USAF/USN 6th Gen Fighters - F/A-XX, F-X, NGAD, PCA, ASFS News & Analysis [2008- 2025]

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DOD procurement will never be efficient, no matter how much the bean counters and policy makers want to try. That's just the nature of the beast. What we wanted yesterday will be different than what we want today, which will be different than what we'll want tomorrow. Compound that over the potential lifespan of any DOD project and you'll understand why costs can never be successfully reigned in.
 
DOD procurement will never be efficient, no matter how much the bean counters and policy makers want to try. That's just the nature of the beast. What we wanted yesterday will be different than what we want today, which will be different than what we'll want tomorrow. Compound that over the potential lifespan of any DOD project and you'll understand why costs can never be successfully reigned in.
Now drop in politicians who change their minds every four years and it's a miracle anything gets accomplished at all.
 

A New Unmanned Fighter

“Basically, the idea here is that you have, … nominally, up to five” unmanned aircraft escorting a single F-22, F-35, or the fighter platform element of the Next-Generation Air Dominance system. The pilots of these aircraft are “essentially, calling ‘plays,’ and … using those other unmanned combat aircraft … as a formation to do things that make sense, tactically.”

Back too the digital quarterback ala Commanche. Apache could take such a role for a returned UCRotorAV. ALE has a bit to be desired. a bit low in capability. ALE on UCRotorAV maybe.
 
She's still undecided

Bashful-Talking-With-Snow-White.jpg
 

A New Unmanned Fighter

“Basically, the idea here is that you have, … nominally, up to five” unmanned aircraft escorting a single F-22, F-35, or the fighter platform element of the Next-Generation Air Dominance system. The pilots of these aircraft are “essentially, calling ‘plays,’ and … using those other unmanned combat aircraft … as a formation to do things that make sense, tactically.”

Back too the digital quarterback ala Commanche. Apache could take such a role for a returned UCRotorAV. ALE has a bit to be desired. a bit low in capability. ALE on UCRotorAV maybe.

They specifically mention 'playbooks'. I get the impression that the manned fighter would only provide a directive or a behavior option and that the wingman would then operate along preset patterns. Maybe nominally they would act as decoys in formation flying, with the ability for the pilot to tell one or more "sic em!" and have it engage air or ground targets (depending on how it is armed). Perhaps other options for stand in jamming instead of close escort, with one or more wingmen maintaining bearing and azimuth relative to the parent a/c and a threat emitter.
 

Besides the mentioning of 2 new unmanned fighter/compagnon programs, once again;

"The NGAD has been underway since Kendall was the undersecretary of defense for acquisition, technology, and logistics, but has gone beyond the technology demonstrator stage, he said. It has “moved forward very well” and will be the next-generation fighter after the F-35, but as part of a system of systems, Kendall noted."
 
Yes yes. I think we can now burry the debate b/w those who thought it had already flown or not. :)


Indeed ... the only question that so remains is: When will we get a first glimpse of it?
 
When might we see an actual competition announced?
And when might we hear that a winning design has been chosen?

I am guessing those two pieces of info are the only info that might be disclosed about ngad anyway. For some years to come anyway. Possibly all the way up to the first flight of the winning design prototype.
 
Yes yes. I think we can now burry the debate b/w those who thought it had already flown or not. :)


Indeed ... the only question that so remains is: When will we get a first glimpse of it?

And/or a glimpse of the one(s) who did not proceed beyond the technology demonstrator phase.

There will likely be (or planned) multiple demonstrators. Frank Kendall had originally mentioned "Demonstrators" when he revealed the AII back in 2015 ish. He brought that up again this week. If the entire digital push is to be taken at face value than its pretty safe to assume that multiple demonstrators (some full scale, some test bed) may be in the works or already flying.

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uDxz01GmO34
 
Yes yes. I think we can now burry the debate b/w those who thought it had already flown or not. :)


Indeed ... the only question that so remains is: When will we get a first glimpse of it?

And/or a glimpse of the one(s) who did not proceed beyond the technology demonstrator phase.

There will likely be (or planned) multiple demonstrators. Frank Kendall had originally mentioned "Demonstrators" when he revealed the AII back in 2015 ish. He brought that up again this week. If the entire digital push is to be taken at face value than its pretty safe to assume that multiple demonstrators (some full scale, some test bed) may be in the works or already flying.

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uDxz01GmO34

"I put NGAD into the budget in about 2014"
"we´ve ordered the contract before I left". (He left January 20th, 2017)
"I lost track of it because it was a SAP"
"... acknowledged SAPs ... "
"what we told people publicly was that it was a program that built some X-planes, technology demonstrators ..."
"that program has moved forward very well"
"it is a feeder to both the NGAD 'platform', if you will, and the NGAD family of systems."

