Astronomy and Planetary Science Thread

To be taken with a grain of salt, since it's one of those futurological studies that go 'the future will be like the present, only more so'.



Deep space exploration offers the most profound opportunity for the expansion of humanity and our understanding of the Universe, but remains extremely challenging. Progress will continue to be paced by uncrewed missions followed up by crewed missions to ever further destinations. Major space powers continue to invest in crewed deep space exploration as an important national strategy. An improved model based on previous work is developed, which projects the earliest possible launch dates for human-crewed missions from cis-lunar space to selected destinations in the Solar System and beyond based on NASA's historic budget trend and overall development trends of deep space exploration research. The purpose of the analysis is to provide a projected timeframe for crewed missions beyond Mars. Our findings suggest the first human missions from a spacefaring nation or international collaboration to the Asteroid Belt and Jovian System could be scheduled as soon as ~2071 to ~2087 and ~2101 to ~2121, respectively, while a launch to the Saturn System may occur by the year ~2132, with an uncertainty window of ~2129 to ~2153.
 
To be taken with a grain of salt, since it's one of those futurological studies that go 'the future will be like the present, only more so'.



Deep space exploration offers the most profound opportunity for the expansion of humanity and our understanding of the Universe, but remains extremely challenging. Progress will continue to be paced by uncrewed missions followed up by crewed missions to ever further destinations. Major space powers continue to invest in crewed deep space exploration as an important national strategy. An improved model based on previous work is developed, which projects the earliest possible launch dates for human-crewed missions from cis-lunar space to selected destinations in the Solar System and beyond based on NASA's historic budget trend and overall development trends of deep space exploration research. The purpose of the analysis is to provide a projected timeframe for crewed missions beyond Mars. Our findings suggest the first human missions from a spacefaring nation or international collaboration to the Asteroid Belt and Jovian System could be scheduled as soon as ~2071 to ~2087 and ~2101 to ~2121, respectively, while a launch to the Saturn System may occur by the year ~2132, with an uncertainty window of ~2129 to ~2153.

It is not too impossible, by then we will have colonised Mars so the rockets can lift off from there instead of the Earth it will be so much easier to reach the Asteroid Belt.
 
Investigating the origin of optical and X-ray pulsations of the transitional millisecond pulsar PSR J1023+0038

PSR J1023+0038 is the first millisecond pulsar that was ever observed as an optical and UV pulsar. So far, it is the only optical transitional millisecond pulsar. The rotation- and accretion-powered emission mechanisms hardly individually explain the observed characteristics of optical pulsations. A synergistic model, combining these standard emission processes, was proposed to explain the origin of the X-ray/UV/optical pulsations. We study the phase lag between the pulses in the optical and X-ray bands to gain insight into the physical mechanisms that cause it. We performed a detailed timing analysis of simultaneous or quasi-simultaneous observations in the X-ray band, acquired with the XMM-Newton and NICER satellites, and in the optical band, with the fast photometers SiFAP2 (mounted at the 3.6 m Telescopio Nazionale Galileo) and Aqueye+ (mounted at the 1.8 m Copernicus Telescope). We estimated the time lag of the optical pulsation with respect to that in the X-rays by modeling the folded pulse profiles with two harmonic components. Optical pulses lag the X-ray pulses by ∼ 150 μs in observations acquired with instruments (NICER and Aqueye+) whose absolute timing uncertainty is much smaller than the measured lag. We also show that the phase lag between optical and X-ray pulsations lies in a limited range of values, δϕ∈ (0 − 0.15), which is maintained over timescales of about five years. This indicates that both pulsations originate from the same region, and it supports the hypothesis of a common emission mechanism. Our results are interpreted in the shock-driven mini pulsar nebula scenario. This scenario suggests that optical and X-ray pulses are produced by synchrotron emission from the shock that formed within a few light cylinder radii away (∼ 100 km) from the pulsar, where its striped wind encounters the accretion disk inflow.


 
Studies on an interstellar probe - though before you get too excited, it's to explore the interstellar medium (which is interesting anyway - it's what you have to go through to get to). Some good links, especially an ESA roadmap to 2050.

