insomuch as they give a few insights into the direction a concept is taking.
I think it was irony.Uhm. . .the F-22 DOES supercruise at altitude.Ah! right thanks Josh-TN, so the NGAD will be super cruising at altitude unlike the F-22. I can see the point now.
Who says you have to lose maneuverability? But in the days of all-aspect, spherical engagement envelope, the dogfight is becoming suicide.I think it was irony.Uhm. . .the F-22 DOES supercruise at altitude.Ah! right thanks Josh-TN, so the NGAD will be super cruising at altitude unlike the F-22. I can see the point now.
But the question is probably a broader one - can a fighter be allowed to have such an optimization?
Like, RuAF occasionally uses non-maneuverable, high supersonic-optimized mig-31s for boring peacetime intercepts - but they're remarkably unsuitable for the most simple tasks around; it is recognized as a flaw.
A fighter ultimately shall be a usable for the whole mission set, not just pursue the dao of air duel.
F-22 cruises high&fast, too - but it can also do stupid air policing, safely escort subsonic asset - and is perfectly able to follow up/protect itself from this position. Losing unmaneuverable battlestar to peacetime misunderstanding with DPRK mig-17, or failing to follow a civilian airliner in clouds in an emergency situation will be stupid.
At this point, fast and maneuverable fighters designed for dogfights going up against fighters with highly advanced sensors and BVR missiles will be like that one swordsman going up against Indiana Jones: They will be destroyed before they even get in range.Who says you have to lose maneuverability? But in the days of all-aspect, spherical engagement envelope, the dogfight is becoming suicide.I think it was irony.Uhm. . .the F-22 DOES supercruise at altitude.Ah! right thanks Josh-TN, so the NGAD will be super cruising at altitude unlike the F-22. I can see the point now.
But the question is probably a broader one - can a fighter be allowed to have such an optimization?
Like, RuAF occasionally uses non-maneuverable, high supersonic-optimized mig-31s for boring peacetime intercepts - but they're remarkably unsuitable for the most simple tasks around; it is recognized as a flaw.
A fighter ultimately shall be a usable for the whole mission set, not just pursue the dao of air duel.
F-22 cruises high&fast, too - but it can also do stupid air policing, safely escort subsonic asset - and is perfectly able to follow up/protect itself from this position. Losing unmaneuverable battlestar to peacetime misunderstanding with DPRK mig-17, or failing to follow a civilian airliner in clouds in an emergency situation will be stupid.
Thanks to a certain world power, filling up the world fighter fleet with a certain LO fighter, which can't really be stealthy and carry WVR missiles at the same time - I guess we'll get to see more of them than we otherwise should've expected to.Of course, that's not to say dogfights won't be a thing, but they will be rarer and rarer as time comes. And they are already very rare in this time.
Good luck with that.Thanks to a certain world power, filling up the world fighter fleet with a certain LO fighter, which can't really be stealthy and carry WVR missiles at the same time - I guess we'll get to see more of them than we otherwise should've expected to.Of course, that's not to say dogfights won't be a thing, but they will be rarer and rarer as time comes. And they are already very rare in this time.
And those will be dogfights of the most traditional kind at that. On pointy metalsticksstreams.
Ooh, almost sure'll see it sooner or later.Good luck with that.Thanks to a certain world power, filling up the world fighter fleet with a certain LO fighter, which can't really be stealthy and carry WVR missiles at the same time - I guess we'll get to see more of them than we otherwise should've expected to.Of course, that's not to say dogfights won't be a thing, but they will be rarer and rarer as time comes. And they are already very rare in this time.
And those will be dogfights of the most traditional kind at that. On pointy metalsticksstreams.
IIRC, in all major air wars it participated, dozens fights/hundeds a/c involved. Same with F-15.How many times have F-16s gotten into dogfights?
IIRC, in all major air wars it participated, dozens fights/hundeds a/c involved. Same with F-15.How many times have F-16s gotten into dogfights?