Hmm..
So, a (1984/2014) 'X-29' and a (1990/2020) 'X-31'?
Or (1990/2000/2020) 'XYP-2235' and 'XYP-2332 ?

@ Kendall & Co.:
Okay, I will, but when the Russians come up with a 6th gen NGADski-platform, you will give it 'Flatworm' as reporting name.
 
"what we told people publicly was that it was a program that built some X-planes, technology demonstrators ..."
"that program has moved forward very well"
"it is a feeder to both the NGAD 'platform', if you will, and the NGAD family of systems."
The only X-plane that would fit would be the X-62A, which is the old NF-16D VISTA converted with the System for Autonomous Control of Simulation (SACS) as part of the Skyborg programme, which would tie-in nicely with the Loyal Wingman efforts.
 
"what we told people publicly was that it was a program that built some X-planes, technology demonstrators ..."
"that program has moved forward very well"
"it is a feeder to both the NGAD 'platform', if you will, and the NGAD family of systems."
The only X-plane that would fit would be the X-62A, which is the old NF-16D VISTA converted with the System for Autonomous Control of Simulation (SACS) as part of the Skyborg programme, which would tie-in nicely with the Loyal Wingman efforts.
They haven't revealed them. For all we know they're the XF-26 and XF-27 or XF-126 and XF-127. They may even just be going "Program Name" Vehicle 1 and "Program Name" Vehicle 2. He's most likely just using the term "X-Plane" in the sense that they were experimental demonstrators, not necessarily receiving an X designation. Having said that, does that mean we're at the YF stage of the program? That's a question for him which I don't think he'll answer. ;)
 
"what we told people publicly was that it was a program that built some X-planes, technology demonstrators ..."
"that program has moved forward very well"
"it is a feeder to both the NGAD 'platform', if you will, and the NGAD family of systems."
The only X-plane that would fit would be the X-62A, which is the old NF-16D VISTA converted with the System for Autonomous Control of Simulation (SACS) as part of the Skyborg programme, which would tie-in nicely with the Loyal Wingman efforts.

"we´ve ordered the contract before I left"
"what we told people publicly was that it was a program that built some X-planes, technology demonstrators ..."

That (the contract) would then be no later then 2016, or the first weeks of January 2017.
AFAIK, NF-16D has been / is undergoing upgrades to support the USAF Skyborg-program much more recently, and has received it´s X-62A designation only past summer.
 
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"what we told people publicly was that it was a program that built some X-planes, technology demonstrators ..."
"that program has moved forward very well"
"it is a feeder to both the NGAD 'platform', if you will, and the NGAD family of systems."
The only X-plane that would fit would be the X-62A, which is the old NF-16D VISTA converted with the System for Autonomous Control of Simulation (SACS) as part of the Skyborg programme, which would tie-in nicely with the Loyal Wingman efforts.
They haven't revealed them. For all we know they're the XF-26 and XF-27 or XF-126 and XF-127. They may even just be going "Program Name" Vehicle 1 and "Program Name" Vehicle 2. He's most likely just using the term "X-Plane" in the sense that they were experimental demonstrators, not necessarily receiving an X designation. Having said that, does that mean we're at the YF stage of the program? That's a question for him which I don't think he'll answer. ;)

March 2014 ...

"Prototypes and demonstrations that develop technology surprise
While mitigating current threats and developing affordable systems are important, we are also asked to develop new systems that provide a leap-ahead technology. Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology and Logistics Frank Kendall has initiated a new Aerospace Innovation Initiative (AII) to ensure that the United States can maintain air dominance in future contested environments. The AII includes a new program to demonstrate advanced aircraft technologies in X-planes (AII-X) as well as the on-going and previously mentioned Advanced Engine Technology Program (AETP). AII’s goals include strengthening the critically important design teams in the defense industrial base and reducing the lead time for future systems. DARPA will lead AII as a DARPA/Air Force/Navy program to develop and demonstrate technologies enabling cost-effective air warfare capabilities necessary to defeat future near-peer threats. This program will develop and fly two X-plane prototypes that demonstrate advanced technologies for future aircraft. Teams will compete to produce the X-plane prototypes, one focused on future Navy operational capabilities and the other on future Air Force operational capabilities. The X-planes will not be Engineering, Manufacturing and Development prototypes or have residual operational capabilities. The result of a successful development and demonstration X-plane program will inform future aircraft system acquisitions. "

Source:
https://docs.house.gov/meetings/AS/AS26/20150326/103242/HMTG-114-AS26-Wstate-ShafferA-20150326.pdf

In Sept. 2020 it was announced a NGAD 'full-scale flight demonstrator' had flown (in the real world).
ATF´s YF-22 and YF-23 flew in 1990 and they were not EMD prototypes. They were 'feeders' to the EMD F-22A prototype...
 