A potential follow-up here. The boundary where the solar wind meets interstellar space is going to be a high priority research target if this comes to pass.


Now, this is paywalled, but the keyword is 'albatross' ('What flavour is it?' 'It's albatross flavoured'), which leads to dynamic soaring and this study which you can read for free.


A conceptual mission is defined in which dynamic soaring is performed on the termination shock of the heliosphere, enabling a spacecraft to reach speeds approaching 2% of c within two and a half years of launch without the expenditure of propellant. The technique may comprise the first stage for a multistage mission to achieve true interstellar flight to other solar systems.
 
Long-term multi-wavelength study of 1ES 0647+250

The BL Lac object 1ES 0647+250 is one of the few distant γ-ray emitting blazars detected at very high energies (VHE, ≳100 GeV) during a non-flaring state. It was detected with the MAGIC telescopes during its low activity in the years 2009-2011, as well as during three flaring activities in the years 2014, 2019 and 2020, with the highest VHE flux in the latter epoch. An extensive multi-instrument data set was collected within several coordinated observing campaigns throughout these years. We aim to characterise the long-term multi-band flux variability of 1ES 0647+250, as well as its broadband spectral energy distribution (SED) during four distinct activity states selected in four different epochs, in order to constrain the physical parameters of the blazar emission region under certain assumptions. We evaluate the variability and correlation of the emission in the different energy bands with the fractional variability and the Z-transformed Discrete Correlation Function, as well as its spectral evolution in X-rays and γ rays. Owing to the controversy in the redshift measurements of 1ES 0647+250 reported in the literature, we also estimate its distance in an indirect manner through the comparison of the GeV and TeV spectra from simultaneous observations with Fermi-LAT and MAGIC during the strongest flaring activity detected to date. Moreover, we interpret the SEDs from the four distinct activity states within the framework of one-component and two-component leptonic models, proposing specific scenarios that are able to reproduce the available multi-instrument data.


 
Decade Long Timing Study of the Black Widow Millisecond Pulsar J1544+4937

Results from 11 years of radio timing for eclipsing black widow millisecond pulsar (MSP) binary, J1544+4937, is presented in this paper. We report a phase-connected timing model for this MSP, using observations with the Giant Metrewave Radio Telescope (GMRT) at multiple frequencies and with Green Bank Telescope (GBT). This is the longest-duration timing study of any galactic field MSP with the GMRT. While extending the timing baseline from the existing 1.5 years to about a decade we report the first detection for a significant value of proper motion (μT∼ 10.14(5) mas/year) for this pulsar. Temporal variations of dispersion measure (ΔDM ∼10−3 pc cm−3) manifested by significant determination of 1st, 2nd, and 3rd order DM derivatives are observed along the line of sight to the pulsar. We also noticed frequency-dependent DM variations of the order of 10−3 pc cm−3, which could arise due to spatial electron density variations in the interstellar medium. This study has revealed a secular variation of the orbital period for this MSP for the first time. We investigated possible causes and propose that variation in the gravitational quadrupole moment of the companion could be responsible for the observed temporal changes in the orbital period.


 
New Measurement Resolves Key Astrophysical Fe XVII Oscillator Strength Problem


”This strengthens the confidence in the quantum mechanical calculations used to analyze astrophysical spectra. This applies particularly to lines for which there are no experimental reference values," Kühn emphasizes the significance of the new result. Moreover, the spectra of the space telescopes can now be evaluated with greater accuracy.

This also applies to two large X-ray observatories that are soon to be launched into space: The Japanese-led X-Ray Imaging Spectroscopy Mission (XRISM, launch in May 2023) and the Athena X-Ray Observatory of the European Space Agency ESA (launch in the early 2030s).

 
After 30 years of planning and negotiations, construction begins this week on the Square Kilometre Array (SKA), the world’s largest radio-astronomy observatory. The giant instrument—to be built across sprawling sites in Australia and Africa—will collect the radio signals emitted by celestial objects and will hopefully shed light on some of the most enigmatic problems in astronomy, such as the nature of dark matter and how galaxies form.
On Monday, astronomers and local communities will travel to the remote sites in South Africa’s Northern Cape and Western Australia to celebrate the milestone with officials from the SKA Observatory (SKAO), the intergovernmental organization in charge of the telescopes.

