Is that confirmed, informed speculation, or just an illustrative concept by this "Sheldon"?KF-21EX-T
A new direction that makes sense.
Yes, it'd be nice to have an alternative to the F-35 within the American-aligned camp, but the F-35 still has it beat thanks to its IWB-door-mounted AAMs (thanks to single engine config.), superior radar performance, and greater maturity.Now literally an alternativeJF-35, thanks to these juicy deep 2000lb bays.
Ok, I'd forgotten that its canopy isn't coated... I still don't think it's "full of RAM" though, that's clearly an intentional future milestone for them...Clean configuration is not even a start. It's IRST, it's visibly untreated cockpit, it's all rwr and comm antennas.
It's a bit unfair to say it is a mistake
Yeah, I came off too harsh there due to my wording. I meant they technically could've developed racks instead of buried, recessed mounts, but that ultimately wasn't a viable option for the reason I'll mention below.Lack of internal carriage is part of conscious engineering choice - i.e. just not carrying weapons won't make the jet disappear.
at the moment, i tried to look it up, and could not find any other sources for this too. it's entirely from this Sheldon account.Is that confirmed, informed speculation, or just an illustrative concept by this "Sheldon"?
Graphics are kinda good and specific for just speculation though(like the das(?) aperture between bays) ...and match the official styling well.at the moment, i tried to look it up, and could not find any other sources for this too. it's entirely from this Sheldon account.
By the way, looking at EX-T graphics (speculative, pending confirmation?), it's interesting how it overturns the specialization.As you mentioned before, this design choice was made because Block 10 was always meant to focus on A2A, while A2G-capability would mature by the time Block 20 came out; and they'd finally conclude everything/address any design disadvantages with the Block 30.
Sheldon can be like that Mason account people keep referring to, where they take official pictures, but manipulate them by putting in their own texts and interpretation. Although they're just general fans, people seem to pass them off as official accounts. You can see his account below. Pictures of the KF-21 CG with its bays open has been around since 2023.Graphics are kinda good and specific for just speculation though(like the das(?) aperture between bays) ...and match the official styling well.
The more i read, the more I assume they're opposite cases.The point is that the KF-21B1/B2 isn't even trying to be another "Su-57 case", let alone tackle the LOity problem in a more hardcore way; so the lack of directional multi-band conformal antennas is fine IMO -- especially considering its rivals never even attempted to develop a baseline for an LO aircraft.
It's confirmed, and it's from Aerospace Weapons Systems Technological Afvancement Conference 2026 held by ROKAF, attended by KAI, ADD and other parties. The VLO version of KF-21 is now being actively pursued by ROKAF, contrary to what I've said a few pages ago on this thread.Is that confirmed, informed speculation, or just an illustrative concept by this "Sheldon"?
I personally wouldn't compare the two as they are pretty different.Sheldon can be like that Mason account people keep referring to, where they take official pictures, but manipulate them by putting in their own texts and interpretation. Although they're just general fans, people seem to pass them off as official accounts. You can see his account below. Pictures of the KF-21 CG with its bays open has been around since 2023.
https://x.com/mason_8718
A true GCAP conterpart from Korea, the next generation fighter jet programme succeeding KF-21 that will most likely replace the KF-16s and F-15Ks is being pushed back according to the ROKAF presentation from the aforementioned co ference, and there will be considerable time gap between the GCAP and the Korean programme.Finally, given relatively parallel timeframe, would be interesting who'll get it better between Korea(own domestic program starting from US assistantance) and Japan(UK-IT).
Considering the development of NK air defence force in the recent years, it is quite understandable to see why ROKAF wants to further future-proof the KF-21. I am still doubtful that NK will be able to sufficiently modernize their fighter jet fleet, even with helping hand from Russia, so that it could pose actual threat against ROKAF and other ROK services, but their surface based assets are indeed hard to ignore.Downplaying North Korea's capabilities is a sign of ignorance and of being mentally stuck in the era of grainy VHS footage depicting the country's "Arduous March." A West-centric, formulaic view of the world is no longer sufficient. The paradigms are shifting rapidly with the pace of developments in East Asia—including both the northern and southern parts of the Korean Peninsula. We should be prepared for this, and we certainly should not be relying on calculations of "economic viability." Those old assumptions simply no longer hold under the new strategic realities.
Thanks. Interestingly the graphic doesn’t say anything about the engine. Did the conference provide an update about the domestic engine?It's confirmed, and it's from Aerospace Weapons Systems Technological Afvancement Conference 2026 held by ROKAF, attended by KAI, ADD and other parties. The VLO version of KF-21 is now being actively pursued by ROKAF, contrary to what I've said a few pages ago on this thread
GCAP, in all likelihood, won't be that much(if any) of a jump over the world level. Rather, it's more of a tornado story - a delayed catch-up with some world level parts.A true GCAP conterpart from Korea, the next generation fighter jet programme succeeding KF-21 that will most likely replace the KF-16s and F-15Ks is being pushed back according to the ROKAF presentation from the aforementioned co ference, and there will be considerable time gap between the GCAP and the Korean programme.
He deleted his tweet. Here’s the image
Yes, it'd be nice to have an alternative to the F-35 within the American-aligned camp, but the F-35 still has it beat thanks to its IWB-door-mounted AAMs (thanks to single engine config.), superior radar performance, and greater maturity.
Do they really need an "F-35-seok" at this point, and is there even a legitimate market for it? F-35 will gradually lose its critical position within the American tech tree, and I can already see them beginning to export it to "allies of lesser importance" or M,E, allies approved by Israel throughout the 2030s...
24,000 lbf with A/BView attachment 818009
16,000 lbf class engine concept layout from Hanhwa Aerospace - ADD engine concept study('23 ~ '24).
