2026 Israeli–United States strikes on Iran and elsewhere in region - News and Discussion

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Iran has name Mojtaba Khamenei as its' new Ayatollah, from CNN:


Iran has named Mojtaba Khamenei the country’s new supreme leader following the killing of his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, state media reports.​
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US President Donald Trump said Thursday he must be “involved in the appointment” of Iran’s next leader and that the choice of Khamenei’s son was “unacceptable” to him.​
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0:00 Mojtaba Khamenei selected as Iran's next supreme leader
0:19 Jeremy Diamond reports from Tel Aviv
2:51 Fred Pleitgen reports from Tehran with details on the announcement
4:26 Who is Mojtaba Khamenei?
5:36 Clarissa Ward reports from Erbil, Iraq
7:11 What will this mean for the direction of the war?
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For live updates, visit https://cnn.it/4rdcCTXhttps://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbHhtSkRDOXp5WVlobVpSaGVJWEVRWTY1NTRYQXxBQ3Jtc0trcml6Vm4tZVlUb0R2QmVNWTBpTTYybW1KRWR4Vm1oOW5YalU4RkpsY2FOZmthOWJYRlloS1duMVJPbTFhdFFqSlM3MUJ2bUV0S1U4TU5nckd3NnEwbjE1Mmo1TEl1WTRiMFJXVVJfZmd0bUNHdHdRVQ&q=https://cnn.it/4rdcCTX&v=woBLoVPrmyU
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#Iran #Khamenei #News
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Guess Perun's latest hasn't been posted yet. Collates a lot of information so presumably can be classified as news; interesting to see that he uses many sources I've known (by name at least) for a while now. Overlaps somewhat with my earlier post but is far more thorough and methodical than I aspired or cared to be.

View: https://youtu.be/mP_rr859r8w
 

特朗普称将在“适当时机”作出结束对伊朗军事行动决定-新华网

特朗普称将在“适当时机”作出结束对伊朗军事行动决定-
www3.xinhuanet.com

Xinhua News Agency, Washington, March 8 – U.S. President Donald Trump told Israeli media on the 8th that a final decision to end military operations against Iran would be made at an 'appropriate time.'

In a phone interview with The Times of Israel, Trump said that when to end the war against Iran would be a 'joint decision made with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu.'

'I think it’s a joint decision between both sides. We have been communicating. I will make a decision at the appropriate time, but I will take all factors into account,' Trump said.

The Times of Israel reported that Trump hinted that although Netanyahu would offer his views, the U.S. president has the final decision-making authority.
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On a different note Azerbaijans Ilham Aliyev had a phone call with the Iranian President, talking about the airstrike on Nakhchivan in Azerbaijan, which ultimately didn't turn out to be Irans doing, the related Investigation and future economic cooperation. Also the intention of Azerbaijan to commit to sending humanitarian aid to Iran has been mentioned.
president.az

President of the Islamic Republic of Iran Masoud Pezeshkian made a phone call to President of the Republic of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev » Official web-site of President of Azerbaijan Republic

president.az president.az
 

美第三个航母打击群据称准备部署至中东

有消息称由“乔治·H·W·布什”号航空母舰率领的美国海军第三个航母打击群正准备“很快”部署到中东地区。部署的具体时间和持续时间尚未公布。
news.cctv.cn news.cctv.cn

On the 6th local time, a reporter from the headquarters learned that there are reports saying that the third U.S. Navy carrier strike group led by the aircraft carrier 'George H. W. Bush' is preparing to be deployed to the Middle East 'soon.' The specific timing and duration of the deployment have not been announced. (Headquarters reporter Zhao Miao)
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www.bbc.com

Trump says Iran war will be over 'pretty quickly' but US hasn't 'won enough' yet

Oil prices fall as Trump threatens Iran with 'fire and fury' over Strait of Hormuz
www.bbc.com www.bbc.com

Rachel Reeves will join a call with finance ministers from the G7 to discuss the release of global oil reserves after prices surged to nearly $120 a barrel.