 
A nearby long gamma-ray burst from a merger of compact objects

Abstract
Gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) are flashes of high-energy radiation arising from energetic cosmic explosions. Bursts of long (greater than two seconds) duration are produced by the core-collapse of massive stars1, and those of short (less than two seconds) duration by the merger of compact objects, such as two neutron stars2. A third class of events with hybrid high-energy properties was identified3, but never conclusively linked to a stellar progenitor. The lack of bright supernovae rules out typical core-collapse explosions4,5,6, but their distance scales prevent sensitive searches for direct signatures of a progenitor system. Only tentative evidence for a kilonova has been presented7,8. Here we report observations of the exceptionally bright GRB 211211A, which classify it as a hybrid event and constrain its distance scale to only 346 megaparsecs. Our measurements indicate that its lower-energy (from ultraviolet to near-infrared) counterpart is powered by a luminous (approximately 1042 erg per second) kilonova possibly formed in the ejecta of a compact object merger.


 
Deep X-ray and radio observations of the first outburst of the young magnetar Swift J1818.0-1607

Swift J1818.0-1607 is a radio-loud magnetar with a spin period of 1.36 s and a dipolar magnetic field strength of B~3E14 G, which is very young compared to the Galactic pulsar population. We report here on the long-term X-ray monitoring campaign of this young magnetar using XMM-Newton, NuSTAR, and Swift from the activation of its first outburst in March 2020 until October 2021, as well as INTEGRAL upper limits on its hard X-ray emission. The 1-10 keV magnetar spectrum is well modeled by an absorbed blackbody with a temperature of kT_BB~1.1 keV, and apparent reduction in the radius of the emitting region from ~0.6 to ~0.2 km. We also confirm the bright diffuse X-ray emission around the source extending between ~50'' and ~110''. A timing analysis revealed large torque variability, with an average spin-down rate nudot~-2.3E-11 Hz^2 that appears to decrease in magnitude over time. We also observed Swift J1818.0-1607 with the Karl G. Jansky Very Large Array (VLA) on 2021 March 22. We detected the radio counterpart to Swift J1818.0-1607 measuring a flux density of S_v = 4.38+/-0.05 mJy at 3 GHz, and a half ring-like structure of bright diffuse radio emission located at ~90'' to the west of the magnetar. We tentatively suggest that the diffuse X-ray emission is due to a dust scattering halo and that the radio structure may be associated with the supernova remnant of this young pulsar, based on its morphology.


 
The Rapidly Spinning Intermediate-Mass Black Hole 3XMM J150052.0+015452

A star tidally disrupted by a black hole can form an accretion disc with a super-Eddington mass accretion rate; the X-ray emission produced by the inner disc provides constraints on the black hole mass M∙ and dimensionless spin parameter a∙. Previous studies have suggested that the M∙ responsible for the tidal disruption event 3XMM J150052.0+015452 (hereafter J150052) is ∼105M⊙, in the intermediate black hole (IMBH) regime. Fitting multi-epoch XMM-Newton and Chandra X-ray spectra obtained after 2008 during the source's decade-long decay, with our latest slim accretion disc model gives M∙=2.0+1.0−0.3×105M⊙ (at 68% confidence) and a∙>0.97 (a 84.1% confidence lower limit). The spectra obtained between 2008-2014 are significantly harder than those after 2014, an evolution that can be well explained by including the effects of inverse-Comptonisation by a corona on the early-time spectra. The corona is present when the source accretion rate is super-Eddington, while there is no evidence for its effect in data obtained after 2014, when the mass accretion rate is around the Eddington-limit. Based on our spectral study, we infer that the corona is optically thick and warm (kTe=2.3+2.7−0.8 keV). Our mass and spin measurements of J150052 confirm it as an IMBH and point to a rapid, near extremal, spin. These M∙ and a∙ values rule out both vector bosons and axions of masses ∼10−16 eV.