ATF´s YF-22 and YF-23 flew in 1990 and they were not EMD prototypes. They were 'feeders' to the EMD F-22A prototype...
The YF-22 and YF-23 were the very definition of prototypes. In fact, that's what the Y stands for; I never said anything about EMD.
 
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i though the YF where tech demos while a true prototype would be the same as production standard. A tech demo proves a design is viable while a prototype is to see if the specifics of a design work as intended and what must be changed for full rate production. The YF-22, YF-23, YF-16, EAP, Rafale A, X-35, X-32 are tech demos (I’m not sure if the YF-17 is as it was based on a prexisting design that was to be produced, I don’t know enough) these are basically “toy planes” that prove a basic idea is workable. while a prototype might be the EMD Raptors, the Rafale C01, Eurofighter DA aircraft etc. these are very similar to the final design and exist to see what problems might be avoided before mass production.
 
The YF-22 and YF-23 were the very definition of prototypes. In fact, that's what the Y stands for; I never said anything about EMD.

I know, I was just emphasizing a few things that were mentioned before, rather as an addition to your post then as a reply or remark.
 
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But now, Boeing sees a highly digital future for aircraft design and production unfolding here, with the T-7 paving the way. And manufacturing lessons learned from the T-7 have already helped in the creation of the Air Force’s new F-15EXs and the secretive Next Generation Air Dominance fighter, said Matt Giese, Boeing’s chief test pilot for the F-15EX.
https://www.defensenews.com/air/202...e-the-air-forces-next-trainer-is-being-built/
It could meen that Boeing could be the builder of Ngad Demonstrator ?
 
But now, Boeing sees a highly digital future for aircraft design and production unfolding here, with the T-7 paving the way. And manufacturing lessons learned from the T-7 have already helped in the creation of the Air Force’s new F-15EXs and the secretive Next Generation Air Dominance fighter, said Matt Giese, Boeing’s chief test pilot for the F-15EX.
https://www.defensenews.com/air/202...e-the-air-forces-next-trainer-is-being-built/
It could meen that Boeing could be the builder of Ngad Demonstrator ?
No. More like a subsupplier like on the f22. I suspect no matter who wins, Boeing wins.
 
But now, Boeing sees a highly digital future for aircraft design and production unfolding here, with the T-7 paving the way. And manufacturing lessons learned from the T-7 have already helped in the creation of the Air Force’s new F-15EXs and the secretive Next Generation Air Dominance fighter, said Matt Giese, Boeing’s chief test pilot for the F-15EX.
https://www.defensenews.com/air/202...e-the-air-forces-next-trainer-is-being-built/
It could meen that Boeing could be the builder of Ngad Demonstrator ?
No. More like a subsupplier like on the f22
ATF´s YF-22 and YF-23 flew in 1990 and they were not EMD prototypes. They were 'feeders' to the EMD F-22A prototype...
The YF-22 and YF-23 were the very definition of prototypes. In fact, that's what the Y stands for; I never said anything about EMD.
Not really. They were a blend of X plane and prototype. If they were true prototypes then the yf22 would have carried more then 4 aams.... The yf23 didn't even carry one. The 22 was far more production intent as is obvious.
 
Yes why we should have had 450+ F-22s. That’s aerial deterrence. Imagine you’re an adversary knowing you’d have to go up against multiple hundreds of them.
Actually, the F-22 isn't actually that great for the Pacific due to it's short range, relatively speaking. It was built for the European theater and for a supercruise aircraft it's fuel fraction is marginal. It's a good thing they're going with NGAD and didn't build too many F-22s. With the combo of NGAD and F-35s, we should have the tactical spectrum covered with aircraft that will both have excellent range capability. They can use the F-22s for defending the bases the NGAD and F-35s will operate from.
 
By the time the US starts fielding NGAD assets, China will already have a counter.

1) an aircraft to sever the link between operator & aircraft
2) swarm tech to immediately eliminate the disconnected aircraft

Our well educated adversaries aren't stupid. Hopefully the US capitalizes on destabilizing tech to maintain their asymmetric advantage in the Pacific.
 
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Actually, the F-22 isn't actually that great for the Pacific due to it's short range, relatively speaking. It was built for the European theater and for a supercruise aircraft it's fuel fraction is marginal. It's a good thing they're going with NGAD and didn't build too many F-22s. With the combo of NGAD and F-35s, we should have the tactical spectrum covered with aircraft that will both have excellent range capability. They can use the F-22s for defending the bases the NGAD and F-35s will operate from.
It may not be the asset for conducting offensive counter air in the Pacific, but it's still better than anything else existing for defensive counter air protecting Japan, South Korea, Guam, and the like, and it is still capable of offensive and defensive fighter operations in Europe as a NATO asset. Three-hundred more would be mighty useful, both in Europe and East Asia.