There was none significant since 1991 - but there were no significant air superiority campaigns since then neither.
But it's beyond the point - that era was almost unavoidably BVR-intensive(but was missile-intensive first, gun - remote second), with BVR being a natural continuation of SARH WVR.
Massive F-35 fleet, on the other hand, is kinda forcing it by forcing survivability/sidewinder dilemma. But since F-35 fleet is so massive that it's generation-defining, it doesn't matter. Guns will brrrt in decades to come, unless this whole fleet will somehow grow outdated prematurely.
When's the last time a Western fighter scored a gun kill on another fighter?IIRC, in all major air wars it participated, dozens fights/hundeds a/c involved. Same with F-15.How many times have F-16s gotten into dogfights?
There was none significant since 1991 - but there were no significant air superiority campaigns since then neither.
But it's beyond the point - that era was almost unavoidably BVR-intensive(but was missile-intensive first, gun - remote second), with BVR being a natural continuation of SARH WVR.
Massive F-35 fleet, on the other hand, is kinda forcing it by forcing survivability/sidewinder dilemma. But since F-35 fleet is so massive that it's generation-defining, it doesn't matter. Guns will brrrt in decades to come, unless this whole fleet will somehow grow outdated prematurely.
If I remember from Binkov's video, it may be designed to last 15 years or less so that its successor can easily take over its roles, and possess any advancements in all types of technology that the preceding NGAD doesn't have. Given how our technology is advancing at an increasingly rapid rate, and will only accelerate from there, a short airframe duration is necessary in these times.Also, NGAD is not meant to be a long lasting, B-52 like platform. It's not an airframe built with 10000 of flight hours, hence less material margin, less system endurance... And less mandatory stocks.
“Someone was going to die within the next two minutes,” he noted, “and it wasn’t going to be me or my wingman.”
With one Iraqi fighter in sight, North was able to confirm the aircraft as a Soviet-built, Iraqi MiG-25, which was armed with AA-6 Acrid radar-guided missiles. Directing his wingman to employ his electronic jamming pod, North requested permission to fire, and was eventually given the order: “CLEARED TO KILL, CLEARED TO KILL, HE’S A BANDIT, BANDIT!”
At a distance of approximately three nautical miles, at fifteen degrees nose high and fifteen degrees right bank, North targeted the MiG-25 and launched one of his...
The same answer probably, 1991.When's the last time a Western fighter scored a gun kill on another fighter?
I already posted this, probably in this same thread, but a reminder seems appropriate.
“Someone was going to die within the next two minutes,” he noted, “and it wasn’t going to be me or my wingman.”
With one Iraqi fighter in sight, North was able to confirm the aircraft as a Soviet-built, Iraqi MiG-25, which was armed with AA-6 Acrid radar-guided missiles. Directing his wingman to employ his electronic jamming pod, North requested permission to fire, and was eventually given the order: “CLEARED TO KILL, CLEARED TO KILL, HE’S A BANDIT, BANDIT!”
At a distance of approximately three nautical miles, at fifteen degrees nose high and fifteen degrees right bank, North targeted the MiG-25 and launched one of his...
View: https://youtu.be/UKZjWT-i_Hk
In my book, 3nm is WVR.
You can read it all (and way too more), here:
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First AIM-120 AMRAAM And U.S. F-16 Kill Happened 30 Years Ago
A USAF F-16D downed an Iraqi MiG-25 Foxbat over Iraq three decades ago, ushering in a new era in air-to-air combat.www.thedrive.com
It certainly works, but overall aim-120 as a close-quarters weapon is a significant downstep from a modern heatseeker.Well if AIM-120 can pitbull at 3nm, the lack of AIM-9 internal carriage doesn’t seem like a big handicap.