 
 
Hmm, first observational evidence of the Oort cloud?

It would not surprise me if it were the first evidence of the Oort Cloud Rinocrates, after Jan Oort‘s theory which he proposed back in the early part of the 20th Century.
 
A new analysis of Hubble data has clinched it: There's too much light in the space around the Solar System.

Not much extra light, to be sure. Just a subtle, ghostly glow, a faint excess that can't be accounted for in a census of all the light-emitting objects.

The strongest possibility? A dust component to the Solar System that we haven't yet directly detected: tiny particles of dust and ice from a population of comets traveling inwards from the dark reaches of the Solar System, reflecting sunlight and generating a diffuse, global glow.

This source would be a bit closer to us than the extra light detected by the New Horizons space probe, which found an optical light excess in the space beyond Pluto, outside the Solar System.

 
Now could that act as “ground clutter?”

Sometimes, if a tornado gets too near the radar, you can lose track of it.

I can’t help but wonder—-if you could get a big dish out past that noise—that will be the time SETI begins to hear un-attenuated whispers…double bubble design maybe silvered on the insides back to back.

The dish could be the sail….with a rod through the middle and feed horns at either end. Tighten on the forward end to bend to an Arecibo in the front. Once it hears something—you tighten the sail until it makes a dish in the back for contact with Earth.
 
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Broadband mHz QPOs and spectral study of LMC X−4 with AstroSat

We report the results of broadband timing and spectral analysis of data from an AstroSat observation of the High Mass X-ray binary LMC X−4. The Large Area X-ray Proportional Counter (LAXPC) and Soft X-ray Telescope (SXT) instruments on-board the AstroSat observed the source in August 2016. A complete X-ray eclipse was detected with the LAXPC. The 3−40 keV power density spectrum showed the presence of coherent pulsations along with a ∼26 mHz quasi-periodic oscillation feature. The spectral properties of LMC X−4 were derived from a joint analysis of the SXT and LAXPC spectral data. The 0.5−25 keV persistent spectrum comprised of an absorbed high energy cutoff power law with photon index of Γ∼ 0.8 and cutoff at ∼16 keV, a soft thermal component with kTBB∼ 0.14 keV and Gaussian components corresponding to Fe Kα, Ne \textsc{ix} and Ne \textsc{x} emission lines. Assuming a source distance of 50 kpc, we determined 0.5--25 keV luminosity to be ∼2×1038 erg s−1.


 
The chemical compositions of multiple stellar populations in the globular cluster NGC 2808

Pseudo two-colour diagrams or Chromosome maps (ChM) indicate that NGC 2808 host five different stellar populations. The existing ChMs have been derived by the Hubble Space Telescope photometry, and comprise of stars in a small field of view around the cluster centre. To overcome these limitations, we built a ChM with U,B,I photometry from ground-based facilities that disentangle the multiple stellar populations of NGC 2808 over a wider field of view. We used spectra collected by GIRAFFE@VLT in a sample of 70 red giant branch (RGB) and seven asymptotic giant branch (AGB) stars to infer the abundances of C, N, O, Al, Fe, and Ni, which combined with literature data for other elements (Li, Na, Mg, Si, Ca, Sc, Ti, Cr and Mn), and together with both the classical and the new ground-based ChMs, provide the most complete chemical characterisation of the stellar populations in NGC 2808 available to date. As typical of the multiple population phenomenon in globular clusters, the light elements vary from one stellar population to another; whereas the iron peak elements show negligible variation between the different populations (at a level of ≲0.10~dex). Our AGB stars are also characterised by the chemical variations associated with the presence of multiple populations, confirming that this phase of stellar evolution is affected by the phenomenon as well. Intriguingly, we detected one extreme O-poor AGB star (consistent with a high He abundance), challenging stellar evolution models which suggest that highly He-enriched stars should avoid the AGB phase and evolve as AGB-manqué star.


