martinbayer
ACCESS: Above Top Secret
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Well, Pons and Fleishman were also thought to be pretty solid scientists before the "cold fusion" debackle.It is not a case of "a self-taught crackpot pseudo-scientist". The man and his team credentials seems to be rock-solid. Could such a strong team be entirely wrong ?
Yep.Could such a strong team be entirely wrong ?
Remember that Korean team that announced room-temperature superconductors?It is not a case of "a self-taught crackpot pseudo-scientist". The man and his team credentials seems to be rock-solid. Could such a strong team be entirely wrong ?
Yup. History is replete with respected experts who fell down the rabbit hole of their own ideas.self-deception. It can happens to everyone, including the very best... typical human being bias / weakness.
I disagree, an objective scientist is so afraid of criticism that he never gets anything important done. Let him enjoy his professorship, his publications, and his sterile life.Yup. History is replete with respected experts who fell down the rabbit hole of their own ideas.
The most important thing a scientist can do is maintain objectivity while trying desperately hard to trash their own ideas. But if they desperately *want* their idea to be correct, this can be a problem. It doesn't require malfeasance on their part, just basic human nature.
Objective scientists - and engineers - are the *only* ones who get things done. Lack of objectivity is the opposite of good science.I disagree, an objective scientist is so afraid of criticism that he never gets anything important done.
Medications that must be taken for a lifetime, neither cure nor kill, only relieve the symptoms.Objective scientists - and engineers - are the *only* ones who get things done. Lack of objectivity is the opposite of good science.
And those who operate from passion rather than scientific skepticism, top out at "quackery." Medicines that actually relieve symptoms are vastly superior to snake oils that kill. Medicines that actually cure require *deep* scientific rigor.Medications that must be taken for a lifetime, neither cure nor kill, only relieve the symptoms.![]()
I have a cold that has been going on for three days now and barely allows me to work, I could use a little scientific rigor.And those who operate from passion rather than scientific skepticism, top out at "quackery." Medicines that actually relieve symptoms are vastly superior to snake oils that kill. Medicines that actually cure require *deep* scientific rigor.
One of the most important precepts of the scientific method is the recognition that not only "I might be wrong," but "I very likely am wrong." Those who proceed from "Nah, I'm right, everyone else is wrong," are very, VERY rarely actually right.
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HMqZ2PPOLik
Have yourself some aspirin and orange juice. You know, things that are only available to you thanks to technology made possible via scientific and engineering rigor.I have a cold that has been going on for three days now and barely allows me to work, I could use a little scientific rigor.
I appreciate your advice, but acetyl silicyl acid and vitamin C have never managed to beat the cold, I think I'll choose magical thinking.Have yourself some aspirin and orange juice. You know, things that are only available to you thanks to technology made possible via scientific and engineering rigor.
Alternatively, listen to some overly excited yammering head yapping about how the cure to your illness is whatever elixir or Soooper Seekrit Device he's hawking. That's really the only alternative to objective science: magical thinking.
Magical thinking doesn't beat the cold either. However, basic medicines as discovered and refined by science can do better at letting you survive the experience with reduced misery.I appreciate your advice, but acetyl silicyl acid and vitamin C have never managed to beat the cold, I think I'll choose magical thinking.
So which ones are you on these days, if I might ask?Medications that must be taken for a lifetime, neither cure nor kill, only relieve the symptoms.![]()
magical thinkingSo which ones are you on these days, if I might ask?
Sometimes scientists get stuck in a problem and have no choice but to use their creativity to imagine concepts that justify their theories, although they call it theoretical physics that sounds better."Yup. History is replete with respected experts who fell down the rabbit hole of their own ideas."
Classic UK engineering example remains Prof. Laithwaite, of linear-motor fame, later haplessly enthralled by the behaviour of big fly-wheels and gyroscopes. He really, really thought he'd stumbled upon contra-gravitic route. Disgrace and medical retirement ensued...