Hence why it may be viable to have a short airframe duration, so that they wouldn't keep using the same old units throughout the far future. If they have a short airframe duration for the first generations of NGAD starting in the 2030s, they may have at least 2 or 3 more advanced generations of NGAD further down the line, and 1 even more advanced future generation on its way by the time 2070 hits.On the other hand, the combined efforts of Europeans will struggle to produce more than a handful of Gen 6 (or even Gen 5+) aircraft. Russia is unlikely to be able to in any reasonable timeframe or numbers. So the only other country capable of fielding a sixth generation aircraft in numbers will be China... so it is possible that we could be looking at a century in which NGAD remains able to dominate every other airforce (except China)... which is plenty of reason for tech stagnation and having a 70 year old airframe be viable. That said, there could be a break-through asymmetric technology that largely renders existing stealthy designs useless... but I doubt that we'll see a situation where the NGAD wouldn't be a threat to most airforces even a half century from now.
Hence why it may be viable to have a short airframe duration, so that they wouldn't keep using the same old units throughout the far future. If they have a short airframe duration for the first generations of NGAD starting in the 2030s, they may have at least 2 or 3 more advanced generations of NGAD further down the line, and 1 even more advanced future generation on its way by the time 2070 hits.On the other hand, the combined efforts of Europeans will struggle to produce more than a handful of Gen 6 (or even Gen 5+) aircraft. Russia is unlikely to be able to in any reasonable timeframe or numbers. So the only other country capable of fielding a sixth generation aircraft in numbers will be China... so it is possible that we could be looking at a century in which NGAD remains able to dominate every other airforce (except China)... which is plenty of reason for tech stagnation and having a 70 year old airframe be viable. That said, there could be a break-through asymmetric technology that largely renders existing stealthy designs useless... but I doubt that we'll see a situation where the NGAD wouldn't be a threat to most airforces even a half century from now.
If the USAF would be prudent enough to do such a thing, they will also be saving lots of money by retiring those units and focusing their money on future technological development instead of refurbishing older airframes with newer tech, which obviously takes time and money off the USAF's budget. Also the fact that newer airframes will be built and optimized for the new technologies coming in also means that there would be no need or even not make sense to reuse an older airframe and place new technologies on it, and to do so will just again, take up more time and money than it would be to do the same to a new and up to date airframe.
However, it will also be up to the USAF on whether that would be a good direction for them. It may also depend on Congress as well, and I can only hope that they will make good decisions for such programs moving forward, and learn from the mistakes of other prior programs as well.
After the Su-22 released its ordnance near the U.S.-backed forces on the ground, Tremel fired an AIM-9X Sidewinder at the aircraft in line with the rules of engagement, only to have the advanced missile drawn away by the Sukhoi’s own flares. The AIM-120 AMRAAM, however, did the trick, striking the aircraft. The pilot ejected and the burning aircraft quickly plummeted toward the ground.
“I know I was just operating on brainstem power,” Tremel recalled during the Tailhook symposium before adding that, despite achieving the first U.S. air-to-air kill in nearly two decades, his CO immediately reminded him of his responsibilities of air-wing duty safety officer that day: “The show goes on.”
Another angle of that old NG F/A-XX concept:
Where did that specifically come from? Lockheed Martin's own website? I'd want to take a look into that one
Yes, from thereWhere did that specifically come from? Lockheed Martin's own website?
Are you willing to share that with all of us here? Or are some of the stuff too classified to share it? Just curiousSince I started following miltech in the early 80’s I would have to store on a separate hard drive all the papers, studies and reports that include “Does America Really Need X….”
He's saying there's a lot of, "Does America need weapon X" articles over the years. Usually written by someone who knows little about the subject looking to attract eyeballs. Sometimes written by a competitor or even just someone who thinks the US has too many weapons (wouldn't be at all surprised to see if some, if not many, of these articles were funded by the USSR/Russia/PRC).Are you willing to share that with all of us here? Or are some of the stuff too classified to share it? Just curiousSince I started following miltech in the early 80’s I would have to store on a separate hard drive all the papers, studies and reports that include “Does America Really Need X….”