 
Astronomers find that two exoplanets may be mostly water


Related video:

View: https://youtu.be/jjywIBBcP3I
 
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The Possible Tidal Demise of Kepler's First Planetary System

Abstract
We present evidence of tidally-driven inspiral in the Kepler-1658 (KOI-4) system, which consists of a giant planet (1.1RJ, 5.9MJ) orbiting an evolved host star (2.9R⊙, 1.5M⊙). Using transit timing measurements from Kepler, Palomar/WIRC, and TESS, we show that the orbital period of Kepler-1658b appears to be decreasing at a rate $\dot{P}={131}_{-22}^{+20}$ ms yr−1, corresponding to an infall timescale $P/\dot{P}\approx 2.5\,\mathrm{Myr}$. We consider other explanations for the data including line-of-sight acceleration and orbital precession, but find them to be implausible. The observed period derivative implies a tidal quality factor ${Q}_{\star }^{{\prime} }={2.50}_{-0.62}^{+0.85}\times {10}^{4}$, in good agreement with theoretical predictions for inertial wave dissipation in subgiant stars. Additionally, while it probably cannot explain the entire inspiral rate, a small amount of planetary dissipation could naturally explain the deep optical eclipse observed for the planet via enhanced thermal emission. As the first evolved system with detected inspiral, Kepler-1658 is a new benchmark for understanding tidal physics at the end of the planetary life cycle.


 
Exploring the single-pulse behaviours of PSR J0628+0909 with FAST

ABSTRACT
More than 100 rotating radio transients (RRATs) have been discovered since 2006. However, it is unclear whether RRATs radiate in nulling states. PSR J0628+0909 has been classified as an RRAT. In this paper, we study the single pulses and integrated pulse profile of PSR J0628+0909 to check whether we can detect pulsed radio emission in the nulling states. We also aim to study the polarization of the RRAT and its relationship to the general pulsar population. We used the Five-hundred-meter Aperture Spherical radio Telescope (FAST) to observe PSR J0628+0909 in the frequency range from 1.0 to 1.5 GHz. We searched for strong single pulses and looked for pulsed emission in the RRAT nulling states. Polarization profiles, the single-pulse energy distribution, and waiting-time statistics were measured. The Faraday rotation measure and dispersion measure values are updated with the current observation. The single-pulse polarization behaviours show great diversity, similar to the case of pulsars. Based on the integrated pulse profile and single-pulse energy statistics, we argue that continuous pulsar-like emission exists in addition to the transient-like burst emission for PSR J0628+0909. We find that the pulse waiting time is not correlated with the pulse energy and conclude that the strong transient emission of RRAT is not generated by the energy store–release mechanism.

 
Two temperate Earth-mass planets orbiting the nearby star GJ 1002


The star system is comparatively close to us in cosmological terms at just under sixteen light years distant, and features two planets with masses similar to the Earth’s orbiting in the star’s habitable zone. There may also be a third larger planet further out in orbit about the host star.

 
Timing analysis of the 2022 outburst of the accreting millisecond X-ray pulsar SAX J1808.4−3658: hints of an orbital shrinking

We present a pulse timing analysis of NICER observations of the accreting millisecond X-ray pulsar SAX J1808.4−3658 during the outburst that started on 2022 August 19. Similar to previous outbursts, after decaying from a peak luminosity of ≃1×1036ergs−1 in about a week, the pulsar entered in a ∼1 month-long reflaring stage. Comparison of the average pulsar spin frequency during the outburst with those previously measured confirmed the long-term spin derivative of ν˙SD=−(1.15±0.06)×10−15Hzs−1, compatible with the spin-down torque of a ≈1026Gcm3 rotating magnetic dipole. For the first time in the last twenty years, the orbital phase evolution shows evidence for a decrease of the orbital period. The long-term behaviour of the orbit is dominated by a ∼11s modulation of the orbital phase epoch consistent with a ∼21yr period. We discuss the observed evolution in terms of a coupling between the orbit and variations in the mass quadrupole of the companion star.


