Small UAS / Drones and related general thread - NOT Swarming ones.

1:5 kill ratio: Ukraine inflicts heavy Russian losses using drones, says Finnish president​

breakingdefense.com

1:5 kill ratio: Ukraine inflicts heavy Russian losses using drones, says Finnish president - Breaking Defense

Finnish President Alexander Stubb said during his visit to Washington that Ukraine is in a much better place than it has been at any stage of the war thus far.
breakingdefense.com breakingdefense.com
Ukraine currently has a military advantage over Russia, according to Finnish President Alexander Stubb, with Moscow experiencing personnel losses at a rate five times higher than Kyiv’s, largely due to Ukraine’s steadily improving drone kill rates.
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“I think Ukraine is in a much better place than it has been at any stage in this horrific war — the killing ratio right now is 1:5, one Ukrainian soldier to five Russian soldiers. … The rate at which they’re going now is roughly 150 to 157 dead [Russian] soldiers per square kilometers,” Stubb said during a panel organized by the Brookings Institution on Monday while on an official visit to Washington.
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However, Stubb remained optimistic, especially regarding Ukraine’s combat effectiveness, noting that it has achieved 95 percent of its recent kills via drones.
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Grey Havoc said:
How much of that is real and how much is wishful thinking is the question, though.
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I think it's fairly decent information based on the same figures than indicated an overall wartime ratio of 1:2.5 in January. So the ratio has increased based on the same data.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2044344892415959438
View: https://x.com/NOELreports/status/2044344892415959438?s=20

https://twitter.com/x/status/2044356430967308778
View: https://x.com/NOELreports/status/2044356430967308778?s=20
 
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I'll admit I'm rather doubtful of such ratios. There are more than enough examples in every war of "optimistic" kill counts.

If 95% of recent causalities are from drones, I have to assume there is almost no ground being gained or lost at this point. What is artillery and the big-ticket items doing? Waiting for the possibility that the Russians mass forces to try for major push?
 
Colonial-Marine said:
I'll admit I'm rather doubtful of such ratios. There are more than enough examples in every war of "optimistic" kill counts.

If 95% of recent causalities are from drones, I have to assume there is almost no ground being gained or lost at this point. What is artillery and the big-ticket items doing? Waiting for the possibility that the Russians mass forces to try for major push?
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ukranian SPGs have been getting hit quite hard with the active use of drones. everything has been getting hit hard. for example:
1776275067352.png
1776275092281.png

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1776275172590.png
Ive noticed that ukraine has wayyyy more armoured cars and MRAP losses but russia ahs significantly more IFV losses so i assume the russians use IFVs while the ukranians make use of armoured civilians cars as well as MRAPs that can be easily resupplied by its friends.



obviously these stats do not paint the true picture but they're generally visually identified losses so they show a trend.
Take them with a grain of salt though since they might not be fully accurate caused i poached it off a pro russian subreddit and it may have bias although the 2 sources used are relatively good for their ability to paint a true picture.
 
I doubt anyone outside the war has a remotely good idea of what the casualties or exchange rates are. Honestly sometimes I wonder if the actual participants are keeping particularly good track of such numbers. I would discount most any publicly released number as self serving for whoever released it.
 
Airlogix has developed new Anubis and Seth-X drones to be manufactured in Germany

thedefender.media

Ukrainian Airlogix unveils new Anubis and Seth-X drones

They will be manufactured in Germany at a joint venture with Auterion. The products will be supplied to the AFU. More on Defender Media.
thedefender.media thedefender.media

Further to above post.

Regards,
 
ComradeVortex said:
The graphs above.
Or if you want there’s LostArmour, Bealthass on X, or any other telegram channel.
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Where are the graphs from though, what figures are they based on? These figures don't support those graphs.
www.oryxspioenkop.com

Attack On Europe: Documenting Russian Equipment Losses During The Russian Invasion Of Ukraine

www.oryxspioenkop.com www.oryxspioenkop.com
www.oryxspioenkop.com

Attack On Europe: Documenting Ukrainian Equipment Losses During The Russian Invasion Of Ukraine

www.oryxspioenkop.com www.oryxspioenkop.com

There's significant disparity in Russian SPG losses for April for instance, visually verified Russian SPG losses were twice as high as claimed by your Excel graphs.

1776344770604.png

CH-47 Chinook Air-Launching Swarms Of Drones Touted As Future Feature​

www.twz.com

CH-47 Chinook Air-Launching Swarms Of Drones Touted As Future Feature

Boeing also identifies growing interest in an optimally crewed version of the Chinook. Boeing also identifies growing interest in an optimally crewed version of the Chinook.
www.twz.com www.twz.com

​

 
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Forest Green said:
Where are the graphs from though, what figures are they based on?
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It’s a graph made by u/HeyHeyHayden and u/mogud_sus_reloaded on r/UkraineRussiaReport using the data from (for Ukrainian losses) and UkraineWarSpotting (for Russian losses).

https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineRussiaReport/comments/1qsxaze/ru_pov_military_vehicle_loss_statistics_for_2025
View: https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineRussiaReport/comments/1qsxaze/ru_pov_military_vehicle_loss_statistics_for_2025/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web3x&utm_name=web3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button
 
'Not supported post'?

Either way, if visually confirmed losses were twice as high for April, it's clearly flawed.
 
1. It's been ages since we've known that drones for both sides are of Chinese origins, mainly FPVs. This is old news.

2. Russia import-substituted everything but FPV drones, because they used Chinese drones since ever, so they substituted absolutely nothing in the FPV aspect. Moreover there's a very good probability that most of the production, like Geran, is localized.
 

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