IIRC, there's a Nobel Prize winner who later 'got a bee in his bonnet' about mega-vitamins preventing Cancer. Also, that Doc who went from Hero to sub-zero over the MMR combined vaccine. His anti-triple-vaxx efforts have now spawned global out-breaks of all three so-preventable lurgies...
'Wooden Spoon' perhaps due for Razer's N95 anti-COVID masks...
https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy...-cent-made-selling-bogus-n95-grade-rgb-masks/
Best of luck with that!magical thinking
All cases you named were cases when scientists hit the deficiences and problems of existing theories, and, frustrated by the inability of existing theories to explain observed facts, tried "something creative". They weren't inventing new theories for the sake of new theories; they invented new teories because problems with existing ones were obvious. The way was: phenomenon observed - existing theory repeatedly failed to explain it satisfactory - scientists started to seek alternatives.Sometimes scientists get stuck in a problem and have no choice but to use their creativity to imagine concepts that justify their theories, although they call it theoretical physics that sounds better.
Well, ask someone with severe ulcerative colitis or extensive psoriasis if they are better off with the new medications taken for a lifetime. It was a long hard struggle to understand the immune system and how to devise medications redirect it effectively. I was there for it.Medications that must be taken for a lifetime, neither cure nor kill, only relieve the symptoms.![]()
These are cases of scientists who dare to risk their reputations, I fear that it is an extinct race. To appreciate the difference with today's scientists, you only have to look at what happens in universities.All cases you named were cases when scientists hit the deficiences and problems of existing theories, and, frustrated by the inability of existing theories to explain observed facts, tried "something creative". They weren't inventing new theories for the sake of new theories; they invented new teories because problems with existing ones were obvious. The way was: phenomenon observed - existing theory repeatedly failed to explain it satisfactory - scientists started to seek alternatives.
Both opinions are true. Some companies that manufacture drugs have become monsters that make billions a year. Why would they hurt their profits by definitively solving the diseases that cause them? They relieve pain and other discomfort but prefer to keep customers as long as possible. Can you imagine the losses that a simple cold vaccine would cause them?Well, ask someone with severe ulcerative colitis or extensive psoriasis if they are better off with the new medications taken for a lifetime. It was a long hard struggle to understand the immune system and how to devise medications redirect it effectively. I was there for it.
"Yup. History is replete with respected experts who fell down the rabbit hole of their own ideas."
Classic UK engineering example remains Prof. Laithwaite, of linear-motor fame, later haplessly enthralled by the behaviour of big fly-wheels and gyroscopes. He really, really thought he'd stumbled upon contra-gravitic route. Disgrace and medical retirement ensued...
IIRC, there's a Nobel Prize winner who later 'got a bee in his bonnet' about mega-vitamins preventing Cancer. Also, that Doc who went from Hero to sub-zero over the MMR combined vaccine. His anti-triple-vaxx efforts have now spawned global out-breaks of all three so-preventable lurgies...
'Wooden Spoon' perhaps due for Razer's N95 anti-COVID masks...
https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy...-cent-made-selling-bogus-n95-grade-rgb-masks/
These are cases of scientists who dare to risk their reputations, I fear that it is an extinct race.
Scientific dogma has changed many times since philosophers believed that the earth was the center of the universe....and it will change again.You "risk your reputation" by going against "scientific dogma." Lots of scientists used to do that. But here's the thing: over time, scientific dogma has become more and more entrenched not because scientists are hidebound, but because years, decades, generations of testing have shown that that dogma is almost certainly correct. A century ago a scientist could go against the scientific dogma of evolution with his own ideas and *not* be a crank, but today the evidence for evolution is so overwhelming that any scientist who's *actually* a scientist will look at it and not be able to come up with a competing hypothesis that's not patently silly.
A scientist who's not head deep up his own ass will not challenge dogma that they know full well is almost certainly correct unless they have a mountain of evidence backing their competing notion.