 
Investigating stellar variability in the open cluster region NGC 381

We study variable stars in the field of the open cluster NGC 381 using photometric data observed over 27 nights and identify a total of 57 variable stars out of which five are member stars. The variable stars are classified based on their periods, amplitudes, light curve shapes, and locations in the H-R diagram. We found a rich variety of variable stars in the cluster. We identified a total of 10 eclipsing binaries out of which 2 are Algol type (EA) while 8 are W UMa type (EW) binaries. The estimated ages of these EW binaries are greater than 0.6 Gyr which is in agreement with the formation time constraint of > 0.6 Gyr on short-period eclipsing binaries. The estimation of the physical parameters of the three EW type binaries is done using PHOEBE model-fitting software. The pulsating variable stars include one each from {\delta} Scuti and {\gamma} Dor variability class. We determined the pulsation modes of pulsating variables with the help of the FAMIAS package. We obtained 15 rotational variables stars comprising four dwarf stars identified on the basis log(g) versus log(Tef f ) diagram. These dwarf stars are found to have generally larger periods than the remaining rotational variables.


 
View: https://twitter.com/NASAExoplanets/status/1608166691275509761?t=fgK8KFfzucAfBGRPn8bqoA&s=19



5,235 exoplanets discovered so far and the number will surely creep up over the next year, who would have thought that when we discovered the first exoplanet back in the early 1990s that we would have discovered more by this time. :cool:
 
 
View: https://twitter.com/NASAExoplanets/status/1608166691275509761?t=fgK8KFfzucAfBGRPn8bqoA&s=19



5,235 exoplanets discovered so far and the number will surely creep up over the next year, who would have thought that when we discovered the first exoplanet back in the early 1990s that we would have discovered more by this time. :cool:
It's incredible stuff really, unimaginable only a couple of decades ago. JWST planning on detailed analysis of exoplanet atmospheres any day now.
 
Vela pulsar wind nebula X-rays are polarized to near the synchrotron limit

Abstract
Pulsar wind nebulae are formed when outflows of relativistic electrons and positrons hit the surrounding supernova remnant or interstellar medium at a shock front. The Vela pulsar wind nebula is powered by a young pulsar (B0833-45, aged 11,000 years)1 and located inside an extended structure called Vela X, which is itself inside the supernova remnant2. Previous X-ray observations revealed two prominent arcs that are bisected by a jet and counter jet3,4. Radio maps have shown high linear polarization of 60% in the outer regions of the nebula5. Here we report an X-ray observation of the inner part of the nebula, where polarization can exceed 60% at the leading edge—approaching the theoretical limit of what can be produced by synchrotron emission. We infer that, in contrast with the case of the supernova remnant, the electrons in the pulsar wind nebula are accelerated with little or no turbulence in a highly uniform magnetic field.


 
Variability and Spectral Behavior of Gamma-ray Flares of 3C 279

3C 279 showed enhanced flux variations in Fermi-LAT {\gamma}-ray observations from January to June 2018. We present a detailed Fermi-LAT analysis to investigate the variability and spectral behaviors of 3C 279 during the {\gamma}-ray flares in 2018. In this work, we analyzed the {\gamma}-ray spectra and found that the spectra in either the flaring or quiescent states do not show any clear breaks (or cutoffs). This indicates that the dissipation region is outside the broad-line region, and the energy dissipation may be due to the inverse Compton process of scattering the dust torus infrared photons, this result is also consistent with that in Tolamatti et al. An external inverse Compton scattering of dusty torus (DT) photons is employed to calculate the broadband spectral energy distribution (SED). This model was further supported by the fact that we found flare decay timescale was consistent with the cooling time of relativistic electrons through DT photons. During the SED modeling, a relatively harder spectrum for the electron energy distribution (EED) is found and suggests these electrons may not be accelerated by the shock that happened in the dissipation region. Besides, the magnetic reconnection is also ruled out due to a low magnetization ratio. Thus, we suggest an injection of higher-energy electrons from outside the blob and raising the flare.


 
Study investigates the evolution of X-ray binary system GX 301-2

 
Habitable Worlds Observatory announced. Maybe it will see first light in the early 2040s.


Early days yet, with details of its architecture yet to be worked out. About 12m diameter, stationed at L2, designed for robotic servicing, unlike Webb.

It's descended from the LUVOIR study from 2015-19, FYI:


 

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