The Chancellor will discuss the measure in response to the 25pc surge in crude prices overnight.

The emergency meeting at 1.30pm UK time will include Fatih Birol, executive director of the International Energy Agency

It follows turmoil on stock markets after crude surpassed $100 for the first time since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

Crude oil rocketed as the US and Israel continued to bombard targets in Iran, where the regime has shut the Strait of Hormuz and choked off Western oil supplies.

Brent was last trading at around $107 a barrel after news of the G7 meeting were considering the release of emergency reserves.

Japan’s flagship Nikkei 225 was down 4.9pc to 52,909.30 as Asian markets were hammered by the protracted conflict.

About 90pc of oil that passes through the Strait of Hormuz is imported in Asia.

Losses were so heavy on South Korea’s benchmark index that trading was halted for the second time in less than a week.

The circuit breaker was triggered on the Kospi, which had been one of the best global performers this year before the war, with the index last down 6.2pc to 5,236.96.
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EDIT:
10:04AM

Japan ‘prepares to tap national oil reserve’​

Japan has reportedly told its national oil reserve storage site to be prepared to release crude as the Iran crisis deepens.
Akira Nagatsuma, senior Japanese parliament member, told Reuters that an official at the Shibushi national oil storage ‌base had ⁠received a directive from the country’s Agency for Natural Resources and Energy (ANRE) on Friday.
Japan relies on the Middle East for around 95pc of its crude supplies, with roughly 70pc shipped through the Strait of Hormuz, which has been effectively closed following US and Israeli attacks on Iran.
It built up its own national reserve after the 1970s oil crisis nearly brought its economy to its knees.
G7 finance ministers, including Chancellor Rachel Reeves, will discuss later whether to tap global oil reserves in response to the deepening supply crisis building in the Middle East.
An official at ANRE declined to comment.
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Bellingcat has geolocated footage of a Tomahawk strike on an IRGC facility in Minab, in close proximity to the girls' school where 175 people were reportedly killed.

www.bellingcat.com

Video Shows US Tomahawk Missile Strike Next to Girls’ School in Iran - bellingcat

New video footage shows a US Tomahawk missile hitting an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) facility in Minab, Iran, on Feb 28, showing for the first time that the US struck the area. The footage, released by Mehr News and geolocated by Bellingcat, also shows smoke already rising from the...
www.bellingcat.com www.bellingcat.com
 
The Daily Mail is reporting that the U.S. WH is "blocking top US intelligence agencies from warning law enforcement across the country about rising threats to the homeland tied to his war with Iran". The document in question is "A Public Safety Awareness Report: Elevated threat in the United States during US-Iran conflict".

www.dailymail.co.uk

Trump blocks FBI terror threat alert linked to Iran war

Top Trump officials ordered it placed on hold over concerns that it could show the domestic risk of the war and further erode public support.
www.dailymail.co.uk www.dailymail.co.uk

Previous articles have detailed the unusual backgrounds and relative lack of experience of current U.S. intelligence/law enforcement officials (Patel, Gabbard and likely Mullin after Noem) so I don't have to recount those here; but when it comes to terrorism (or its prevention) especially, ProPublica's feature on the current Department of Homeland Security official overseeing the government’s main hub for terrorism prevention, Thomas Fugate seems especially relevant in light of the (for now suppressed) threat warning. He is currently 23 years of age and has a college degree in politics. The article itself is from June 4, 2025 but entirely up to date as he still holds the position.

www.propublica.org

“The Intern in Charge”: Meet the 22-Year-Old Trump’s Team Picked to Lead Terrorism Prevention

One year out of college and with no apparent national security expertise, Thomas Fugate is the Department of Homeland Security official tasked with overseeing the government’s main hub for combating violent extremism.
www.propublica.org www.propublica.org
 
On strategy:

Australian Army Major General (Ret.), CSIS & Lowy Institute fellow Mick Ryan reports on how lessons ignored from Ukraine reflect on how the Third Gulf War has been waged. These conflicts are now very much intertwined on many levels.

