What are the scenarios after 2013?
(How do I write the sound a person makes when shrugging their shoulders and exhaling loudly? It's the sound equivalent of "Heck if I know!")
Nobody knows how the election will go. It's unclear if Obama will be reelected, and if not, who will beat him. If we do get a new president, however, expect another blue ribbon commission to address the issue of human spaceflight policy. And it's not easy to figure out what they might say--we could go down a certain path for the next 15 or so months that might really restrict the options they look at. It's unclear what is going to happen in the near-term. (There are certainly people out there who claim that SpaceX could fix everything in a couple of years if just given the money, but that seems really optimistic and based upon little data; a few launches is not the same as a proven launch vehicle and human spacecraft.)
Don't expect things to get any better in the short term. We're stuck where we're stuck. But the same is true about national politics, so nobody should be surprised.