Elan Vital
ACCESS: Secret
- Joined
- 6 September 2019
- Messages
- 391
- Reaction score
- 1,107
Hi everyone,
A very broad subject in which opinions may vary.
Historically, the Fall of France was a very significant point of divergence in WW2 which left Germany free to expand the war in other theaters and inspired Italy to enter the war.
Countries which may have remained neutral or been part of secondary theaters (Italy, the Balkans, Hungary, USSR which may have grabbed territory when convenient), had the Germans been fixed by the Entente in French or Benelux territory, instead became part of a mechanism which led to the destruction of much of the pre-1940 European military-industrial complexes and part of them would end up under Soviet control.
The destruction of these existing or burgeoning complexes and the rise of the USA and USSR as the primary providers of weapons in new military blocs facilitated the creation of international weapon or ammunition standards, such as 7.62x51 and 5.56x45 in the West, or 7.62x54 and x39 and 5.45mm in the East.
So, for the sake of imagination, I posit this scenario: France never falls, and Germany is eventually defeated by the Entente. Italy is sufficiently deterred to remain neutral, even in the Balkans. If the war expands to the Balkans (Germany seeking to obtain more critical ressources or the Entente convincing neutral countries to get involved), the limited forces available on either side prevents the fall of any Balkan country or the complete destruction of its military industry. Hungary, Finland and Bulgaria remain neutral. The USSR stays neutral, or at most grabs the Baltics, Poland, Czechoslovakia and possibly parts of Germany in opportunistic late-war moves. The USA could continue purveying weapons to the Entente and neutrals, assuming it doesn't feel compelled to fight in Europe. What happens in Asia is left to the poster's opinion.
What ammunition or weapon standards could remain or emerge in the years and decades following this alt-WW2?
France's military industry would have been in continuous operation. Neutral Italy wouldn't have suffered any of the weapon production restrictions its historical counterpart briefly got after WW2. The limited, but existing industries and stockpiles of European minors stay in place.
The USA, while a major purveyor of weapons, would face competition in Europe and would probably have produced a much smaller surplus of cheap weapons to hand out.
Complex systems like aircrafts, armored vehicles would be difficult to anticipate with such a major point of divergence beyond the first few years.
But notably, the French had been sending R35 light tanks and 25mm AT guns as aid in 1939-40 to Romania, Yugoslavia and Turkey, and could maintain and even expand such aid protocols to the Balkans and Turkey into 1943, with those serving in the 1940's and possibly 50's as reserve equipment.
For ammo, the French historically kept 7.5mm for quite some time and here would have even larger stocks of this ammo and weapons to use it. Italy suspended 7.35mm weapon issuance in 1939, but might reintroduce a modern cartridge as the situation gets clearer. 30.06 may not be as common in Europe, so 7.62 NATO may not happen in its historical form and fielding. 7.92 Mauser was relatively common in minor European countries?
A very broad subject in which opinions may vary.
Historically, the Fall of France was a very significant point of divergence in WW2 which left Germany free to expand the war in other theaters and inspired Italy to enter the war.
Countries which may have remained neutral or been part of secondary theaters (Italy, the Balkans, Hungary, USSR which may have grabbed territory when convenient), had the Germans been fixed by the Entente in French or Benelux territory, instead became part of a mechanism which led to the destruction of much of the pre-1940 European military-industrial complexes and part of them would end up under Soviet control.
The destruction of these existing or burgeoning complexes and the rise of the USA and USSR as the primary providers of weapons in new military blocs facilitated the creation of international weapon or ammunition standards, such as 7.62x51 and 5.56x45 in the West, or 7.62x54 and x39 and 5.45mm in the East.
So, for the sake of imagination, I posit this scenario: France never falls, and Germany is eventually defeated by the Entente. Italy is sufficiently deterred to remain neutral, even in the Balkans. If the war expands to the Balkans (Germany seeking to obtain more critical ressources or the Entente convincing neutral countries to get involved), the limited forces available on either side prevents the fall of any Balkan country or the complete destruction of its military industry. Hungary, Finland and Bulgaria remain neutral. The USSR stays neutral, or at most grabs the Baltics, Poland, Czechoslovakia and possibly parts of Germany in opportunistic late-war moves. The USA could continue purveying weapons to the Entente and neutrals, assuming it doesn't feel compelled to fight in Europe. What happens in Asia is left to the poster's opinion.
What ammunition or weapon standards could remain or emerge in the years and decades following this alt-WW2?
France's military industry would have been in continuous operation. Neutral Italy wouldn't have suffered any of the weapon production restrictions its historical counterpart briefly got after WW2. The limited, but existing industries and stockpiles of European minors stay in place.
The USA, while a major purveyor of weapons, would face competition in Europe and would probably have produced a much smaller surplus of cheap weapons to hand out.
Complex systems like aircrafts, armored vehicles would be difficult to anticipate with such a major point of divergence beyond the first few years.
But notably, the French had been sending R35 light tanks and 25mm AT guns as aid in 1939-40 to Romania, Yugoslavia and Turkey, and could maintain and even expand such aid protocols to the Balkans and Turkey into 1943, with those serving in the 1940's and possibly 50's as reserve equipment.
For ammo, the French historically kept 7.5mm for quite some time and here would have even larger stocks of this ammo and weapons to use it. Italy suspended 7.35mm weapon issuance in 1939, but might reintroduce a modern cartridge as the situation gets clearer. 30.06 may not be as common in Europe, so 7.62 NATO may not happen in its historical form and fielding. 7.92 Mauser was relatively common in minor European countries?