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LowObservable said:This is my understanding:
The LockMart design went from canard to quad-tail shortly before the CDA RFP deadline (which was in 1996). The main reason was that the carrier version was going to need a larger wing than the span-restricted (LH-class parking) CV/STOVL aircraft, and larger control surfaces. Scaling up a delta wing, while keeping its sweep angles constant (LO constraint) is difficult configuration-wise because the increase in root chord - in feet and inches - gets very large... so where do you put the (also larger) canard? A wing with less sweep and taper, and an aft tail likewise, made it easier to accommodate two wing designs on the same body shape.
The LSPM (large scale powered model) in the Google Earth photos was built as a canard, but I suspect that they modded it to get some idea of the difference in suck-down effects.
I attended a speech/dinner of the America Helicopter Society the other day. The keynote speaker was from ADP and participated in the early CALF/JAST/ASTOVL/JSF studies. He mentioned that besides carrier suitability, one driving consideration for switching to a conventional configuration from the original canard was a question of weapons bay placement. He mentioned that the bays ended up "too far aft" (i'm assuming because they have to straddle the cg; this could have all sorts of implications in aerodynamics and structures but he did not elaborate). The other reason, which i would have never anticipated, was that the canards could, under some conditions, mask the field of view of air launched weapons.