Forest Green
ACCESS: Above Top Secret
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How come Arrow 3 ($3.5m) is so much cheaper than SM-3 IIA?
Non-naval, presumably, designed for more specific conditions.How come Arrow 3 ($3.5m) is so much cheaper than SM-3 IIA?
It's smaller, much less complex, and much less capable.How come Arrow 3 ($3.5m) is so much cheaper than SM-3 IIA?
I'd assume 1 for 1, but we know what assuming means.Is there any indication yet as to how many Arrow 3s the IDF fired at Iranian ballistic missiles?
This is a good point. Based on the fact there were 120 BMs, 36 CMs and 185 drones, that's only 341 objects total. If an Arrow 3 costs $3.5m, then unless an Arrow 3 was fired at every single once of them, these estimates of $1-1.3bn do not hold water. Even if an Arrow 3 was used on every BM, that's $420m, and assuming a David's Sling ($1m) for the other 221 missiles/drones, that's only $640m. And we know some drones were shot down with APKWS and Sidewinder outside Israel. So the total cost was likely nearer $500m.Is there any indication yet as to how many Arrow 3s the IDF fired at Iranian ballistic missiles?
From another thread (source @Grey Havoc )
Former financial advisor to the IDF Chief of General Staff estimates a cost of about 4-5 billion NIS, or 1-1.3 billion USD.
https://www.ynet.co.il/economy/article/rkl6kwygr
This is not sustainable. This is 5% of the IDF's annual budget spent in one night.
A single David's Sling missile costs $1 million. A single Arrow costs $3.5 million without specifying the variant (likely Arrow 2).
He estimates the cost for Iran was about 10% of that.
Plus, Israel has options for international sourcing of components that Iran doesn't. Or, if Iran does, has to spend a lot more for them due to needing to smuggle them in. I've heard that the markup on smuggled goods is usually upwards of 200%.This is a good point. Based on the fact there were 120 BMs, 36 CMs and 185 drones, that's only 341 objects total. If an Arrow 3 costs $3.5m, then unless an Arrow 3 was fired at every single once of them, these estimates of $1-1.3bn do not hold water. Even if an Arrow 3 was used on every BM, that's $420m, and assuming a David's Sling ($1m) for the other 221 missiles/drones, that's only $640m. And we know some drones were shot down with APKWS and Sidewinder outside Israel. So the total cost was likely nearer $500m.
Now given that Iran used 50 MRBMs, plus 70 SRBMs, plus 36 CMs and 185 large drones, what's the bet that cost something similar? And last I looked Israel's GDP is ~25% higher than Iran's.
Or, if Iran does, has to spend a lot more for them due to needing to smuggle them in.
The Air Force has decided to procure Arrow 4 air defense system currently in development in Israel. This is what the deputy inspector of the Luftwaffe, Lieutenant General Lutz Kohlhaus, said this today in his opening speech at the Ground Based Air Defence Summit of CPM GmbH in Berlin.
Germany is buying Arrow 4 to complement their Arrow 3 systems
Not yet. But there will be, quite soon. Given how important BMD is for Israel and the 2nd wind from customers.There's an Arrow 4? That's news to me.