Choi, J., Ko, K., & Shim, H. (2025). A Study on Maximum Performance Range and Architecture of an Advanced Aero Engine within constraints for Next-generation Fighter. The KSFM Journal of Fluid Machinery, 28(3), 15–24
Yeah. It is 16,000 (Dry) / 24,000(Wet) lbf thrust engine with TIT 1900K+ combustor. Hanhwa and DAPA have consistently referred to this Advanced Aero Engine Program in terms of its dry thrust, which is why I described it as a 16,000-pound-class engine.
Agreed, we don't need this GCAP vs KF-21 BS. I've deleted them and instigators may potentially be thread banned in the future.I think we had enough of "GCAP vs KF-21" by now. That kind of discussion belongs in places like f-16.net rather than SPF, shall we agree? We also have a few other threads in the forum that suits some of the discourse much better, like what constitutes a "6th gen" fighter, etc.
Besides, I personally think it's kind of premature to presume a lot of things for either the GCAP or KF-21 EX-T. I could chime in and correct/comment on few things from the previous conversation, but I find that meaningless.
Most importantly, KF-21 block III/EX/EX-T have all been just a concept by ADD/KAI. There has not been any requirements layed out by ROKAF themselves, untill the recent conference and the notion of "VLO".
AGN reported that part of Indonesia’s compensation is to receive one of the prototype aircraft. It had been expected to order 48 KF-21s, but now the number is estimated at 16.
Oof. This is baseless speculation on my part and nothing more, but I guess Infonesia tried to cancel the contract and structure their near-term procurement plans around 48+ (~60) Rafales due to more favorable terms (?) but still couldn't get out --I mean, the signs have been there for quite a while!Initially, the plan was to bear about 20% of the total development costs and acquire up to 48 fighter jets, but the contract was modified by reducing the contribution to 600 billion won and narrowing the scope of technology transfer, and negotiations for the export of completed aircraft are currently underway.The estimated volume is 16 units, and the contract value is approximately 3 trillion won.>>
Indonesia and Philippines are obviously the main prospective export destinations for this jet...TLDR: Discussions with Indonesia, Philippines, UAE, Malaysia
They just announced EXT basically. Even if all development was already done, if it's flown this year - 2030 would've been unrealistic.Malaysia, however, makes no sense from a requirements standpoint unless their bureaucracy is being courted again, if you know what I mean. This is a great opportunity for them to consolidate their small fleet (7 F/A-18 + 18 Su-30MKM) around a single type, and inducting a small number of 4.5th-generation jets (Block 1/2 --5th-gen Boramae isn't due until ~2030 at the earliest imho) as a Hornet (or even a Flanker) replacement makes no sense in this case either...
Yeah, I had the earliest theoretically possible emergence -- i.e., the accelerated development and maiden flight of the "basic shell" of the aircraft -- in mind when I wrote that; but they've certainly been working on it for a while...They just announced EXT basically. Even if all development was already done, if it's flown this year - 2030 would've been unrealistic.
2035 is the earliest possible day from current inputs, and for they have to execute with same vigor as now.
2037-8ish IOC sounds most realistic.
I guess Infonesia tried to cancel the contract and structure their near-term procurement plans around 48+ (~60) Rafales due to more favorable terms (?) but still couldn't get out --I mean, the signs have been there for quite a while!
Otherwise, inducting only a single squadron's worth of aircraft simply doesn't justify the logistics at all...
Huh? There is no final decision regarding the Rafale, that's also pure speculation.
This is baseless speculation on my part and nothing more, but I guess
| Country | Potential order | Requirement/interest |
|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia | 54 aircraft | Requests fifth-generation-or-higher capabilities |
| United Arab Emirates | 48 aircraft | Requests fifth-generation-or-higher capabilities |
| Philippines | 20 aircraft | Requests a financing-assistance program |
| Aircraft | Quantity and estimated value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Rafale | 42 aircraft — approximately ₩10.7 trillion | Contract completed; financed through loans from French banks |
| F-15EX | 36 aircraft — approximately ₩17 trillion | MOU signed with the manufacturer, U.S.-based Boeing |
| KF-21 | 48 aircraft — approximately ₩7.7 trillion | Government-to-government MOU signed in July 2010 |
| TF-X | 48 aircraft — approximately ₩14 trillion | Government-to-government MOU signed in July 2025 |
KAI did the same thing in Poland.That's some very aggressive pricing from the KF-21 and I have some doubts.
Korean media claims that Indonesia order of 16 KF-21 will be valued for KRW 3 Trillion or USD 2 Billion.
I have to seriously question the Philippines ability to afford the KF-21. I am sure they would like it but does anyone seriously think they will have the budget to acquire and operate, even if the Koreans offer favourable terms?some interesting tables from this link
https://www.asiae.co.kr/en/article/2026072209151686038
Translation of the two tables:
Countries Interested in Acquiring the KF-21
Country Potential order Requirement/interest Saudi Arabia 54 aircraft Requests fifth-generation-or-higher capabilities United Arab Emirates 48 aircraft Requests fifth-generation-or-higher capabilities Philippines 20 aircraft Requests a financing-assistance program
Status of Indonesia’s Fighter Aircraft Acquisition Efforts
Currency: South Korean won
Aircraft Quantity and estimated value Status Rafale 42 aircraft — approximately ₩10.7 trillion Contract completed; financed through loans from French banks F-15EX 36 aircraft — approximately ₩17 trillion MOU signed with the manufacturer, U.S.-based Boeing KF-21 48 aircraft — approximately ₩7.7 trillion Government-to-government MOU signed in July 2010 TF-X 48 aircraft — approximately ₩14 trillion Government-to-government MOU signed in July 2025
That's some very aggressive pricing from the KF-21 and I have some doubts.