Yet the successes still outnumber the failures..?
They don't.
The amphib programs have gone very well, as have the auxiliaries.
These are useless without a Battle Force for them to support.
Burke Flt III and even the IIA restart went well.
Flight III hasn't finished. It's one ship. IIA did okay because it didn't really stop.
Zumwalt failed, not due to standards,
Because of GWOT funding.
and CG(X) was primarily not pursued
Because of GWOT funding.
as Flt III was more politically tenable
No, it was an emergency program. It's a cheap way to get AMDR at sea while waiting for...whatever will actually carry AMDR.
What in that is a failing due to survivability standards?
NAVSEA had far more misses than hits since 1995 for the Battle Force. The reasons are not important because the reasons are symptoms of the cause of failure, which is that NAVSEA and the United States economy in general, have lost the ability to produce ships efficiently and on time since at least 2020. Maybe earlier.
Flight IIA succeeded but then how could it fail? It was 1995. IIA restart didn't really stop either (the delay was like...a year or three?) so that was relatively easy. Flight III seems to be okay but this could change on a whim next week or next month or six or ten or eighteen or whatever.
Zumwalt failed due to GWOT sucking the funding out. LCS-1 and LCS-2 both failed due to lack of support for mission modules because their costs inflated to the point where procurement ate the development budget. No more modules! Oops! FFG(X) failed because it wasn't engineered properly and it had uncontrollable growth increases, and that will continue to grow as the two ordered Connies get built. FF(X) might succeed, but it might also stop at one or two or three hulls, who knows! It's possible HII will get budget to produce a large number of 4923s, nobody really knows yet, but I suspect they won't. Where's the money gonna come from?
The 774s were smoothly designed but their production is bad. The 774s are supposed to be 2.0 hulls per year but they're 1.1 per year, down from 1.4 I believe, since 2022. They might put 7-8 in the water before the war kicks off. They've got orders for about 20 I think. Same with the Columbias. Columbia has slipped by a year. The follow on ships haven't slipped, yet. Same with the Fords. CVN-80 slipped from 2025 to now 2030. It's probably going to miss the party!
This all counts as failure. NAVSEA should be capable of reorganizing the production yards and supply chains promptly when necessary. They're just kind of not. So everything is a year or five behind here and getting worse.
DDG(X) failed. It never even bent metal. Unfortunate. BBG will perhaps fail, it's the safe bet, after all. Extraordinary ships require extraordinary evidence. SSN(X) might also fail, judging by how the surface fleet has gone, but hopefully the Navy isn't going for the option for 30+ SSN(X) and buys 30+ 774s instead out to 2054. They know how to make those.
LX(R) is currently in a state of limbo. It might be functionally canceled, even though it really can't be, because it's not really done anything for several years now. LHA Fallujah has slipped by a year, commensurate with the Columbias, so that's approaching a major failure. They've stopped buying LPD-17s to try to shift most the gator navy money to surface ships and submarines, I think, because there's just tons of backlogs.
It's a rough time for everyone, except one. The only program that seems to be on track is the Flight III production! Maybe?! Who knows! Nobody cares about the oilers or whatever, because they're not going to have much of a surface fleet to back up, but I assume they're on track. NASSCO can't be that bad because, much like the Burke printer, they're constantly working due to being flush with cash.
Also we need a new plane, a new nuclear warhead, and eventually a new SLBM. And Standards. And Tomahawks.
But other than all that, yeah, DON has done a good job.