And this is coming from someone who still thinks the F-23 was the better option for a whole host of reasons including range and Lockheed's inability to not double the develpoment time and triple the cost of any program they get their hands on. F-22 production should never have been halted, just like C-17s. Both had production stopped, and a couple years later both decisions were regretted. You don't stop production of a military asset until it's replacement is in production*.

*I'd include the B-2 in this calculus, but since 21 airframes is pretty much a development program not a production program, perhaps it's the B-1 that should still be in limited production pending the B-21.
 
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Actually, the F-22 isn't actually that great for the Pacific due to it's short range, relatively speaking. It was built for the European theater and for a supercruise aircraft it's fuel fraction is marginal. It's a good thing they're going with NGAD and didn't build too many F-22s. With the combo of NGAD and F-35s, we should have the tactical spectrum covered with aircraft that will both have excellent range capability. They can use the F-22s for defending the bases the NGAD and F-35s will operate from.
It may not be the asset for conducting offensive counter air in the Pacific, but it's still better than anything else existing for defensive counter air protecting Japan, South Korea, Guam, and the like, and it is still capable of offensive and defensive fighter operations in Europe as a NATO asset. Three-hundred more would be mighty useful, both in Europe and East Asia.

And this is coming from someone who still thinks the F-23 was the better option for a whole host of reasons including range and Lockheed's inability to not double the develpoment time and triple the cost of any program they get their hands on. F-22 production should never have been halted, just like C-17s. Both had production stopped, and a couple years later both decisions were regretted. You don't stop production of a military asset until it's replacement is in production*.

*I'd include the B-2 in this calculus, but since 21 is pretty much a development program not a production program, perhaps it's the B-1 that should still be in limited production pending the B-21.
Yes, I still think the YF-23 was the better choice, which makes sense, because it shows I'm being consistent in my reasoning with regard to NGAD. There isn't an air threat in Europe we can't handle right now. Russia isn't going to invade western Europe. They may go after the Ukraine and we'll let them, because we aren't going to get into a massive war with a nuclear power. Just like when China actually moves to take Taiwan, we aren't going to do anything about that other than offer sternly worded statements, since our economies are intertwined. It's called living in the real world. But we are going to use a containment strategy on China and to do so will require long range assets. The F-22 is the past. NGAD is the future, and rightly so. They aren't going to really be defending Japan or S. Korea in a major war, because if such a thing happened, they would take S. Korea in a heart beat and all of the air fields in S. Korea and Japan would be gone in the first few days, so there wouldn't be anywhere for them to operate from. Hence the need for longer range. Guam may last a little longer, but you can only protect one base from so many missiles for so long. More F-22s would not have changed that calculus.
 
Yes why we should have had 450+ F-22s. That’s aerial deterrence. Imagine you’re an adversary knowing you’d have to go up against multiple hundreds of them.
Actually, the F-22 isn't actually that great for the Pacific due to it's short range, relatively speaking. It was built for the European theater and for a supercruise aircraft it's fuel fraction is marginal. It's a good thing they're going with NGAD and didn't build too many F-22s. With the combo of NGAD and F-35s, we should have the tactical spectrum covered with aircraft that will both have excellent range capability. They can use the F-22s for defending the bases the NGAD and F-35s will operate from.
Short of an sr71 sized aircraft, nothing is going to take a fight into Chinese airspace.

450 f22 would still be a deterrence to China by deterring Russia from going into the Ukraine and keeping US forces free for an Asian campaign.

Some of the early ATF concepts were large aircraft like this 75ft Boeing study but even this would fall short in range.

An aircraft built for the Pacific theater will be purpose built and too large to be a fighter in a European theater.

I'm afraid they will compromise and still get nothing useful for the pacific. They really need 2 new aircraft and like 200 raiders.

https://yf-23.webs.com/Pics/ATF/Boeing/Boeing ATF impression 1023.jpg
 
I'm afraid they will compromise and still get nothing useful for the pacific. They really need 2 new aircraft and like 200 raiders.

Why wouldn't they have two or more aircraft? Will NGAD be the last fighter we ever build? Once the F-35 production ends, I'm sure there will be need for something else and likewise, between the F-35, Euro-Canards, FCAS/Tempest etc there is plenty of TacAir capability in Europe through the 30s, 40s and into the 50s. It is the Pacific where there is a capability gap that is likely to emerge in the 2030s so optimizing the current NGAD around that will be helpful.
 
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