mickryan.substack.com

A Strategic Learning Deficit: Western Military Institutions Ignored Ukraine War Lessons. The Big Five, 8 March edition

My weekly update on war and strategic competition. This week, ignoring Ukraine war lessons hurts, battlefield and long-range strike, PLA operations in the Pacific and my Big 5 reading recommendations.
mickryan.substack.com mickryan.substack.com

On his turn, Marine Corps officer (Ret.), strategy analyst and writer B.A. Friedman notes on the lack of strategy the U.S. is showing in its action towards Iran and how rules of engagement (something that the current Secretary of Defense has expressed disdain for) naturally flow from strategy, informed goal setting and a theory of victory. He likens the current situation to classic naval salvo warfare, with the crucial difference that between nations (instead of sailing ships or fleets) it doesn't yield decisive outcomes.

bafriedman.substack.com

Orphaned Tactics

Oops we did it again
bafriedman.substack.com bafriedman.substack.com
 
Lavrov pushed back against Arab calls for Russia to exert pressure on Iran:


The group of Arab states you represent, many of the Arab monarchies, have publicly stated that there should be no military solution and that they will not allow the use of their airspace. But when it all started, despite your repeated calls to the US and Israel, did you condemn what the US and Israel began doing? Did you condemn the death of 170 girls at a school? I believe we must take a united position.
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He later emphasized that there needs to be a long lasting and diplomatic resolution to the conflict, through the UN Security Council and that Russia is


Let's raise our voices together to stop all of this. There needs to be a simple, concise, one-page UN Security Council resolution. And we're ready to draft such a draft in New York with our friends and see what the reaction is [...]

We stand in solidarity with the Arab countries, members of the Gulf Cooperation Council. But we also stand in solidarity with Iran, because for all these many years we have been trying to facilitate the processes that have been emerging, taking shape, and strengthening in this region to normalize Iran's relations with the Arabs. We have tried to assist in every way possible.
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Could be a leftover from an old exercise or previous conflict. We can't rule out the possibility though that it is some sort of plant or disinformation exercise.

In other news:
The island collects oil coming by pipeline from Iran’s largest producing fields, including Ahvaz, Marun and Gachsaran.

In the days leading up to ⁠the U.S.-Israeli attack, Iran ramped up exports from Kharg to near record levels, loading over 3 million bpd over February 15-20, nearly triple its normal export pace of around 1.3 million to 1.6 million ⁠bpd, according to JP Morgan.

Storage capacity on Kharg is estimated at roughly 30 million barrels and, according to Kpler, approximately 18 million barrels of crude are currently stored on ⁠the island, equivalent to roughly 10-12 days of exports under normal conditions.

Oil prices jumped to $119 per barrel on Monday as production cuts in the Middle East spread with Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates all affected.
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A bit of background on the island:
en.wikipedia.org

Kharg Island - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org
 
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TwoTribes said:

U.S. Tomahawk Hit Naval Base Beside Iranian School, Video Shows​

'Iran School Struck By Tomahawk, Israel Not Known To Have It': Fact-Checker​

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I wonder if this is not a trace of the same problem IDF had in Gaza last year: tracking mobile phone signals and selecting aggregation points upon raw stats (here we can suppose that Guard members were offloading their kids at the nearby school on their way to work resulting in an algorithm misidentifying the school as a gov building).
 
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EmoBirb said:
Following up on the matter of damages and hard to come by footage, a Satellite station near Beit Shemesh in Israel has been heavily damaged/destroyed

View attachment 804828
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Edit: additional footage
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The footage shows one area within a larger complex, where we see one damaged antenna with some cables and a movement mechanism.

The antennas in the background seem to have no RF frontend, cables, and movement mechanisms. Which indicates these are non-functional. They also show significant aging.

The video shows also one shed with most likely the system backend.

But it overall does not add up to a station "destroyed", nor even "severely damaged". Given the amount of operational antennas and systems there, it is quite likely there are backups working.
The damage to the station is light, and relatively inexpensive, although definitely a headache.

EmoBirb said:
Today a UAE AH-64 went down, killing both on board. Given the usage of the type to counter long range munitions it's being rumored that similar to various instances in Ukraine, the aircraft was damaged by the exploding warhead of the drone it intercepted and subsequent crashed.
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Can you please provide a better source for the AH-64 crash?
This tweet lacks any form of verification like footage or MoD statement.


Footage of 3 F-14s targeted today.
https://twitter.com/x/status/2031084742515326996

IDF claims 1,900 Iranian military KIA and "thousands" wounded.
https://twitter.com/x/status/2031071772204785815
 
Big_Zukini said:
Can you please provide a better source for the AH-64 crash?
This tweet lacks any form of verification like footage or MoD statement.
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UAE Ministry of Defence announces the martyrdom of two members of the Armed Forces following a helicopter crash due to a technical malfunction while performing their national duty in the country today, Monday, March 9, 2026.
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It was monday, my bad
 
It would appear that the new Ayatollah has already been wounded in an air-raid targeting him (No surprise there as he's clearly a priority target), from Sky News Australia:


TalkTV host Mark Dolan details the Middle Eastern conflict and how the new Iranian leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, has been injured.
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Big_Zukini said:
Footage of 3 F-14s targeted today.
https://twitter.com/x/status/2031084742515326996
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No,they`re not.
The footage of the "F-14" strikes are from last years 12 day war.
https://twitter.com/x/status/1936486445230797100
As for the helicopter strikes,at least one of these is a decoy,probably all 3 are.
With the last helicopter attacked you see no movement of the rotors[this is true for all 3] despite a strike that would`ve impacted right next to the rotor head,the debris looks far more like chunks of tarmac than metal wreckage,not to mention some of these chunks seem to be on top of the rotors.

Still the X post title gave me a damn good laugh,I didnt know the IRGC-AF flew F-14s.:D

Seriously tho,its ignorant morons like this OpenSourceIntel dickhead,who doesnt even know the difference between the IRIAF & IRGC-AF,yet is claiming to be an OSINT source,that have damaged the credibility of the whole concept,yet somehow this idiot has 1.1 million followers!?
:rolleyes:
 
Sineva said:
As for the helicopter strikes,at least one of these is a decoy,probably all 3 are.
With the last helicopter attacked you see no movement of the rotors[this is true for all 3] despite a strike that would`ve impacted right next to the rotor head,the debris looks far more like chunks of tarmac than metal wreckage,not to mention some of these chunks seem to be on top of the rotors.
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This was already covered here. The strike footage shows what is most likely a Mikholit, a drone launched missile with a 1-2kg warhead. The rotor blades each weigh 140kg. There is no way they'd have moved much from such a small blast.
If these are decoys, they are full size, heavy, with a correct thermal signature.
Sineva said:
Seriously tho,its ignorant morons like this OpenSourceIntel dickhead,who doesnt even know the difference between the IRIAF & IRGC-AF,yet is claiming to be an OSINT source,that have damaged the credibility of the whole concept,yet somehow this idiot has 1.1 million followers
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Until recently it was just inaccuracies and I figured he was taking these straight from the IDF's Telegram press releases like everyone else. But that's one error too many and I'm gonna mute him.
Thanks.
 
The BBC has a new news article about how Ukrainian interceptor drones could help Gulf states deal with Iranian drones:


President Volodymyr Zelensky has said Ukrainian drone experts will arrive in the Middle East to help Gulf states under attack from Iran. Iran has fired a number of Shahed drones across the Middle East - and some air defences in the region have struggled to cope.​
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Ukraine has spent the last four years inventing cheap but effective ways of defending their skies from similar Russian strikes - and now some countries have come knocking on their door to ask for help.​
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The BBC's Diplomatic Correspondent, James Landale, is in Ukraine and has been to see the latest anti-drone technology the country has to offer.​
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